Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$3.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-09 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

75% 33% -$162

Tech

19% 50% -$23

Crypto

6% 40% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	6	$377	221	221	+0	No	-$18	04-30 11:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-30 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$187	100	96	+4	No	$0	04-30 07:32
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$176	100	100	+0	Yes	-$13	04-28 03:46
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$176	100	100	+0	No	-$14	04-28 03:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$132	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-28 17:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$115	102	100	+2	Yes	+$2	04-28 17:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$102	302	302	+0	No	+$1	04-30 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$100	305	301	+3	No	-$28	04-30 11:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$2	04-28 03:48
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	04-27 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$94	312	303	+9	No	-$12	04-30 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$92	103	103	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 02:06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$79	208	208	+0	No	-$8	04-30 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$75	285	285	+0	No	-$1	05-01 17:58
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	2	$73	80	0	+80	open	—	10-09 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	10	$73	308	300	+8	No	-$30	04-30 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$72	206	206	+0	No	-$1	04-30 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$67	209	209	+0	No	-$8	04-30 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	2	$58	104	104	+0	No	-$2	04-30 02:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$50	309	300	+9	No	-$30	04-30 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$41	106	106	+0	Yes	$0	05-01 17:58
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	14	$40	200	200	-0	No	+$0	04-30 07:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$40	30	18	+12	Yes	+$1	05-01 08:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	5	$30	200	200	+0	No	-$2	04-30 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	5	$29	99	99	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 07:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$27	250	244	+7	No	-$17	04-30 11:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$26	91	91	+0	No	$0	05-01 17:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$25	108	108	+0	Yes	-$1	05-01 17:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$23	105	105	+0	No	-$1	04-23 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 07:33:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x66874d…
10-06 18:54:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x409976…
09-01 03:30:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa4d259…
09-01 03:15:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb49df…
09-01 03:00:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x82cbd0…
09-01 01:30:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x24d217…
09-01 01:15:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb717df…
08-31 22:45:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc112af…
08-31 22:32:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3778a1…
08-31 21:45:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb3c6e9…
08-31 21:45:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x57555a…
08-31 21:01:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26c45a…
08-31 20:45:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbde3a7…
08-31 20:45:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2ec85b…
08-31 15:14:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc3cbde…
08-31 15:14:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x657f91…
08-31 14:48:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xde2c83…
08-31 14:48:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f4beb…
08-31 14:00:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x604206…
08-31 11:45:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde743d…
05-01 17:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0x7485e1…
05-01 17:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x6933c2…
05-01 17:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	20¢	$13	0x3c75ae…
05-01 17:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	13¢	$23	0xd997db…
05-01 17:58:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	6¢	$6	0xc291bc…
05-01 17:45:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0xb2fe41…
05-01 17:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	13¢	$13	0xdcca7e…
05-01 17:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x758c79…
05-01 17:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0x3aca68…
05-01 17:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x3c10bf…
05-01 17:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0x607ea5…
05-01 17:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xcc6e76…
05-01 17:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	6¢	$5	0x06975e…
05-01 17:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x80e4f9…
05-01 17:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x09cb74…
05-01 17:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	14¢	$14	0x63bd77…
05-01 16:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x71c699…
05-01 16:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	12¢	$6	0xcf8d3e…
05-01 16:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xfbf883…
05-01 16:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	13¢	$13	0xb06c25…
05-01 08:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x164d3b…
05-01 07:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x033103…
05-01 06:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x716cac…
04-30 11:53:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	SELL	81	80¢	$65	0x7c71ad…
04-30 11:52:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	SELL	70	82¢	$57	0xc48248…
04-30 11:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	17¢	$36	0x94edea…
04-30 11:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	14¢	$29	0x27b6ce…
04-30 11:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	17¢	$35	0x0cd354…
04-30 11:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	17¢	$51	0xc684db…
04-30 11:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	14¢	$41	0xc159ca…
04-30 11:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	12¢	$36	0x2d4ccb…
04-30 11:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0x913ea7…
04-30 11:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x4123a9…
04-30 11:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	2¢	$5	0x41ec40…
04-30 08:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe833fd…
04-30 07:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xa74a5f…
04-30 07:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	17¢	$25	0x307dd9…
04-30 07:51:56	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	17¢	$15	0xf4c1c9…
04-30 07:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x3c4ca5…
04-30 07:32:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x5f2f51…
04-30 06:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x8524a5…
04-30 03:23:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	71	83¢	$59	0xac358d…
04-30 02:39:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	SELL	70	82¢	$57	0xf5b6c3…
04-30 02:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	27¢	$28	0x297450…
04-30 02:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	45¢	$46	0xe6ee2b…
04-30 02:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4393d3…
04-29 18:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xc830e7…
04-29 17:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x8eefaf…
04-29 17:33:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xffb039…
04-29 17:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x0c67a4…
04-29 16:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0xdb8c34…
04-29 15:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9e9f95…
04-29 15:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x9a2555…
04-29 15:44:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	9¢	$8	0xe7b973…
04-29 15:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb13a1d…
04-29 15:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x015ecb…
04-29 15:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3947e3…
04-29 15:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xad2ac8…
04-29 15:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x020605…
04-29 15:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x34a1b6…
04-29 15:20:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa1cc8a…
04-29 15:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xccf59e…
04-29 15:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x7be3a9…
04-29 15:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x177818…
04-29 13:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x889b1b…
04-29 07:22:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x7a7311…
04-29 07:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xad2e9a…
04-29 07:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$10	0xc581a1…
04-29 07:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x85e32e…
04-29 07:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xe8c359…
04-29 07:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc83ced…
04-29 07:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	44¢	$45	0x3e34c8…
04-29 07:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1eb6c0…
04-29 07:09:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xec2c5f…
04-29 07:08:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x9e9ca1…
04-29 07:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x81ebb8…
04-29 06:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	99	14¢	$14	0x3477a8…
04-29 06:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa7b20d…
04-29 06:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x4a9774…
04-29 06:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	18¢	$38	0xed4372…