Realized P&L
-$122.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.5K
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
2,293
Trades
31,708
lifetime
Volume
$9.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$304
Open exposure
$208.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-10 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
57%
93%
-$64,748
Other
27%
96%
-$58,180
Crypto
8%
92%
+$2,590
Sports
7%
93%
-$1,799
Tech
1%
92%
+$144
Pop-Culture
0%
86%
+$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk
• peak 5 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 954 | $501.9K | 456,398 | 443,398 | +12,999 | Yes | -$98,230 | 04-21 20:34 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 1,478 | $492.5K | 390,478 | 292,212 | +98,266 | No | +$16,817 | 02-01 01:15 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | 725 | $354.0K | 209,724 | 149,847 | +59,877 | No | +$255 | 04-30 22:06 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 178 | $247.1K | 253,252 | 85,458 | +167,794 | No | +$9,257 | 05-01 05:59 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 274 | $177.8K | 120,392 | 116,331 | +4,061 | Yes | +$12,126 | 03-01 01:32 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 363 | $169.7K | 107,867 | 86,741 | +21,126 | No | +$3,628 | 04-22 01:57 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 146 | $151.1K | 78,314 | 94,181 | -15,866 | No | -$2,019 | 03-29 20:55 |
| us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476 | 130 | $149.1K | 87,655 | 94,019 | -6,364 | No | +$87 | 01-31 00:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 454 | $146.4K | 531,346 | 437,319 | +94,028 | No | -$19,508 | 01-26 04:21 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 202 | $139.0K | 105,488 | 103,197 | +2,291 | No | -$5,569 | 01-31 21:37 |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | 148 | $131.6K | 82,110 | 52,080 | +30,030 | No | +$836 | 04-12 20:30 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | 186 | $122.6K | 70,298 | 62,398 | +7,899 | No | +$861 | 04-30 11:30 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 70 | $109.1K | 58,161 | 51,140 | +7,021 | No | +$59 | 05-01 00:38 |
| will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st | 93 | $109.0K | 52,766 | 56,433 | -3,667 | No | +$99 | 03-23 16:29 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 179 | $99.8K | 56,914 | 43,357 | +13,557 | No | +$140 | 04-16 13:15 |
| microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026 | 256 | $94.9K | 64,062 | 31,131 | +32,931 | No | +$154 | 03-30 19:44 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 149 | $92.5K | 55,023 | 38,130 | +16,893 | Yes | +$211 | 04-08 00:45 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026 | 6 | $90.9K | 81,003 | 9,988 | +71,015 | No | +$72 | 03-08 02:01 |
| fact check maduro capture staged | 100 | $89.6K | 58,139 | 31,795 | +26,343 | No | +$219 | 03-31 17:03 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 72 | $89.0K | 52,654 | 38,122 | +14,532 | Yes | +$96 | 02-27 22:23 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 1,157 | $82.7K | 158,986 | 227,697 | -68,710 | Yes | +$19,396 | 06-09 17:29 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 220 | $82.3K | 63,577 | 71,923 | -8,346 | Yes | -$13 | 04-21 16:37 |
| will trump say marjorie traitor greene by february 28 | 19 | $80.9K | 81,040 | 0 | +81,040 | Yes | +$159 | 02-17 01:16 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 78 | $77.9K | 40,523 | 40,523 | +0 | No | +$15 | 05-04 06:31 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 28 | $76.7K | 62,721 | 14,098 | +48,623 | Yes | +$114 | 04-02 18:41 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29? | 40 | $76.1K | 66,808 | 9,411 | +57,397 | Yes | +$116 | 04-29 19:32 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 32 | $70.6K | 61,557 | 9,534 | +52,023 | Yes | +$437 | 02-28 23:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 6 | $69.9K | 70,000 | 0 | +70,000 | No | +$70 | 03-04 18:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 109 | $69.2K | 43,785 | 37,638 | +6,147 | Yes | -$3,764 | 04-08 07:25 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 84 | $63.4K | 39,287 | 27,132 | +12,155 | Yes | +$1,509 | 04-05 07:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||