Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

98 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$91

$128 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 11-06 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

76% 59% -$1

Politics

18% 58% -$2

Tech

5% 33% +$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	+4	$1	72¢	$3	+$2	10-25 14:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	11-06 13:41
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	+5	$1	20¢	$1	$0	11-06 01:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-04 05:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-30 04:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-25 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 04:46
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-21 14:33
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 14:43
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	09-15 13:53
another pandemic before gta vi	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 21:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-03 10:00
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-22 00:51
will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 10:23
will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-17 02:12
will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-01 19:03
spx up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-17 11:36
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 16:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-02 00:17
will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 18:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-04 18:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 14:30
will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-05 02:28
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-06 22:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-08 06:56
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-02 21:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-04 02:21
spy up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-06 10:51
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$0	10-15 00:29
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 05:29
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-30 14:45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 04:18
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	$0	07-31 13:22
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 23:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-02 08:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-29 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:41:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x765d03…
11-06 01:22:58	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x66f369…
11-05 13:14:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33907b…
11-05 02:53:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x70f328…
11-04 05:30:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x315379…
11-03 07:38:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcd2390…
11-02 19:37:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2bbbf7…
11-02 11:36:18	Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcbdba1…
11-02 03:34:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaa508c…
11-01 19:23:09	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x208c03…
10-31 21:39:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5ef75e…
10-31 05:22:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7fbd51…
10-30 04:59:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9cfc23…
10-29 07:16:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e7456…
10-26 23:13:05	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60a4a3…
10-26 14:58:00	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6a340…
10-26 06:57:53	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfed421…
10-25 22:56:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe07e6f…
10-25 14:47:53	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6add96…
10-25 12:00:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06c6c4…
10-25 02:06:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe31ce3…
10-23 04:36:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x842896…
10-22 20:32:44	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6c34e8…
10-22 12:22:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x829bcd…
10-22 03:03:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x39300b…
10-21 19:02:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x63312b…
10-21 11:00:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xedecd9…
10-21 03:00:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x10ebd7…
10-20 15:40:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0f323a…
10-20 07:40:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x15f11e…
10-19 23:37:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9c849…
10-19 15:37:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x92b3bb…
10-19 07:36:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa27bfe…
10-18 23:34:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5edd23…
10-18 13:10:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcff928…
10-18 00:03:32	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x008622…
10-17 15:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbef45f…
10-17 04:24:38	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xefbbcf…
10-16 13:04:24	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x305e4c…
10-16 05:02:15	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x406c32…
10-15 21:00:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3453fa…
10-15 09:55:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xca2ed6…
10-15 00:29:40	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe2f934…
10-15 00:23:07	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbe004a…
10-14 15:38:45	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xada2c5…
10-14 07:33:43	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe65230…
10-13 23:17:00	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4a2ab9…
10-13 15:03:04	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x73104d…
10-12 06:46:01	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa65732…
10-11 22:45:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe408f2…
10-11 14:38:42	gemini 4pt0 released by october 14 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x130538…
10-11 03:49:45	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd8aae6…
10-10 19:26:33	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xff7433…
10-10 04:54:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x53659f…
10-06 12:08:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3ba708…
10-06 04:06:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4497c8…
10-05 15:35:46	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb86a34…
10-04 23:04:25	will coin reach 200 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7165da…
10-02 15:26:23	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbe3848…
10-02 06:05:02	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d381e…
10-01 13:41:09	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2d5dad…
10-01 05:39:11	wti closes above 88 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xceb088…
09-30 20:49:59	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc128bf…
09-30 10:55:18	wti closes above 92 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd5e143…
09-29 02:54:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x41bf08…
09-29 02:54:35	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf3a7c7…
09-27 01:45:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4d4282…
09-26 14:59:23	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0e163…
09-26 06:58:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8fd75f…
09-25 20:58:45	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x754d24…
09-22 23:07:47	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x55bf28…
09-22 14:43:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x868373…
09-21 14:33:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x0b1928…
09-21 14:30:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdd593b…
09-15 13:53:04	Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 20?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5f4328…
09-13 04:18:01	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x278e67…
09-01 19:03:42	will meta dip to 560 by august 31 2026 from september 1	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4f0853…
08-22 00:51:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x3ada8b…
08-17 11:36:01	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe30ebb…
08-17 02:12:43	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xf89819…
08-08 06:56:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x887558…
08-06 22:52:00	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbd3263…
08-06 10:51:12	spy up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb3bd7a…
08-05 02:28:14	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb817eb…
08-04 18:25:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x2bb6cc…
08-04 10:23:57	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x92b7e9…
08-04 02:21:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5039e2…
08-03 18:14:38	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x38d796…
08-03 10:00:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa7d473…
08-02 21:05:17	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x533508…
08-02 08:43:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1c5b87…
08-02 00:17:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe97bc6…
08-01 16:16:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x138f3e…
08-01 05:29:03	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x583048…
07-31 21:23:27	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf0b82d…
07-31 13:22:53	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x47eda2…
07-31 04:46:29	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0df72e…
07-30 14:45:21	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x612ea2…