Realized P&L
-$2.39K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.34K
Hit rate
4.9%
Resolved
107
Trades
976
lifetime
Volume
$111.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$8.66K
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 10-12 08:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
63% 4% -$1,518
Other
31% 33% -$833
Tech
3% 50% +$13
Crypto
3% 29% -$78
Sports
0% 75% +$21
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,239 $1,500 96¢ $2.1K +$638 09-11 15:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,925 $1,271 80¢ $1.5K +$279 09-12 07:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,250 $812 95¢ $1.2K +$375 09-11 16:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +566 $208 100¢ $564 +$356 10-12 07:12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +539 $386 99¢ $535 +$150 10-07 09:21
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +440 $119 98¢ $429 +$310 10-07 08:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,925 $674 20¢ $375 -$298 09-11 21:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +343 $226 99¢ $341 +$115 10-10 16:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? No +300 $241 100¢ $299 +$59 10-06 22:49
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +293 $227 89¢ $261 +$34 09-07 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +327 $210 78¢ $257 +$47 10-11 01:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +202 $160 88¢ $179 +$20 08-25 11:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,239 $739 4¢ $101 -$638 09-16 17:42
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +95 $75 94¢ $89 +$14 07-03 03:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +336 $110 22¢ $72 -$38 10-12 08:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +102 $24 62¢ $63 +$39 10-08 15:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,250 $437 5¢ $62 -$375 09-16 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +50 $34 99¢ $50 +$15 10-11 01:26
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +1,436 $861 2¢ $34 -$827 10-12 08:16
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +293 $72 11¢ $32 -$40 09-07 14:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +202 $71 12¢ $23 -$48 08-25 11:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +1,002 $710 0¢ $5 -$705 10-11 07:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 06-24 23:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? Yes +438 $140 1¢ $3 -$137 10-12 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? Yes +355 $126 1¢ $2 -$124 10-03 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? Yes +168 $54 1¢ $1 -$53 10-12 00:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $512 96¢ $0 -$512 09-18 19:47