Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$345.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$865

Open exposure

$1.34K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-23 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

95% 24% -$21,162

Other

4% 27% -$7,642

Sports

1% 0% -$2,646

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	-1,254	-$1,129	92¢	$-1154	-$25	09-23 15:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	-3,036	-$100	3¢	$-94	+$6	09-23 15:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-1,958	-$117	4¢	$-88	+$29	09-23 15:02
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	-117	-$12	6¢	$-7	+$5	09-23 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	83	$118.0K	100,579	100,578	+0	Yes	+$2,762	04-06 04:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	28	$60.6K	64,573	34,658	+29,916	Yes	-$19,978	04-04 00:12
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$35.9K	20,360	20,359	+1	Yes	+$4,758	03-25 04:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$19.5K	49,836	37,845	+11,991	No	-$11,394	03-30 00:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	15	$19.2K	24,608	14,070	+10,538	Yes	-$6,996	04-07 19:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	24	$10.9K	12,519	0	+12,519	Yes	-$10,933	04-09 03:09
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	2	$9.3K	6,163	6,163	+0	Yes	+$453	03-23 18:14
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	20	$8.5K	17,133	0	+17,133	No	-$8,504	04-03 17:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$6.0K	19,326	0	+19,326	Yes	+$13,326	02-14 03:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$6.0K	15,966	0	+15,966	Yes	+$9,974	02-27 23:55
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	13	$4.7K	3,856	3,856	+0	Yes	-$224	04-03 23:28
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$4.0K	45,418	0	+45,418	No	-$4,017	02-27 23:46
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$4.0K	15,410	0	+15,410	Yes	+$11,410	02-28 00:28
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	2	$2.6K	8,535	0	+8,535	No	-$2,646	09-23 19:19
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$2.5K	3,791	0	+3,791	Yes	+$1,327	01-29 08:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$2.4K	3,351	0	+3,351	No	-$2,446	04-07 08:24
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	14	$2.4K	2,445	2,445	+0	No	-$1,119	04-01 07:53
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$2.1K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$84	04-03 17:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$2.0K	10,314	10,314	+0	No	-$928	03-27 22:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$1.7K	2,300	0	+2,300	Yes	-$1,679	04-07 20:28
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$1.6K	7,238	0	+7,238	Yes	+$5,638	02-25 20:22
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	28	$1.6K	4,159	0	+4,159	No	-$1,575	04-06 14:26
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.4K	2,870	0	+2,870	Yes	+$1,433	04-02 16:56
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	3	$1.4K	1,587	2,841	-1,254	open	—	09-23 15:12
will the us next strike iran on march 5 2026 et	4	$1.2K	41,556	0	+41,556	No	-$1,200	02-28 00:39
will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	4	$1.2K	39,164	0	+39,164	No	-$1,200	02-28 00:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$1.1K	1,850	1,850	+0	No	-$226	03-28 01:36
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$1000	3,036	0	+3,036	Yes	+$2,036	02-28 00:57
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	1	$918	22,325	0	+22,325	No	-$918	02-24 02:36
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	3	$766	990	990	+0	Yes	-$65	03-29 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 19:19:11	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x0346ef…
09-23 15:27:11	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	8,496	31¢	$2,634	0x8e1d2a…
09-23 15:12:50	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	1,254	90¢	$1,129	0x173fd1…
09-23 15:12:05	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,587	9¢	$143	0xc618a2…
09-23 15:09:38	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,587	10¢	$159	0x519140…
09-23 15:05:56	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	SELL	117	11¢	$12	0x230b3e…
09-23 15:04:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,036	3¢	$100	0xc59836…
09-23 15:02:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,958	6¢	$117	0x9ac6ae…
04-09 03:09:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	240	42¢	$101	0x7e341e…
04-07 20:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	255	73¢	$186	0x641a59…
04-07 20:28:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	146	73¢	$107	0x535847…
04-07 20:28:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	899	73¢	$656	0xaacf4f…
04-07 20:28:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x76c179…
04-07 19:43:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	3,351	62¢	$2,077	0x8e71fe…
04-07 19:31:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	3,068	89¢	$2,731	0xfcfe65…
04-07 19:29:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	137	89¢	$122	0xdb48e5…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xf743ef…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	206	89¢	$183	0xf215af…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	163	89¢	$145	0xee1f8b…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xe31dd9…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0xdca6d3…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xc34ae7…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	206	89¢	$183	0x9c3b43…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	206	89¢	$183	0x8fc47d…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x6b7dc3…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	163	89¢	$145	0x6a474c…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	206	89¢	$183	0x307c9f…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x2b14de…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x2436e7…
