Realized P&L (24h)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved (24h)
5
Trades (24h)
18
360 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$28
$446 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$74
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-03
last 11-14 17:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
74% 69% +$26
Politics
18% 65% +$1
Tech
8% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-08 07:20
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes +5 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 10-22 12:11
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 11-01 07:03
Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 11-13 17:17
will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 11-09 05:20
Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 11-14 08:59
Will fewer than 500M Anthropic shares trade on IPO day? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 11-14 17:08
Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $30m and $35m at auction? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 11-07 07:31
Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +4 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-27 12:03
Will Home Depot (HD) Q3 comparable sales growth be from 2% to under 2.25%? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-13 10:34
Will Vox receive 22% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 10-22 05:42
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for at least $70m at auction? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 11-07 16:49
Will the total domestic gross for "Drummer Boy" be at least $30M by November 30? No +4 $4 54¢ $2 -$2 11-14 17:10
will james li win the 2026 scarborough north by election 1793634153233 Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-03 05:58
Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in November 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-13 05:05
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-08 08:25
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-11 11:54
Will Nelson Pohl win the 2026 Yorkton—Melville by-election? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-03 06:00
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on November 30? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 11-14 07:28
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds at APEC? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 11-11 16:48
will guy cormier win the 2026 lauriersainte marie by election 1793634150233 Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 11-03 06:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 11-10 06:48
Will Mark Rothko's “Untitled” sell for between $5.5m and $6.5m at auction? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 11-13 04:33
Will November 2026 Core CPI MoM be 0.4%? No +2 $2 85¢ $2 $0 11-12 11:22
Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +2 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 10-27 11:45
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for between $90m and $105m at auction? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 $0 11-08 06:23
Will Abdul El-Sayed be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 11-10 06:48
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 11-13 16:49
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +5 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 11-08 06:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-27 05:05