Blushing-Icon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

$176

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-07 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$37

Other

26% 100% +$18

Crypto

25% 100% +$51

Tech

5% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+94	$90	98¢	$92	+$2	10-10 12:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+52	$50	95¢	$50	$0	11-07 03:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+36	$35	97¢	$35	+$0	11-07 03:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$434	265	180	+85	No	+$6	03-19 03:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$333	336	0	+336	Yes	+$3	01-27 13:25
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$330	332	0	+332	No	+$2	01-08 06:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$322	328	0	+328	No	+$6	02-09 05:56
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	01-27 13:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$293	176	120	+56	No	+$3	06-25 05:27
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	1	$280	282	0	+282	Up	+$2	04-08 07:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$270	272	0	+272	No	+$2	04-28 05:13
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$266	269	0	+269	No	+$3	03-16 05:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	1	$244	248	0	+248	No	+$4	04-08 07:02
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	1	$240	243	0	+243	No	+$3	06-02 07:45
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$220	253	0	+253	Yes	+$33	03-01 13:34
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$210	213	0	+213	No	+$3	05-17 11:31
will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-08 06:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$190	193	0	+193	No	+$3	04-28 05:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$187	191	0	+191	No	+$4	05-17 11:30
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$182	183	0	+183	Yes	+$1	03-19 03:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	05-17 11:33
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	1	$178	181	0	+181	No	+$3	02-26 07:26
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 200plus	1	$177	178	0	+178	No	+$1	04-08 07:07
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	03-01 13:33
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$169	172	0	+172	No	+$3	06-02 07:43
will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	1	$157	160	0	+160	No	+$3	02-09 05:58
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 200plus	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	02-09 05:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$140	145	0	+145	No	+$5	05-17 11:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	09-05 08:15
will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	1	$130	132	0	+132	No	+$2	06-25 05:28
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	08-04 06:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	07-13 13:35
will xrp dip to 1pt8 january 5 11	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	01-08 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 03:10:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xd9f8f4…
11-07 03:10:16	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xb7c39e…
10-10 12:14:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x5f0475…
10-10 12:10:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xbdee35…
09-05 08:15:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xe9ebca…
09-05 08:15:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x7aa586…
08-04 06:17:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x5004d7…
08-04 06:17:20	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x460acd…
07-13 13:35:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5d4213…
07-13 13:34:52	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xe99459…
06-25 05:28:29	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0x433509…
06-25 05:27:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x0c1a0c…
06-02 07:46:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	176	98¢	$173	0xd5fa71…
06-02 07:45:09	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0x8e0ca9…
06-02 07:43:48	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0x86fb67…
05-17 11:33:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0xeb3863…
05-17 11:33:04	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$140	0x4e7ee2…
05-17 11:31:24	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0x581174…
05-17 11:30:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0x0841c0…
04-28 05:13:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x945949…
04-28 05:13:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$190	0x8b532d…
04-08 07:07:09	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 200plus	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xc00aa0…
04-08 07:03:21	bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0xd90f90…
04-08 07:02:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	248	98¢	$244	0x56c7db…
03-19 03:37:05	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xefe3ee…
03-19 03:35:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	180	99¢	$177	0x52f84f…
03-16 05:48:01	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	269	99¢	$266	0x3719d6…
03-01 13:34:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	265	97¢	$257	0x6d141f…
03-01 13:34:11	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	253	87¢	$220	0x5d02ab…
03-01 13:33:49	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xe0a1f1…
02-26 07:26:02	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	No	BUY	181	98¢	$178	0xec929a…
02-09 05:58:25	will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x92ac82…
02-09 05:57:59	donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 200plus	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x5ea643…
02-09 05:56:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	328	98¢	$322	0x7763d4…
01-27 13:26:03	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x40953c…
01-27 13:25:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	336	99¢	$333	0x605a5c…
01-08 06:10:41	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	332	99¢	$330	0xe14f8c…
01-08 06:08:31	will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x40cdde…
01-08 06:07:49	will xrp dip to 1pt8 january 5 11	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x82591f…