Married-Guitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,613

Trades

1,652

lifetime

Volume

$8.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Bensac Win TFT Set 17 Tacticians crown?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-27 05:33
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:31
mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Miami Marlins	+$0	06-14 19:21
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:03
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:37
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	Diana Shnaider	+$0	04-14 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde8a08…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x768f78…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4258c…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb1d12…
10-23 07:21:20	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4a74…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f22d2…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d1c8c…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a6b69…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc69544…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x884bc8…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecdf31…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd13b39…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x896c1b…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4b36c…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd35b17…
10-12 09:28:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa38414…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd4380…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12f723…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea2ea2…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde2d0a…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc96fde…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61d015…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x586e6d…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ae4e2…
10-02 14:12:39	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d9fcc…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca91b1…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40663c…
10-01 07:33:17	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6eed2…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc4727…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83916d…
09-30 23:54:48	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87bfd1…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bda32…
09-29 13:58:57	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ffd55…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13a781…
09-27 20:13:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x616dd8…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebfd97…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cfd87…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4777d9…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fa649…
09-25 10:13:02	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1467a2…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x578561…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcdf9d…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x421c54…
09-21 16:18:45	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf1993…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91e89a…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70b667…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96864c…
09-20 04:25:15	wta shublad astakho 2026 09 19	Darya Astakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa40cd0…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c5916…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefe836…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf24669…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03075a…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x485aa9…
09-17 19:42:15	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd32d9f…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb235ed…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3253ce…
09-17 00:30:45	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf187e5…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a800a…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x098d73…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91a228…
09-15 19:20:31	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Azuolas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage	G2 Ares	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3913fe…
09-15 18:32:07	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9c486…
09-13 20:41:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc53399…
09-13 20:41:52	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9bce89…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d3ebe…
09-13 10:58:09	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13 game3	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x229c7a…
09-13 10:57:07	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0689bf…
09-12 13:20:45	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34c2ce…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ba715…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x233722…
09-11 10:52:40	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x568463…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b6cf1…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1cec3…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3405e2…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29bf24…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x260012…
09-09 22:45:55	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dc9c1…
09-09 22:03:06	xauusd up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca9a80…
09-09 19:08:06	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a9329…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cc56c…
09-09 04:10:22	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa684db…
09-08 23:11:39	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8cae1…
09-08 14:50:46	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x580527…
09-08 06:06:01	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc46ba0…
09-08 05:01:48	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x558d71…
09-07 21:25:55	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb93aea…
09-07 17:57:52	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x376fd1…
09-04 15:52:54	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda1794…
09-04 11:04:31	Gold Coast Titans vs. Dolphins	Dolphins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1e8e6…
09-04 10:04:28	itf madaras andrees 2026 09 04	Dragos Nicolae Madaras	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x888117…
09-04 01:01:03	atp svajda gea 2026 09 03	Arthur Gea	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x870bae…
09-03 14:10:40	M15 Szczawno: Daniel Salazar vs Wojciech Marek	Daniel Salazar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc99bd0…
09-03 10:13:16	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6c679…
09-03 09:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e48a8…
09-03 06:07:48	itf sujeong soohaja 2026 09 03	Soo Ha Jang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fd779…
09-02 18:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf787f9…
09-02 18:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09db5e…
09-02 18:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0825cd…
09-02 18:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7573b6…
09-02 18:36:16	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38b843…