04-07 19:29:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	163	89¢	$145	0x0c1e89…
04-07 19:27:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	499	89¢	$443	0x60cbe3…
04-07 19:26:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5,700	88¢	$4,993	0x1a1154…
04-07 18:09:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x9da1fb…
04-07 18:07:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x7e76f0…
04-07 18:07:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xe94c09…
04-07 18:05:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	558	87¢	$487	0x8a4362…
04-07 18:04:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	280	87¢	$244	0x66687f…
04-07 12:09:47	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	173	76¢	$131	0x5429f4…
04-07 11:15:11	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	89¢	$170	0xe30b93…
04-07 10:24:07	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xd57064…
04-07 09:32:41	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	89¢	$146	0x63f759…
04-07 08:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,622	73¢	$1,914	0x6b1413…
04-07 08:24:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	729	73¢	$532	0x2fb792…
04-07 08:13:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	746	51¢	$380	0xd43237…
04-07 08:12:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xafac88…
04-07 08:12:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x97eafb…
04-07 08:10:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x5f7614…
04-07 08:10:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd2175e…
04-07 08:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x9e7cce…
04-07 08:06:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xde4a6e…
04-06 14:26:27	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7b5c2d…
04-06 14:23:05	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x8ac2b8…
04-06 12:58:41	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	38¢	$25	0x1e93f3…
04-06 12:50:15	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,335	38¢	$507	0x43a70b…
04-06 11:38:25	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x94c144…
04-06 11:36:57	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	900	38¢	$342	0xc022e6…
04-06 11:36:13	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,194	38¢	$454	0x5d0737…
04-06 08:17:41	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7b645b…
04-06 08:11:59	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x72e5e5…
04-06 08:11:09	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xa04164…
04-06 08:02:31	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xfbe769…
04-06 08:00:39	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x10cdbe…
04-06 07:56:43	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xef5201…
04-06 07:24:45	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8a1b0f…
04-06 07:23:53	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb58318…
04-06 07:21:51	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x626a61…
04-06 07:20:29	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xa96404…
04-06 07:18:01	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xbf3f79…
04-06 07:14:03	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x6c969c…
04-06 04:01:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,253	100¢	$2,246	0x2bd73e…
04-06 04:00:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x1249f4…
04-06 04:00:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,988	0x926c21…
04-06 04:00:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,991	0x3f7b4e…
04-06 04:00:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xd28ea4…
04-06 04:00:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0x148e83…
04-04 13:22:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	7,183	71¢	$5,100	0xfa6923…
04-04 00:12:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	5,544	81¢	$4,491	0x409e51…
04-04 00:07:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	466	82¢	$382	0x334005…
04-04 00:00:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,600	86¢	$1,376	0x90b1f4…
04-03 23:54:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0x63a53a…
04-03 23:38:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x9cb411…
04-03 23:33:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	216	86¢	$186	0x9c1267…
04-03 23:33:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x307407…
04-03 23:33:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	267	86¢	$229	0xcaf2cb…
04-03 23:32:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x603ae2…
04-03 23:32:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	571	86¢	$491	0x84eff5…
04-03 23:32:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x23730d…
04-03 23:32:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	89	86¢	$77	0x4e2aaf…
04-03 23:28:09	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	685	56¢	$384	0xe4fa9a…
04-03 23:26:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,221	57¢	$696	0xe8a78b…
04-03 22:28:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x41c02e…
04-03 22:27:31	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x55cca6…
04-03 22:01:29	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x085331…
04-03 21:55:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	80¢	$2,000	0x045f73…
04-03 21:49:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	161	58¢	$94	0x309a44…
04-03 21:46:39	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,215	58¢	$707	0x5fec45…
04-03 21:45:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	446	59¢	$263	0x2483c0…
04-03 21:44:55	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	60¢	$48	0x4dbff7…
04-03 21:43:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x1f1073…
04-03 21:43:01	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7f8a1b…