Lonely-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,866

lifetime

Volume

$68.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-07 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$92

Other

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	49	$3.9K	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	04-12 07:42
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	15	$2.6K	1,648	1,428	+220	open	—	04-10 22:16
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$1.6K	816	816	+0	open	—	04-12 21:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	37	$1.4K	1,513	1,056	+456	open	—	04-18 20:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$1.3K	1,943	799	+1,144	open	—	04-08 00:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	39	$1.2K	1,355	956	+399	open	—	04-19 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$1.1K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$974	829	760	+69	open	—	04-16 18:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	6	$971	518	518	+0	open	—	04-13 19:43
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$879	457	457	+0	open	—	04-10 22:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	29	$801	3,413	3,413	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	36	$796	3,243	2,370	+874	open	—	04-25 15:29
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$767	406	406	+0	open	—	04-11 16:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$731	587	396	+190	open	—	04-12 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$711	1,051	739	+312	open	—	04-30 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	28	$690	1,067	472	+595	open	—	04-22 00:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$611	999	999	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$609	324	324	+0	open	—	01-11 17:50
bitcoin up or down february 8 7am et	54	$525	981	0	+981	open	—	02-08 12:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$505	532	36	+497	open	—	04-07 23:16
btc updown 15m 1770542100	51	$494	840	0	+840	open	—	02-08 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	17	$467	612	508	+104	open	—	04-21 20:30
bitcoin up or down february 8 2am et	47	$453	816	0	+816	open	—	02-08 07:49
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$436	635	635	+0	open	—	01-11 18:00
btc updown 15m 1770552000	44	$429	778	0	+778	open	—	02-08 12:04
will iran strike uae again in march	4	$429	226	226	+0	open	—	04-06 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$400	609	241	+369	open	—	04-25 19:11
btc updown 15m 1770534900	38	$368	645	0	+645	open	—	02-08 07:19
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	4	$367	247	247	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
btc updown 15m 1770549300	37	$366	677	0	+677	open	—	02-08 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 18:18:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0xf50359…
07-07 17:48:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x5913bc…
07-07 17:32:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x21be26…
07-07 16:55:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x316027…
07-07 15:42:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x75a237…
07-07 15:33:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0x7d260a…
07-07 03:56:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x859c51…
07-07 03:49:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0xdf3713…
07-07 03:38:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x82ba3f…
07-07 00:35:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8497b1…
07-07 00:35:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x2a7f19…
07-07 00:33:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5f63be…
07-07 00:33:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8143cb…
07-07 00:11:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x503277…
07-06 23:26:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6616e7…
07-06 23:19:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcbd48d…
07-06 23:19:31	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1a84aa…
07-06 22:42:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xbb7a18…
07-06 22:38:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x9f140b…
07-06 22:38:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x13a5b6…
07-06 22:38:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x17c877…
07-06 22:37:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa83fa9…
07-06 22:37:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa21e8d…
07-06 22:14:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x15dd2b…
07-06 21:16:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x5f506f…
07-06 21:12:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x3f9498…
07-06 21:06:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x50fb34…
07-06 21:05:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa4947d…
07-05 19:18:53	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9ec7a3…
07-03 21:51:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x82350c…
07-03 19:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x3c7265…
07-03 17:55:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x2fa783…
07-03 17:11:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1a992c…
07-03 01:14:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd38d13…
07-02 23:04:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6b016f…
07-02 09:55:22	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xb38e20…
07-02 09:55:22	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x5c9ba9…
07-02 09:53:55	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xf0ef07…
07-02 09:53:46	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x89849b…
07-02 09:53:25	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x4d3a31…
07-02 02:46:52	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xd1b984…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xfffe98…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xfdff13…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xced976…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xc47098…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xc33761…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbf542a…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xa4d6a9…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x8cee3b…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x89320a…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x838ce8…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x74f375…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x6abc55…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x47e809…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x362228…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x35dcf1…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x2a4c51…
07-01 22:20:17	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x16d09b…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xfe0457…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xfdba70…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xf494e1…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xf1fd71…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xdf844b…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xda33e8…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xd9816c…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xd3f85a…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xd2520d…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xcb1c90…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xca783b…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xc6c912…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbdefb7…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbcd839…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xbae9d4…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xb9e384…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xaf84fb…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xa9e429…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xa6f7a5…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x9efb26…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x9b3c17…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x97baf8…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x9274b2…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x8c05c6…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x8be2a0…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x893460…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x815c8e…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x7a7d15…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x75f980…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x730022…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x71c85b…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x71bbdd…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x6d50eb…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x6b4390…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x69ad8a…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x69a1cc…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x625c7e…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x61e5e3…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x5a71d1…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x58e5cc…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x48e95d…
07-01 22:20:16	will bitcoin reach 62k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x432406…