Well-Groomed-Causeway 0x409479…44d195
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Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
211
Trades
454
lifetime
Volume
$962
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-19 05:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Politics
47% 58% -$23
Crypto
24% 52% -$5
Other
23% 67% -$4
Sports
6% 80% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -38 -$2 6¢ $-2 $0 07-07 12:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-16 21:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-12 06:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:00
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-16 21:07
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-08 18:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-09 21:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 10-09 21:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 $0 10-08 18:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2 $0 18¢ $-0 $0 07-07 12:11
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +10 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-12 06:44