Realized P&L
+$4.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
8,878
Trades
38,449
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$166
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-10 08:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
72% 28% +$3,138
Sports
11% 22% +$554
Politics
8% 63% +$519
Crypto
8% 26% +$43
Tech
1% 52% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 22% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%? No +146 $2 45¢ $66 +$64 11-10 08:42
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election? Yes +52 $0 43¢ $22 +$22 11-07 22:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more? No — +209 $0 8¢ $16 +$15 11-10 08:42
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +16 $0 43¢ $7 +$7 11-07 22:02
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M? No +49 -$3 13¢ $6 +$10 11-06 00:06
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin November 10-16? Yes +11 $0 50¢ $5 +$5 11-10 06:04
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 11-04 21:17
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? No +77 $0 4¢ $3 +$4 11-09 19:48
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 0%-10%? Yes +8 $0 43¢ $3 +$3 11-07 07:20
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No -14 -$1 23¢ $-3 -$2 06-03 00:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%? No +50 -$11 5¢ $3 +$14 11-07 16:09
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M? Yes -49 $0 5¢ $-3 -$2 11-07 23:12
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M? Yes +94 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-27 15:34
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $316 Week of November 9 2026? Yes +12 $0 20¢ $2 +$2 11-09 19:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%? No +54 $2 4¢ $2 +$1 11-09 05:08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +57 -$1 4¢ $2 +$3 11-06 19:41
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M? Yes -49 -$1 4¢ $-2 -$1 11-01 09:06
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +8 $0 20¢ $2 +$1 11-07 07:20
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? Yes -38 -$1 4¢ $-2 $0 11-09 21:19
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +44 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 11-09 22:27
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M? Yes -49 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 11-05 23:15
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +51 -$2 2¢ $1 +$3 11-08 17:34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +52 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-06 13:51
Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? Yes -38 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 11-09 20:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 6%-9%? Yes — +6 $0 15¢ $1 +$1 11-06 11:56
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 -$2 17¢ $1 +$3 11-06 07:28
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? Yes +19 -$3 4¢ $1 +$4 11-06 20:14
Will Netherlands be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? Yes +60 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-09 08:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 15%-18%? Yes +52 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 03:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +17 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 11-06 20:52