Conscious-Setting — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$106

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved (90d)

266

Trades (90d)

471

707 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$12.4K

$18.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$836

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-03 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

87% 95% +$133

Crypto

10% 93% +$14

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+318	$219	74¢	$237	+$17	10-06 19:24
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+150	$147	99¢	$149	+$2	10-26 23:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+110	$108	98¢	$108	+$0	10-03 15:20
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+321	$80	24¢	$75	-$5	10-06 19:24
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	+70	$67	98¢	$69	+$1	10-08 05:50
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-57	-$55	99¢	$-56	-$1	07-11 08:58
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	+50	$49	98¢	$49	+$0	10-03 23:10
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+30	$24	86¢	$26	+$2	10-03 18:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+30	$26	86¢	$26	-$1	10-17 14:43
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	+22	$20	92¢	$20	$0	07-11 08:56
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$0	11-03 09:05
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	+5	$3	66¢	$3	$0	11-03 09:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol tpe kor 2026 10 01	4	$539	520	20	+500	South Korea	+$1	10-02 06:20
LoL: South Korea vs Vietnam (BO5) - 2026 Asian Games National Team Evaluation Match	11	$435	335	117	+218	South Korea	+$13	09-20 12:47
lol kor ksa 2026 10 01	4	$389	390	0	+390	South Korea	+$1	10-01 04:48
lol tt al 2026 08 15	7	$256	260	0	+260	Anyone's Legend	+$4	08-15 12:23
lol sly koia 2026 09 27	3	$250	250	0	+250	Solary	+$0	09-27 08:42
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	2	$249	250	0	+250	Yes	+$1	02-18 19:30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	5	$244	246	0	+246	No	+$1	09-11 18:50
lol gen ly 2026 03 19	2	$239	240	0	+240	Gen.G	+$1	03-19 14:47
lol tt blg 2026 08 13	8	$228	230	0	+230	Bilibili Gaming	+$2	08-13 14:19
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	1	$219	318	0	+318	open	—	10-06 19:24
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01	7	$206	220	10	+210	Gen.G	+$4	03-01 10:30
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on September 22?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	09-22 17:57
spy closes above 745 on august 7 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	08-07 13:53
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	3	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	08-21 12:32
spy closes above 725 on july 2 2026	4	$185	175	10	+165	Yes	+$0	07-02 14:26
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of September 21 2026?	6	$183	185	0	+185	No	+$2	09-25 09:27
spy closes above 785 on august 6 2026	2	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	08-06 15:54
spy closes above 730 on july 15 2026	2	$165	165	0	+165	Yes	+$0	07-15 15:39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of October 12 2026?	3	$163	165	0	+165	No	+$2	10-15 17:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 10?	1	$158	159	0	+159	Yes	+$0	10-10 15:42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 7 2026?	3	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	09-11 18:48
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of September 14 2026?	2	$156	158	0	+158	No	+$2	09-18 12:53
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 game2	11	$155	100	100	+0	Gen.G	+$1	03-17 13:36
spy closes above 720 on july 2 2026	4	$152	77	77	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 22:34
spy closes above 760 on july 7 2026	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	07-07 16:20
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	5	$147	150	0	+150	open	—	10-26 23:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$146	130	20	+110	open	—	10-03 15:20
spy closes above 800 on september 24 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	09-24 13:46
spy closes above 735 on august 5 2026	6	$139	140	0	+140	Yes	+$1	08-05 00:10
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	3	$138	140	0	+140	open	—	10-23 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:09:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbde14f…
11-03 09:05:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x809a91…
11-03 09:05:07	Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x071cab…
10-28 21:34:29	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee9a7f…
10-28 21:33:44	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x48c933…
10-28 13:15:53	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb6a79f…
10-28 11:56:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1aaaf9…
10-28 11:49:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9e5e27…
10-28 11:49:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x404933…
10-28 11:49:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7f469e…
10-28 11:28:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7e3aac…
10-28 11:25:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xba4032…
10-26 23:16:32	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1abb65…
10-26 09:07:26	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xbab454…
10-26 09:07:23	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x7f0e09…
10-26 09:07:18	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3fd238…
10-26 01:21:14	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x1ff22f…
10-25 21:50:54	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x6e305e…
10-25 17:43:56	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xabc0e3…
10-25 07:33:24	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x673e5b…
10-25 07:31:21	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x786590…
10-24 19:40:08	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x409cc4…
10-24 18:40:30	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x87cec3…
