Realized P&L
-$122.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.5K
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
2,293
Trades
31,708
lifetime
Volume
$9.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$304
Open exposure
$208.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-10 22:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 144 days
Categories
Politics
57% 93% -$64,748
Other
27% 96% -$58,180
Crypto
8% 92% +$2,590
Sports
7% 93% -$1,799
Tech
1% 92% +$144
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -106,685 -$38,408 38¢ $-40860 -$2,452 05-25 20:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -212,239 -$50,804 17¢ $-35125 +$15,679 05-16 22:03
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +32,144 $31,807 100¢ $32.0K +$192 04-29 22:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -92,560 -$23,510 18¢ $-16892 +$6,618 05-17 17:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +18,141 $14,136 82¢ $14.8K +$649 05-10 18:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +18,000 $14,143 82¢ $14.7K +$572 05-08 01:53
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +12,926 $12,164 97¢ $12.5K +$374 05-01 01:41
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -12,161 -$10,474 97¢ $-11809 -$1,335 05-31 02:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,000 $3,656 83¢ $4.2K +$516 04-30 20:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$2,875 4¢ $-3980 -$1,106 05-09 06:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +18,141 $4,388 18¢ $3.4K -$1,032 05-10 20:15
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$948 2¢ $-2598 -$1,650 05-18 14:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,875 $2,379 62¢ $2.4K +$12 05-08 01:53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$2,083 2¢ $-2156 -$73 05-12 13:33
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$2,544 2¢ $-2045 +$498 05-12 15:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,000 $1,690 94¢ $1.9K +$180 05-08 16:41
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,216 2¢ $-1658 -$442 05-08 02:10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,421 1¢ $-829 +$591 05-13 05:14
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$884 1¢ $-719 +$166 05-08 01:46
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,670 -$221 0¢ $-387 -$166 07-25 08:47
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,134 0¢ $-387 +$747 06-08 08:52
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,663 0¢ $-387 +$1,276 05-08 02:09
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,106 0¢ $-387 +$719 05-08 01:45
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$1,005 0¢ $-387 +$618 05-08 02:15
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$663 0¢ $-387 +$276 05-10 21:56
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$995 0¢ $-387 +$608 05-20 07:15
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -78,416 -$706 0¢ $-353 +$353 05-08 01:49
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$917 0¢ $-332 +$585 05-10 18:19
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,670 -$221 0¢ $-277 -$55 07-25 08:46
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -110,560 -$884 0¢ $-276 +$608 05-15 05:38