Self-Assured-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

796

Trades

827

lifetime

Volume

$8.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$3

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	10-24 13:22
Ōita Trinita vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	05-17 07:00
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
Bradford City AFC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-14 23:35
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:27
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Cobolli	+$0	06-07 19:14
rou1 fcb fcr 2026 07 27 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 20:54
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-17 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf96642…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73d52b…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c55a1…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf426ff…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x60c64d…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x858089…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf42914…
10-24 12:40:18	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfacf3c…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x534569…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6211…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01ab7f…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x235e6d…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf50139…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc9c7b…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd83017…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6d7cc5…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b7ac2…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2eb3f…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3380e6…
10-13 15:53:27	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c220b…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b2714…
10-12 09:06:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d7a31…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa82e0…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8239e5…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb95f0e…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb76f3…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb91ed…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ac0aa…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf668e1…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb02f1…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d193b…
10-04 23:23:19	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33914c…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9de9ac…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22bcd8…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf71c13…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf33a3…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b5785…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x61eec1…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b0f2a…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1316bc…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xebfab6…
10-01 16:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e3a8b…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4f2b5…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8bb7f8…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03aee4…
09-30 23:54:59	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87a784…
09-30 12:27:57	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb06c52…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39089b…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a8e1d…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdc1f3…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb4f971…
09-29 06:38:08	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9ecab…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xba964d…
09-28 20:43:09	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x104ddd…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d040f…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1e9f5…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7278…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2359d5…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd8803…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf82791…
09-27 00:27:47	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc999cf…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac7b53…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19d4c2…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe600…
09-26 04:34:15	wta bondar ruse 2026 09 25	Anna Bondar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa063ce…
09-25 23:21:59	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8157f…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb38f3c…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x056e77…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50589c…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a83ef…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5da9ef…
09-21 15:15:06	Sao Paulo Open (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Rogers/Zamarripa	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x813eca…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30272…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f1851…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeecca8…
09-18 19:17:12	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf11a28…
09-18 15:37:15	Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs mskLANERS - Map 2 Winner	JUMBO TEAM	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a80f1…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d9f85…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f6539…
09-17 00:30:54	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eada7…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc85df…
09-16 01:12:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2216e1…
09-15 13:57:13	European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians	Amsterdam Flames	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb29bb…
09-14 20:06:43	Hanshin Tigers vs. Chunichi Dragons	Chunichi Dragons	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x542d7b…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf981c5…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe69e01…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae0b87…
09-11 20:35:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c6f8…
09-11 15:59:33	cs2 wbt saw2 2026 09 11	SAW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54fc47…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6392fc…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53527a…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae7cf…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a9065…
09-10 11:46:45	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas	Amritsar Soormas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70cddc…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7455fe…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f87cc…
09-09 20:37:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6007cb…
09-09 19:14:49	will the first announced price of the foldable iphone be at least 1900	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x528b0b…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba76bf…