Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$188

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

22,032

lifetime

Volume

$9.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$410

Open exposure

$2.76K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

55% 67% $-1,383

Other

29% 79% $-30,026

Crypto

9% 100% +$6

Sports

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 749 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	-2,142	$-1,842	94¢	$-2024	$-182	05-31 02:26
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	-445	$-424	94¢	$-416	+$9	06-12 18:29
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?	No	-341	$-307	94¢	$-321	$-14	06-09 19:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	954	$501.9K	456,398	443,398	+12,999	open	—	04-21 20:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1,478	$492.5K	390,478	292,212	+98,266	open	—	02-01 01:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	725	$354.0K	209,724	149,847	+59,877	open	—	04-30 22:06
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	178	$247.1K	253,252	85,458	+167,794	open	—	05-01 05:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	274	$177.8K	120,392	116,331	+4,061	open	—	03-01 01:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	363	$169.7K	107,867	86,741	+21,126	open	—	04-22 01:57
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	146	$151.1K	78,314	94,181	-15,866	open	—	03-29 20:55
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	130	$149.1K	87,655	94,019	-6,364	open	—	01-31 00:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	454	$146.4K	531,346	437,319	+94,028	open	—	01-26 04:21
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	202	$139.0K	105,488	103,197	+2,291	open	—	01-31 21:37
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	148	$131.6K	82,110	52,080	+30,030	open	—	04-12 20:30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	186	$122.6K	70,298	62,398	+7,899	open	—	04-30 11:30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	70	$109.1K	58,161	51,140	+7,021	open	—	05-01 00:38
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	93	$109.0K	52,766	56,433	-3,667	open	—	03-23 16:29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	179	$99.8K	56,914	43,357	+13,557	open	—	04-16 13:15
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	256	$94.9K	64,062	31,131	+32,931	open	—	03-30 19:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	149	$92.5K	55,023	38,130	+16,893	open	—	04-08 00:45
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	6	$90.9K	81,003	9,988	+71,015	open	—	03-08 02:01
fact check maduro capture staged	100	$89.6K	58,139	31,795	+26,343	open	—	03-31 17:03
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	72	$89.0K	52,654	38,122	+14,532	open	—	02-27 22:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	220	$82.3K	63,577	71,923	-8,346	open	—	04-21 16:37
will trump say marjorie traitor greene by february 28	19	$80.9K	81,040	0	+81,040	open	—	02-17 01:16
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	28	$76.7K	62,721	14,098	+48,623	open	—	04-02 18:41
James Comey arrested by April 29?	40	$76.1K	66,808	9,411	+57,397	open	—	04-29 19:32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	32	$70.6K	61,557	9,534	+52,023	open	—	02-28 23:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$69.9K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	03-04 18:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	109	$69.2K	43,785	37,638	+6,147	open	—	04-08 07:25
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	84	$63.4K	39,287	27,132	+12,155	open	—	04-05 07:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	104	$60.7K	36,279	28,971	+7,309	open	—	04-08 00:05
will israel nuke iran by january 31	124	$59.8K	120,302	180	+120,122	open	—	01-16 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 05:36:28	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	637	100¢	$635	0xfb5a97…
06-21 05:36:01	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1,143	100¢	$1,140	0xc931b5…
06-21 05:35:40	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	832	100¢	$829	0xdac90d…
06-15 13:54:30	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5960f4…
06-13 16:21:03	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	337	84¢	$283	0x098d77…
06-13 08:48:00	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	216	99¢	$215	0x4d5cf4…
06-13 08:36:43	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x7b2374…
06-12 19:57:30	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xc1ec66…
06-12 19:23:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x1815ad…
06-12 18:45:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xfed288…
06-12 18:29:07	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	341	96¢	$326	0x931f29…
06-12 11:17:18	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6266fa…
06-12 00:05:24	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x42ae45…
06-12 00:03:09	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xcc1513…
06-12 00:02:52	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x676c0d…
06-11 19:12:07	Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb90f5…
06-11 03:53:57	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	No	SELL	657	100¢	$655	0xe9f50e…
06-09 19:23:33	Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?	No	SELL	337	90¢	$303	0x196911…
06-07 10:17:34	Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x606392…
06-05 06:51:00	Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7452cd…
06-05 06:50:22	Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x934ded…
05-31 04:15:56	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x882543…
05-31 02:26:46	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,382	86¢	$1,188	0x66d0c4…
05-31 02:21:59	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	581	86¢	$500	0xee8ed1…
05-30 05:04:15	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0x85f971…
05-29 20:39:01	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x793517…
05-28 22:28:23	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x35d7dd…
