Quarrelsome-Toenail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.6%

Resolved

101

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$53.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-15 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

67% 22% -$12

Politics

21% 17% -$8

Sports

10% 9% -$3

Crypto

3% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	9	$1.9K	3,730	-3,730	No	$0	05-29 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$1.4K	2,298	-2,298	No	$0	06-10 18:10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$944	1,888	-1,888	No	+$0	05-13 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$932	1,864	-1,864	No	$0	05-24 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$932	1,398	-1,398	No	$0	05-30 10:18
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$929	930	-930	No	-$1	05-31 12:48
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	5	$923	1,846	-1,846	No	$0	05-30 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$922	1,844	-1,844	No	$0	06-05 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$917	1,377	-1,377	No	$0	06-11 12:28
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$493	493	-493	No	$0	04-17 15:32
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$492	492	-492	No	$0	04-17 17:17
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$492	492	-492	No	$0	04-18 06:35
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$491	982	-982	No	+$0	04-20 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	1	$491	491	-491	No	$0	04-19 09:18
Will Bradley Barcola be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	2	$490	980	-980	No	$0	05-07 15:50
Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	2	$490	980	-980	No	$0	04-22 03:35
Will Calum Ritchie win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	1	$490	490	-490	No	$0	04-21 06:59
Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	1	$490	490	-490	No	$0	04-21 07:47
will the desiya murpokku dravida kazhagam dmdk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$483	483	-483	No	$0	04-27 10:08
will the indian union muslim league iuml win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$482	483	-483	No	-$1	04-27 10:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$482	962	-962	No	+$1	04-29 16:43
will the nationalist congress party ncp win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	1	$482	482	-482	No	$0	04-26 06:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?	1	$482	482	-482	No	$0	04-28 09:31
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$481	481	-481	No	$0	04-30 13:23
will the revolutionary socialist party rsp win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$481	481	-481	No	$0	04-28 09:38
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?	4	$480	960	-960	No	$0	04-30 18:44
Will Welsh Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	2	$480	960	-960	No	$0	05-08 17:36
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$480	480	-480	No	$0	04-29 07:22
Will the Welsh Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$480	480	-480	No	$0	05-01 06:18
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$479	479	-479	No	$0	05-02 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$0	0x882a2c…
06-14 12:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	351	0¢	$0	0x764282…
06-14 08:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	0¢	$0	0x916b93…
06-14 08:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	458	0¢	$1	0x6746c2…
06-14 08:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	1¢	$1	0x437727…
06-14 08:54:01	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	259	1¢	$3	0x6d1eb1…
06-14 08:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xa25d1d…
06-14 08:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xd769ec…
06-14 00:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	456	0¢	$0	0x755dd1…
06-13 08:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	455	100¢	$455	0xaf7ad8…
06-13 08:20:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	456	100¢	$456	0xe57f73…
06-11 12:28:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0xed4502…
06-11 12:25:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0x0d9bf9…
06-10 18:11:33	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0x4de776…
06-10 18:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	458	100¢	$458	0xf503b9…
06-09 12:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	458	100¢	$458	0x4c4afe…
06-09 12:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	459	100¢	$459	0xdffe9c…
06-08 12:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	459	100¢	$459	0xeb6c88…
06-08 12:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x9b1fa1…
06-07 21:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x279f62…
06-07 16:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x9c88d2…
06-07 16:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0xc3dadd…
06-07 13:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0xd87bcc…
06-07 07:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x9b5af5…
06-06 12:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x789a4a…
06-06 12:21:07	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x77b473…
06-05 16:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x2060d9…
06-05 14:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x3b6de6…
06-05 12:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x41db11…
06-05 12:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0x75467e…
06-04 23:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	462	0¢	$0	0x74ca3e…
06-04 16:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$460	0xdc7323…
06-04 16:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$461	0xa0511b…
06-03 17:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	461	100¢	$461	0xfed9c7…
06-03 17:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	462	100¢	$462	0xec8b0c…
06-02 09:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	462	100¢	$462	0x069839…
06-02 09:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	463	100¢	$463	0xc24ac0…
06-01 16:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	463	100¢	$463	0x8d2d5a…
06-01 16:35:56	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	464	100¢	$464	0xe51ec0…
05-31 12:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	464	100¢	$464	0x448c2f…
05-31 12:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	465	100¢	$465	0x6df5d4…
05-31 12:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	465	100¢	$465	0x6c22fb…
05-30 10:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x0cca23…
05-30 10:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x881380…
05-30 06:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0x0783ff…
05-29 17:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0x3725c8…
05-29 08:22:27	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0xfdb60c…
05-29 08:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x7778c2…
05-28 22:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0xe6bb8e…
05-28 13:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	0¢	$0	0xf2d5a6…
05-28 12:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	0¢	$0	0x898496…
05-28 10:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x989845…
05-28 10:19:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x2b9339…
05-27 15:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0x1aee89…
05-27 14:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0xf93a22…
05-27 14:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0x7ca1f9…
05-26 11:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0xb89d72…
05-26 10:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	467	0¢	$0	0x0c9ce3…
05-26 10:34:34	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x6d2aa9…
05-26 10:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0xd64b9b…
05-26 10:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0x5c55ac…
05-25 17:16:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	467	0¢	$0	0xa74023…
05-25 14:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0x17fe4c…
05-25 14:32:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	0¢	$0	0xe6b8f9…
05-25 09:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0x488b6e…
05-25 09:47:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0xaba7ab…
05-25 00:02:09	Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	470	0¢	$0	0xabf6af…
05-24 23:01:57	Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	469	0¢	$0	0xc68d32…
05-24 22:18:39	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	469	0¢	$0	0x1ad9e3…
05-24 15:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	465	0¢	$0	0x92fc3e…
05-24 13:13:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0xd3d6af…
05-24 08:32:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	465	100¢	$465	0x8243ea…
05-24 08:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x4d1a64…
05-23 15:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	465	0¢	$0	0x5b8960…
05-23 15:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	466	0¢	$0	0x81ea1f…
05-23 11:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	465	100¢	$465	0x7f5fb4…
05-23 11:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x3a14f8…
05-22 08:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	466	100¢	$466	0x3a1139…
05-22 08:51:15	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0x258682…
05-21 09:33:58	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	467	100¢	$467	0xb12b2f…
05-21 08:26:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	468	100¢	$468	0xc435f4…
05-20 14:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	468	0¢	$0	0x23fe53…
05-20 09:44:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	468	100¢	$468	0x7e3249…
05-20 09:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	468	100¢	$468	0x679177…
05-19 09:26:49	Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	469	100¢	$469	0xba4009…
05-19 09:25:46	Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	469	100¢	$469	0xb33c1a…
05-19 06:51:40	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x56e977…
05-18 10:51:26	Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	469	100¢	$469	0x5ea730…
05-18 10:50:16	Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	470	100¢	$470	0x0c5a83…
05-17 11:29:17	Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	470	100¢	$470	0xa44fc4…
05-17 11:28:10	Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0x5e6f36…
05-16 19:59:02	Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	472	0¢	$0	0x2c4f47…
05-16 08:43:44	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0x41d6bb…
05-16 08:40:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0x7c8e30…
05-15 11:53:11	Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x8c7ead…
05-15 08:21:26	Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0xbf9536…
05-15 08:19:06	Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	472	100¢	$472	0x8fc5ca…
05-14 17:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x7c9427…
05-14 14:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	472	0¢	$0	0xc94cb4…
05-14 10:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x9febee…