Flashy-Aunt 0x40fe57…3a3bfd
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$732
Unrealized P&L
+$728
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
323
Trades
1,385
lifetime
Volume
$32.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 04:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
72% 42% -$820
Tech
12% 43% +$11
Politics
7% 64% +$36
Sports
5% 56% -$22
Crypto
4% 50% +$64
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -753 -$464 92¢ $-689 -$225 10-21 16:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +220 $200 94¢ $207 +$7 10-27 04:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -3,962 -$1,733 4¢ $-147 +$1,587 10-27 07:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +159 $126 64¢ $102 -$24 10-24 19:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +96 $88 87¢ $84 -$4 10-27 07:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -161 $50 36¢ $-58 -$108 10-08 18:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -62 -$54 94¢ $-58 -$4 06-06 15:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +110 $94 46¢ $50 -$43 09-24 11:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +143 $23 22¢ $32 +$10 09-21 03:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +50 $53 57¢ $29 -$24 10-19 07:16
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +147 $22 18¢ $26 +$3 10-21 11:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +30 $21 78¢ $24 +$3 10-08 11:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17 $16 82¢ $14 -$2 10-21 12:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +17 $13 75¢ $13 $0 10-26 20:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +18 $8 64¢ $12 +$4 10-27 04:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +20 $10 57¢ $11 +$1 10-20 21:25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +84 $11 14¢ $11 +$0 10-14 20:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +16 $13 68¢ $11 -$1 10-19 07:09
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $5 66¢ $7 +$2 08-30 17:56
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +149 $73 4¢ $7 -$67 07-12 04:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10 $6 58¢ $6 $0 10-27 08:00
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $6 12¢ $6 -$1 10-18 20:01
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +36 $5 14¢ $5 $0 08-02 15:43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +55 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 09-09 20:02
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -229 -$29 2¢ $-4 +$25 10-15 03:51
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +5 -$10 72¢ $4 +$14 10-26 20:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10 $3 34¢ $3 +$1 10-15 03:48
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $6 34¢ $3 -$3 10-21 11:38
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,066 $423 0¢ $3 -$420 10-18 15:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +22 $4 12¢ $3 -$1 10-27 04:52