05-28 21:42:28	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x15b7b3…
05-28 21:31:20	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xcfe350…
05-28 19:43:47	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0xddd416…
05-28 08:14:59	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xf807cb…
05-27 20:26:53	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x4bec5b…
05-15 03:51:48	Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	60	59¢	$35	0x04145f…
05-12 07:37:24	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xfe7e0d…
05-12 07:37:16	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x3d29b6…
05-12 07:37:14	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x23747f…
05-10 22:34:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	611	92¢	$562	0x0d90db…
05-10 22:00:34	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xe6d3dc…
05-10 21:49:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	889	92¢	$818	0x99de95…
05-10 21:48:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0xbaa0d8…
05-10 21:23:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	494	91¢	$450	0x2e556c…
05-10 21:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x559396…
05-10 21:21:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	753	92¢	$692	0x260344…
05-10 18:32:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x4b1337…
05-10 13:13:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8165bd…
05-10 08:22:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xceba45…
05-10 03:38:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	389	91¢	$354	0x2256c0…
05-10 02:05:33	Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x1289fb…
05-09 09:38:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x14a57a…
05-08 23:30:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88427a…
05-08 22:36:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2,736	100¢	$2,725	0x7784ed…
05-08 20:52:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2,264	100¢	$2,255	0x3b3386…
05-08 20:36:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0xe8bb11…
05-08 20:34:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	4,500	99¢	$4,473	0x499906…
05-08 20:33:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	557	99¢	$554	0xf42d01…
05-08 20:19:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	387	91¢	$353	0x7bf40c…
05-08 20:07:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	108	91¢	$98	0xb4903a…
05-08 20:07:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x098c56…
05-08 19:37:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7,542	99¢	$7,467	0x055f47…
05-08 19:04:27	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x791831…
05-08 19:04:01	Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xeab2eb…
05-08 19:00:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xd23893…
05-08 18:56:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2,458	99¢	$2,433	0x08458b…
05-08 18:52:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x115160…
05-08 18:46:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	452	99¢	$447	0xaf5123…
05-08 18:24:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2,851	0¢	$11	0xc45817…
05-08 18:06:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8b8c9b…
05-08 18:03:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x7ae0ad…
05-08 16:48:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,363	2¢	$22	0x574512…
05-08 15:32:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	4,873	99¢	$4,804	0x6aeff7…
05-08 14:09:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	305	91¢	$278	0x4b777f…
05-08 14:09:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	355	91¢	$323	0x3bd935…
05-08 14:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	295	91¢	$269	0x39b80c…
05-08 14:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	278	91¢	$253	0xbb68ea…
05-08 14:08:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	258	91¢	$235	0x4f80a6…
05-08 14:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	290	91¢	$264	0xbe4841…
05-08 14:08:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	279	91¢	$254	0xa69250…
05-08 14:08:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	261	91¢	$237	0xf75598…
05-08 14:08:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	262	91¢	$238	0x973bb0…
05-08 14:08:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	221	91¢	$201	0x17f292…
05-08 14:08:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	236	91¢	$214	0xcc112e…
05-08 14:08:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	244	91¢	$222	0x6cfe00…
05-08 14:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	312	91¢	$284	0x9a07b2…
05-08 14:08:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	275	91¢	$250	0xb98b54…
05-08 14:08:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	336	91¢	$305	0xc31663…
05-08 14:07:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	307	91¢	$280	0x0732c6…
05-08 14:06:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	260	91¢	$236	0xba945f…
05-08 14:06:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	369	91¢	$336	0xfb0b36…
05-08 14:06:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	274	91¢	$249	0xef7f80…
05-08 13:28:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xf75982…
05-08 09:50:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x59095c…
05-08 06:57:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	3¢	$12	0x87d3ff…
05-08 06:24:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	3,567	98¢	$3,478	0x868a89…
05-08 06:13:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4,868	97¢	$4,712	0xe061b8…
05-08 06:12:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x536917…
05-08 06:05:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0x7f82d4…
05-08 05:42:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0xefef1a…
05-08 05:37:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd00b93…
05-08 05:02:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x38278c…
05-08 05:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x75427a…