Artistic-Substitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

327

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-02 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

51% 37% -$160

Sports

32% 39% -$37

Politics

17% 36% -$30

Crypto

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	06-07 07:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$380	190	190	+0	No	$0	01-12 03:09
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$340	171	171	+0	No	$0	01-26 07:03
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$340	180	180	+0	No	$0	01-21 03:24
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	01-30 03:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$56	127	127	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 16:14
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda	7	$43	61	53	+8	Zachary Svajda	+$21	05-30 11:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	13	$34	43	21	+22	No	-$5	05-25 02:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	11	$31	59	59	+0	No	+$0	06-04 15:24
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	10	$29	28	28	+0	No	-$1	06-07 07:42
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	6	$27	25	15	+10	Nuno Borges	+$3	05-27 16:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	9	$26	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-27 05:47
nhl nyi phi 2026 01 26	1	$25	49	0	+49	Islanders	-$25	01-26 07:02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$24	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-27 04:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$24	47	47	+0	Yes	$0	06-10 01:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	07-02 08:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$22	51	8	+42	No	-$8	05-26 19:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$20	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-27 07:54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$18	36	36	+0	No	+$6	07-02 08:22
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	6	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 07:06
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$18	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 20:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	8	$17	84	84	+0	No	+$2	06-10 09:24
nba okc tor 2026 02 24	1	$17	34	0	+34	Thunder	+$17	02-24 04:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	5	$17	55	55	+0	No	-$3	05-27 07:59
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-08 01:08
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	3	$15	11	11	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$7	06-01 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-09 00:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	7	$15	14	14	+0	No	-$1	05-27 07:29
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$14	31	0	+31	Pistons	+$17	03-23 01:10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	4	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$13	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-27 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:22:55	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xe71c8f…
07-02 08:22:55	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xd29a6c…
07-02 08:22:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	35¢	$12	0xe5fe27…
06-11 13:07:48	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x39b73b…
06-10 16:14:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x870b8b…
06-10 15:51:10	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb93f49…
06-10 15:40:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9d42fa…
06-10 15:15:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf9d1c6…
06-10 11:42:58	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x03cdc5…
06-10 11:42:55	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x906150…
06-10 09:39:24	solana above 60 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3c8f2b…
06-10 09:24:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xdd9500…
06-10 08:50:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x404695…
06-10 07:29:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x33790a…
06-10 07:25:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x05ef96…
06-10 07:03:24	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xa1b703…
06-10 06:26:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x8287e4…
06-10 05:14:55	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc8f5ed…
06-10 05:14:52	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd7527d…
06-10 05:14:49	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x7a6dfa…
06-10 05:14:37	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x579ed4…
06-10 05:14:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xbb4d55…
06-10 02:27:25	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xd6445e…
06-10 02:20:36	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xe3b7cc…
06-10 02:12:01	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbe5b0e…
06-10 02:11:58	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc3cfcf…
06-10 01:52:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0xc41efa…
06-09 03:34:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x886040…
06-09 03:34:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x1221a2…
06-09 02:17:42	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x21c7fa…
06-09 02:03:46	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc5fa7f…
06-09 01:00:19	Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x72d6f9…
06-09 00:51:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf7dd8d…
06-09 00:33:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd33462…
06-08 22:55:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6d170c…
06-08 21:01:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x921cf6…
06-08 20:16:58	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x846a56…
06-08 20:08:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xfc3636…
06-08 20:01:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x52785d…
06-08 16:07:55	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x451f50…
06-08 15:58:00	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4e0d0f…
06-08 15:14:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xd3e241…
06-08 15:04:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x3fc5bf…
06-08 14:56:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x9dcd72…
06-08 14:53:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0xb5366d…
06-08 14:22:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6207ae…
06-08 14:15:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x895a43…
06-08 13:21:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x750f25…
06-08 12:48:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x28f46b…
06-08 11:48:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x638e5a…
06-08 11:48:22	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x43c534…
06-08 11:22:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf44533…
06-08 10:58:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x68901b…
06-08 09:49:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe89d4f…
06-08 08:23:30	wti closes above 96 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc031a2…
06-08 07:24:07	wti closes above 96 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x15d9dc…
06-08 06:57:51	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x4cd4ed…
06-08 06:24:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf459b7…
06-08 04:59:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe24fb3…
06-08 04:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2f7beb…
06-08 04:20:48	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb99f01…
06-08 03:28:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf958a…
06-08 03:02:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4fe1dc…
06-08 02:56:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb8a503…
06-08 01:19:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	49	16¢	$8	0xfb1250…
06-08 01:08:07	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6d4258…
06-08 01:02:09	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x615e6d…
06-08 00:16:10	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5aaffe…
06-07 23:50:01	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4c6d6…
06-07 22:08:00	iran closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1f39af…
06-07 21:21:42	iran closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2bcb72…
06-07 19:11:40	Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x34b49b…
06-07 19:02:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa1f839…
06-07 16:10:04	Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd952a7…
06-07 15:09:33	Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xf0d897…
06-07 15:06:12	Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf48f3d…
06-07 15:06:12	Will LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xccbd4c…
06-07 14:27:48	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xef209a…
06-07 12:24:45	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x380919…
06-07 09:58:40	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x458333…
06-07 09:33:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xea27d4…
06-07 09:27:12	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x515380…
06-07 09:14:25	lol kt dk 2026 06 07 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac4de3…
06-07 09:14:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7794da…
06-07 08:42:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x60111b…
06-07 07:57:24	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfe1df3…
06-07 07:57:22	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8e0bc2…
06-07 07:57:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x173f7b…
06-07 07:57:15	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xef2325…
06-07 07:42:10	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xda750e…
06-05 09:22:03	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x042377…
06-05 05:25:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0d341a…
06-05 05:12:03	wti closes above 92 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x580d11…
06-04 22:21:54	cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05	Liquid	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x966d12…
06-04 22:03:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7054e4…
06-04 20:59:06	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1e67a1…
06-04 20:40:24	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5a23cf…
06-04 20:21:21	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd4e6b9…
06-04 20:21:21	Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x63174a…
06-04 20:19:16	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1aa9c6…