Internal-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$232

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

130

Trades

430

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$279

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-09 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

36% 90% -$38

Other

33% 93% +$91

Crypto

25% 88% +$4

Sports

4% 75% +$175

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+270	$251	98¢	$266	+$14	06-18 15:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	+50	$10	12¢	$6	-$5	07-08 03:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+270	$17	2¢	$4	-$13	06-22 08:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$11	15¢	$4	-$8	07-08 03:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	11	$4.1K	2,106	2,106	+0	No	+$4	03-14 07:08
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	42	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	+$0	02-19 09:56
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	8	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$0	01-09 15:56
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$0	02-18 05:08
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$0	02-20 09:25
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	+$1	02-13 09:17
Will Evictix Win North America ACE Stage 3	7	$854	660	360	+300	No	+$6	06-28 00:38
Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	13	$755	390	390	+0	No	+$7	07-04 00:25
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$742	373	373	+0	No	+$1	03-28 13:55
trump out as president by march 31	6	$681	349	349	+0	No	+$1	03-10 15:38
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	9	$672	1,404	96	+1,308	Yes	+$15	09-09 09:16
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$638	426	213	+213	No	+$1	02-03 07:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$625	421	210	+211	Yes	+$3	01-25 12:08
Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	15	$571	923	923	+0	open	—	09-09 04:21
will scott bessent attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$520	521	0	+521	Yes	+$1	02-24 13:06
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$519	520	0	+520	Yes	+$1	02-20 15:34
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$516	517	0	+517	Yes	+$1	02-13 18:38
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	1	$508	509	0	+509	Yes	+$1	02-14 21:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$507	254	254	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 13:33
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$501	253	253	+0	No	+$1	04-23 16:51
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$489	490	0	+490	No	+$1	02-14 03:58
Will Evil Geniuses Academy Win North America ACE Stage 3	5	$485	250	249	+1	No	+$6	07-04 22:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$484	252	252	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:24
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$456	229	229	+0	No	+$0	02-12 20:12
Will Alliance Guardians Win North America ACE Stage 3	6	$446	519	129	+390	No	+$4	06-27 23:50
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	7	$442	222	222	+0	No	+$2	06-27 08:34
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	2	$438	220	220	+0	No	+$2	06-25 05:56
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$421	220	220	+0	Yes	+$2	02-11 12:23
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$419	216	216	+0	No	+$1	01-20 08:29
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	2	$417	209	209	+0	No	+$0	01-14 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 10:53:48	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	SELL	75	29¢	$22	0xbe9e81…
09-09 09:56:45	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x814d2e…
09-09 09:55:19	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xf37d4b…
09-09 09:54:10	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	BUY	125	64¢	$79	0x24ea1b…
09-09 09:48:55	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x1204d2…
09-09 09:48:06	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	BUY	56	65¢	$36	0x84109a…
09-09 09:46:10	Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	318	17¢	$55	0xceef41…
09-09 09:16:46	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	18¢	$17	0x25839a…
09-09 09:15:22	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	SELL	66	56¢	$37	0xa13afa…
09-09 09:14:10	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0xd9d051…
09-09 09:14:10	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8e1f4c…
09-09 09:08:19	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0x282ee5…
09-09 08:58:37	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3aa9ff…
09-09 08:58:01	Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	SELL	146	16¢	$23	0x550fb3…
09-09 08:48:18	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x8130c4…
09-09 08:44:31	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x79c883…
09-09 08:44:27	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf594b0…
09-09 08:44:27	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x67f6fd…
09-09 08:44:25	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	39	40¢	$16	0xf8e095…
09-09 08:38:00	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x789ac8…
09-09 08:31:33	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x03af5c…
09-09 08:31:07	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xc1a365…
09-09 08:30:16	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	175	55¢	$96	0x4856c7…
09-09 08:30:16	Will Keith Riel win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x3c2b92…
09-09 08:08:27	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x392d2c…
09-09 08:07:18	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	356	82¢	$290	0x9a4c64…
09-09 07:51:25	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x5f84f7…
09-09 07:34:09	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x64b69f…
09-09 07:30:58	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xeaf323…
09-09 07:21:55	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	545	19¢	$105	0x91d3f2…
09-09 07:21:12	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x918043…
09-09 07:21:00	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x1a6765…
