Realized P&L
+$4.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
8,913
Trades
38,541
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$144
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-11 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
72% 28% +$3,142
Sports
11% 22% +$551
Politics
8% 63% +$530
Crypto
8% 26% +$43
Tech
1% 52% +$45
Pop-Culture
0% 22% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%? No +146 $2 45¢ $66 +$64 11-10 08:42
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election? Yes +52 $0 43¢ $22 +$22 11-07 22:02
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +16 $0 43¢ $7 +$7 11-07 22:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? No +16 $1 38¢ $6 +$5 11-10 21:54
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin November 10-16? Yes +11 $0 50¢ $5 +$5 11-10 06:04
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 11-04 21:17
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 0%-10%? Yes +8 $0 43¢ $3 +$3 11-07 07:20
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No -14 -$1 23¢ $-3 -$2 06-03 00:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more? No +209 $0 1¢ $3 +$3 11-10 08:42
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? Yes -38 -$1 8¢ $-3 -$2 11-10 18:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%? No +50 -$11 5¢ $3 +$14 11-07 16:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 10%-15%? No +54 $2 5¢ $3 +$1 11-09 05:08
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +5 $0 45¢ $2 +$2 11-11 09:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 9%-12%? Yes +57 -$1 4¢ $2 +$3 11-06 19:41
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +8 $0 20¢ $2 +$1 11-07 07:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +51 -$2 2¢ $1 +$3 11-08 17:34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +52 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-06 13:51
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? No +38 -$2 2¢ $1 +$3 11-10 10:05
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 -$2 17¢ $1 +$3 11-06 07:28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 15%-18%? Yes +52 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 03:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +17 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 11-06 20:52
Will De'Von Achane have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +31 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-04 22:34
Will Netherlands be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? Yes +60 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-09 08:46
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? Yes +19 -$3 3¢ $1 +$3 11-06 20:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes +11 -$1 5¢ $1 +$1 11-07 12:48
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +64 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-10 14:29
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? Yes +26 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-21 17:18
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? Yes -38 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 11-09 21:19
Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? Yes -38 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$1 11-09 20:35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 6%-9%? Yes -22 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 11-06 18:21