Realized P&L
-$495
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
1,294
Trades
6,690
lifetime
Volume
$72.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$433
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-08 01:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 51% +$65
Politics
41% 50% +$257
Other
6% 49% -$832
Sports
0% 57% +$19
Tech
0% 25% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -413 -$323 82¢ $-340 -$17 08-19 22:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -413 -$90 18¢ $-73 +$16 08-19 22:53
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 08-06 20:03
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $3 48¢ $3 +$0 10-14 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $2 11¢ $2 $0 10-20 20:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +3 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 11-07 06:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +4 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 11-07 20:07
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +20 $11 5¢ $1 -$10 08-25 20:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 11-08 01:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 +$1 11-04 18:03