Internal-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$270

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 07:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

36% — —

Crypto

31% 100% +$1

Other

27% 100% +$0

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+270	$251	96¢	$260	+$9	06-18 15:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+270	$17	4¢	$10	$-7	06-22 08:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	11	$4.1K	2,106	2,106	+0	open	—	03-14 07:08
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	42	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	02-19 09:56
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	8	$1.2K	626	626	+0	open	—	01-09 15:56
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	02-20 09:25
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	02-18 05:08
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	open	—	02-13 09:17
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$742	373	373	+0	open	—	03-28 13:55
trump out as president by march 31	6	$681	349	349	+0	open	—	03-10 15:38
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$638	426	213	+213	open	—	02-03 07:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$625	421	210	+211	open	—	01-25 12:08
will scott bessent attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$520	521	0	+521	open	—	02-24 13:06
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$519	520	0	+520	open	—	02-20 15:34
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$516	517	0	+517	Yes	+$1	02-13 18:38
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	1	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	02-14 21:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$507	254	254	+0	open	—	04-08 13:33
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$501	253	253	+0	open	—	04-23 16:51
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$489	490	0	+490	open	—	02-14 03:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$484	252	252	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 02:24
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$456	229	229	+0	open	—	02-12 20:12
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	7	$442	222	222	+0	open	—	06-27 08:34
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	2	$438	220	220	+0	open	—	06-25 05:56
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$421	220	220	+0	open	—	02-11 12:23
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$419	216	216	+0	open	—	01-20 08:29
will ethereum dip to 1400 in january 2026 585	2	$417	209	209	+0	open	—	01-14 13:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$416	209	209	+0	open	—	01-10 08:23
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	2	$414	214	214	+0	open	—	02-04 11:26
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	12	$409	209	202	+7	open	—	01-11 17:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$396	204	204	+0	open	—	04-08 01:03
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$385	205	181	+24	open	—	01-04 13:09
will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	3	$378	633	89	+544	open	—	06-26 08:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 07:31:34	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348597	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7ab533…
06-27 08:34:29	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x7d93d3…
06-27 08:32:04	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0ea434…
06-27 08:22:40	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x323c78…
06-27 08:19:08	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf289b3…
06-27 08:18:26	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd2b97a…
06-27 08:18:25	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x28252f…
06-27 06:00:56	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348598	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc17afc…
06-27 05:59:49	will there be 3 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348598	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd808d0…
06-27 05:58:11	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348597	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x38cc8d…
06-27 05:52:38	will there be 2 trades in the first round of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213348597	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb79087…
06-26 14:27:11	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	SELL	46	12¢	$6	0xe4a671…
06-26 11:01:07	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x36515b…
06-26 10:55:16	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	SELL	258	18¢	$45	0x9b50ca…
06-26 10:10:02	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x080a4d…
06-26 09:48:47	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x800fa4…
06-26 09:34:34	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x20df62…
06-26 09:33:37	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	No	BUY	21	80¢	$16	0x632664…
06-26 09:28:38	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xecbd9f…
06-26 09:27:50	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	BUY	164	5¢	$9	0x363a6b…
06-26 09:27:32	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	BUY	298	4¢	$11	0x7bf45d…
06-26 08:58:16	will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	Yes	BUY	270	6¢	$15	0x1e2ea9…
06-26 08:47:38	will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x4e8e88…
06-26 08:45:43	will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x2def69…
06-26 08:41:35	will adam novotny be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347248	No	BUY	363	77¢	$277	0x35f611…
06-26 08:24:31	will tommy bleyl be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346499	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x67c220…
06-26 08:23:46	will ilya morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346496	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x358c71…
06-26 06:41:38	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x210af6…
06-26 06:37:23	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc7c000…
06-26 05:22:10	will alexander command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347243	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x239a17…
06-26 05:13:16	will alexander command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347243	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x773d89…
06-26 05:12:56	will alexander command be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347243	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x46f19d…
06-26 05:07:26	will elton hermansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347249	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x240a34…
06-26 04:45:41	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xc180ab…
06-26 04:35:14	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x9e00e9…
06-26 04:19:59	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	No	SELL	289	2¢	$6	0x5214ef…
06-26 04:18:07	will elton hermansson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346494	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf09b86…
06-26 04:17:47	will jp hurlbert be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346495	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xf6811b…
06-26 04:12:59	will elton hermansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347249	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x926e7b…
06-26 04:09:47	will jp hurlbert be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346495	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xfaa837…
06-26 04:08:46	will elton hermansson be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346494	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x614a7c…
06-26 04:08:23	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x05105d…
06-26 04:06:52	will tommy bleyl be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346499	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x5c35fe…
06-26 04:06:47	will oliver suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346491	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x6500ee…
06-26 04:03:32	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x313559…
06-26 04:03:07	will ilya morozov be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346496	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x3c320b…
06-26 04:00:08	will william hakansson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347258	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x65ccbe…
06-26 03:59:49	will oliver suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346491	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xc583b2…
06-26 03:59:35	will oliver suvanto be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346491	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbf0a91…
06-26 03:49:14	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x571b64…
06-26 03:33:32	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x1951cd…
06-26 03:33:14	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0864b7…
06-26 03:29:37	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x1019f3…
06-26 03:11:40	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346475	No	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x10239c…
06-26 03:11:13	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x38944a…
06-26 03:07:10	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xd45d89…
06-26 03:06:29	will chase reid be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346476	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc09c05…
06-25 15:51:10	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xb7dbfb…
06-25 05:56:52	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x9287b1…
06-22 13:44:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x319efb…
06-22 08:27:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$8	0xc61196…
06-18 15:34:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x1206d1…
06-14 11:33:46	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xfba490…
06-14 11:31:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xdc493e…
06-10 05:28:27	will tom herman advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x899b57…
06-10 03:34:34	will stephanie vargas advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x0a8409…
06-10 01:37:54	will tom herman advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09c392…
06-09 06:14:00	will tom herman advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e652a…
06-08 15:06:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x91e005…
06-06 02:42:48	will stephanie vargas advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x1a1703…
06-06 02:40:33	will tom herman advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x528c03…
06-02 02:53:06	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9fc051…
06-02 02:51:09	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x771b02…
05-31 08:38:17	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac2a0e…
05-25 12:40:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x1b10f3…
05-25 12:35:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x04f66b…
05-24 07:02:57	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xb762b7…
05-16 02:35:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x6b6d07…
05-16 02:35:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x658efa…
05-16 02:35:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xaca365…
05-16 02:34:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x14e6f6…
05-08 12:38:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4e9ad6…
05-04 19:51:32	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0x4bff5e…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0x7b8a01…
04-27 10:00:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x7b7cf1…
04-27 09:59:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xe749ae…
04-23 16:51:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0x42eb4b…
04-21 01:57:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x65a9f5…
04-20 01:44:16	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x587491…
04-18 04:41:54	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x790bfd…
04-18 02:57:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x0189c1…
04-08 13:33:31	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x161ff2…
04-08 10:44:39	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xbea389…
04-08 01:03:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x4d1139…
04-07 13:29:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x5b4475…
04-07 02:24:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	222	96¢	$213	0xa5a6a4…
04-07 01:35:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x384373…
04-06 22:17:25	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xed0b78…
04-06 21:57:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x54c4ac…
04-06 20:08:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8a65f1…