09-09 07:20:49	Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xffff16…
09-09 07:07:33	will elon musk post about laptop by september 30	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x796655…
09-09 06:53:42	will donald trump post about laptop by september 30	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x33d297…
09-09 06:51:22	Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$55	0x0b5a38…
09-09 06:37:22	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x290999…
09-09 06:30:24	Will Changpeng Zhao (CZ) post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Yes	BUY	346	18¢	$62	0xebbe53…
09-09 06:25:18	will donald trump post about laptop by september 30	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x00e912…
09-09 06:17:07	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	135	8¢	$11	0x7eb137…
09-09 06:16:36	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	187	8¢	$15	0x1ddeeb…
09-09 06:16:33	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	362	10¢	$37	0xe458a7…
09-09 05:52:03	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd64641…
09-09 05:49:46	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	119	10¢	$12	0x13a2ec…
09-09 05:49:45	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	444	11¢	$51	0x0d05f3…
09-09 05:26:52	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xe6b280…
09-09 05:22:16	LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	BUY	614	7¢	$44	0x0f8d06…
09-09 04:55:10	will elon musk post about laptop by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xdf234c…
09-09 04:55:07	will elon musk post about laptop by september 30	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xf51bb4…
09-09 04:53:19	will donald trump post about laptop by september 30	Yes	BUY	73	18¢	$13	0xa69204…
09-09 04:24:16	Will Holo Devnani win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x0dc430…
09-09 04:21:06	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x52aafa…
09-09 04:19:57	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x95678d…
09-09 04:19:55	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	SELL	917	30¢	$271	0x5e6a10…
09-09 04:18:48	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0x277eca…
09-09 04:18:40	Will Holo Devnani win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc39aa9…
09-09 04:17:57	Will Holo Devnani win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8d88cf…
09-09 04:06:40	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc61c20…
09-09 03:58:12	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x013366…
09-09 03:03:04	Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?	No	BUY	523	26¢	$136	0x62cb91…
07-23 19:09:16	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	168	97¢	$163	0x69f366…
07-23 10:35:46	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xe205fb…
07-23 10:34:57	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	74	96¢	$72	0x75bcc7…
07-19 08:44:01	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x138923…
07-16 01:12:25	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x02cb70…
07-09 13:39:29	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x20ced7…
07-08 03:08:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x31bb58…
07-08 03:08:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xa3dc16…
07-04 22:50:47	Will Evil Geniuses Academy Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x35b059…
07-04 04:43:17	Will Evil Geniuses Academy Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf55119…
07-04 00:25:31	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0xad9fb9…
07-03 16:25:38	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b4a40…
07-03 16:20:37	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1e4136…
07-02 23:32:43	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0f4961…
07-02 12:36:52	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xecb89e…
06-30 10:50:37	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x579e94…
06-30 09:16:08	Will Division One Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xab56ec…
06-28 07:31:34	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348597	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7ab533…
06-28 00:38:37	Will Evictix Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x145429…
06-27 23:50:10	Will Alliance Guardians Win North America ACE Stage 3	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x165e64…
06-27 10:32:31	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xc048ca…
06-27 10:31:59	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	SELL	72	24¢	$17	0xdf63a2…
06-27 10:22:26	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x7017b4…
06-27 10:18:11	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xcb5165…
06-27 10:18:10	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	No	BUY	166	74¢	$123	0x960f9a…
06-27 09:43:37	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1d1806…
06-27 09:43:01	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	93	28¢	$26	0xdbc9c4…
06-27 09:41:07	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x987925…
06-27 09:30:05	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	SELL	147	30¢	$44	0x4548bd…
06-27 09:26:44	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xfd8514…
06-27 09:26:22	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	BUY	160	22¢	$35	0xcae162…
06-27 08:34:29	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x7d93d3…
06-27 08:32:04	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ea434…
06-27 08:22:40	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x323c78…
06-27 08:19:08	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf289b3…
06-27 08:18:26	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd2b97a…
06-27 08:18:25	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x28252f…
06-27 06:00:56	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348598	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc17afc…
06-27 05:59:49	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348598	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd808d0…
06-27 05:58:11	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348597	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x38cc8d…