10-24 18:39:23	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e63c8…
10-24 18:39:05	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d006d…
10-24 14:58:30	Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x31fd02…
10-23 04:48:17	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea64c7…
10-23 02:48:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d4785…
10-22 19:06:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ca081…
10-22 16:31:17	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96b484…
10-21 16:57:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbfff93…
10-21 14:25:38	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb643df…
10-21 13:31:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd13dd0…
10-21 12:26:00	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeef0f9…
10-21 12:22:39	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xf1a5ac…
10-20 19:38:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb70848…
10-20 12:29:53	Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x5480ee…
10-20 12:29:12	Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x7efb83…
10-20 12:20:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc88afe…
10-20 08:38:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0141d8…
10-19 19:26:20	Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x296f36…
10-19 16:30:02	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x93fea4…
10-19 16:29:23	Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xc11a8e…
10-18 18:32:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x0a041f…
10-18 18:10:39	LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6e783c…
10-17 14:43:44	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x335078…
10-16 17:16:20	spy closes above 760 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x400e97…
10-16 15:22:15	spy closes above 770 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x200346…
10-16 08:28:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10201b…
10-15 18:05:07	Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x5e0b38…
10-15 18:05:05	Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x59b219…
10-15 17:21:56	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb93b74…
10-15 17:21:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $577.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12213c…
10-15 17:20:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x34087f…
10-15 17:19:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a901d…
10-15 17:19:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x24b740…
10-15 17:18:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6e024d…
10-15 17:18:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9b7eac…
10-15 17:18:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xaa913e…
10-15 17:17:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x995360…
10-15 17:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc3c706…
10-15 17:16:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x0ae703…
10-12 11:13:26	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4edd86…
10-11 16:15:48	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe7e056…
10-10 18:12:46	LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Anubis Gaming	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x55f286…
10-10 15:42:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x739f61…
10-09 19:43:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccda1c…
10-09 18:30:59	spy closes above 770 on october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeea9d7…
10-08 18:09:17	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2957a7…
10-08 18:09:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x45dcd9…
10-08 05:50:49	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x4766d3…
10-08 05:39:44	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xaf7cf9…
10-08 01:35:08	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x69ce88…
10-07 18:55:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48d1dc…
10-07 18:55:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa75913…
10-07 17:06:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xddd7c4…
10-07 13:47:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x0a539b…
10-07 12:35:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5a2d10…
10-07 05:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x13d66e…
10-07 05:04:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0f6907…
10-06 22:36:27	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ecb0f…
10-06 22:36:27	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75b564…
10-06 22:36:27	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x278513…
10-06 19:44:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd951fe…
10-06 19:24:15	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	318	69¢	$219	0x4ea684…
10-06 19:24:03	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	25¢	$80	0x5d11a1…
10-06 18:56:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x991292…
10-06 18:55:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf360d8…
10-06 18:55:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe9e67…
10-06 18:55:29	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x774a27…
10-06 18:55:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x44fc6c…
10-06 18:52:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf8bf98…
10-06 18:52:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1ffff7…
10-05 23:13:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x38b35a…
10-05 14:54:04	Will Ali Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$33	0x2846a3…
10-05 10:55:19	will msft dip to 510 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x67174a…
10-05 07:04:49	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3bc311…
10-04 22:16:44	xrp above 1pt9 on october 9 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x745434…
10-04 12:33:58	lol we bro2 2026 10 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xba2376…
10-03 23:10:46	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x2f7fc3…