Cruel-Savior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$533

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

1,609

Trades

4,637

lifetime

Volume

$37.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 07-22 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 64% -$237

Politics

23% 40% +$419

Other

3% 18% -$688

Sports

0% 0% -$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	5	$945	864	864	+0	Yes	+$243	06-14 18:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$882	844	844	+0	Yes	+$124	02-28 20:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$877	534	534	+0	Yes	+$86	03-23 17:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$776	789	689	+100	No	+$520	05-26 08:00
will iran strike turkey in march	7	$730	1,809	1,809	+0	No	-$189	03-05 10:10
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	1	$700	944	0	+944	No	-$700	06-14 18:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:10 UTC	2	$503	261	260	+0	Down	+$13	03-23 19:15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$448	303	303	+0	Yes	+$156	06-07 23:15
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$403	372	269	+103	No	-$37	06-09 17:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$342	294	294	+0	Yes	+$242	04-08 00:20
iran closes its airspace by june 22	1	$300	406	0	+406	Yes	+$106	06-07 19:44
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$300	366	0	+366	No	-$300	06-13 11:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$288	600	600	+0	No	-$12	03-03 13:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$200	997	997	+0	No	+$1	01-30 16:24
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	1	$165	317	0	+317	No	-$165	03-05 10:14
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$162	306	0	+306	Yes	+$144	04-08 09:42
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	2	$150	1,690	0	+1,690	No	-$150	04-12 04:31
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	2	$139	204	204	+0	No	-$61	04-09 19:44
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	2	$134	145	145	+0	No	+$104	06-14 18:49
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$133	886	886	+0	No	-$67	03-01 07:42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$129	152	152	+0	No	+$29	05-30 16:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$126	1,703	1,703	+0	Yes	+$6	04-07 19:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$123	1,722	0	+1,722	No	-$123	04-18 08:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$118	167	167	+0	No	-$2	05-28 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 23:40 UTC	17	$108	327	0	+327	Down	-$108	04-02 23:44
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	2	$106	297	297	+0	Yes	+$46	04-09 19:58
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$101	506	0	+506	No	-$101	01-30 16:25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$100	256	0	+256	No	-$100	05-30 13:29
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$100	143	0	+143	Yes	+$43	06-09 16:02
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	2	$100	187	0	+187	No	-$100	04-23 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:56:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	241	42¢	$100	0x697e7b…
06-22 16:59:07	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?	Yes	BUY	405	4¢	$16	0x45d7d9…
06-14 18:56:12	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	944	74¢	$700	0xebd5ef…
06-14 18:50:09	Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	474	80¢	$378	0x28dd74…
06-14 18:49:04	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	145	82¢	$119	0x082487…
06-14 18:48:45	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x95c657…
06-14 18:16:36	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	492	51¢	$251	0xf0fb60…
06-14 18:09:42	Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	372	54¢	$201	0x798243…
06-14 17:40:06	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	316	4¢	$12	0x26e3f7…
06-14 14:58:39	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	372	27¢	$100	0xe151bf…
06-14 10:46:12	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	145	10¢	$15	0xc2a4a0…
06-13 14:27:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	43	34¢	$15	0xcaf73c…
06-13 11:11:03	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	317	6¢	$19	0x2e329f…
06-13 11:10:57	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x813f75…
06-12 15:38:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xa3f5b4…
06-10 10:47:10	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0xe28c0a…
06-09 17:20:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x0a2156…
06-09 16:02:46	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x8dee38…
06-09 16:02:43	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xaf10b8…
06-08 06:13:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	69	12¢	$8	0xe22921…
06-08 05:15:00	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0x796ef5…
06-08 02:59:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x281cc7…
06-07 23:15:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0x9c938d…
06-07 19:44:49	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	406	74¢	$300	0xcd5799…
06-07 19:28:48	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2d46b4…
06-07 19:27:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	269	68¢	$183	0x66cd3a…
06-07 19:19:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	269	74¢	$200	0x88ebcf…
06-07 19:08:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$101	0x319fcb…
06-07 18:28:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	151	30¢	$45	0xcee961…
06-07 18:28:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	152	23¢	$35	0x067b11…
06-03 19:32:24	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	152	14¢	$22	0x48c1c1…
05-30 16:09:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	152	52¢	$79	0xb5d435…
05-30 15:56:00	Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x152490…
05-30 13:29:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xe21a23…
05-30 13:29:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x098689…
05-29 21:12:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xbd4b1e…
05-29 18:30:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x5c4379…
05-28 19:33:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	167	35¢	$58	0x3724dd…
05-28 14:34:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x75d6df…
05-28 10:58:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	243	0¢	$1	0x6259ec…
05-26 08:00:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e60cf…
05-25 18:11:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0xe79282…
05-24 20:54:46	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0x5d9e43…
05-24 20:34:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4ea874…
05-23 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x750437…
05-23 13:54:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x39f496…
05-23 09:15:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	161	78¢	$125	0x1adc7c…
05-23 07:11:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xce60fd…
05-23 03:31:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x3b82c7…
05-23 03:20:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	528	99¢	$522	0xcc6251…
05-21 11:37:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	343	21¢	$72	0x233cf0…
05-21 11:36:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	424	4¢	$15	0xcb0e8a…
05-21 02:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x37713d…
05-21 02:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x22ecae…
05-20 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x5efac0…
05-20 23:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x295ea4…
05-20 16:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x22f303…
05-20 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x24f9fe…
05-20 09:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x04ae32…
05-20 09:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x9ff216…
05-20 08:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xae664f…
05-20 08:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x00ffc8…
05-20 07:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xed3bfa…
05-20 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x8ead85…
05-20 06:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x38b2fc…
05-20 06:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xe3c052…
05-20 04:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x0a595a…
05-20 04:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x504079…
05-20 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xa91653…
05-20 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x9a2504…
05-20 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x041c0e…
05-20 03:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x5993e2…
05-20 03:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xda80f7…
05-20 03:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xe901ae…
05-20 01:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0x1d5bdf…
05-20 01:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xf72d3b…
05-20 01:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0xd672a9…
05-20 01:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xbbd6d4…
05-19 22:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0x33d890…
05-19 22:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x36ef8d…
05-19 22:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x5bc04f…
05-19 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xd2b419…
05-19 22:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x783ced…
05-19 22:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xeffe7a…
05-19 18:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x551973…
05-19 18:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe66294…
05-19 17:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xee6313…
05-19 17:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x7b19e5…
05-19 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x80c423…
05-19 16:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xbac423…
05-19 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x0efa52…
05-19 16:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x86178c…
05-19 13:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x6d7c57…
05-19 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x282cf7…
05-19 13:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x1dea21…
05-19 13:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xb3210b…
05-19 13:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x1922c8…
05-19 13:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x9b470d…
05-19 05:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0xffcae5…
05-19 05:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x82bc9f…