Lonely-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,087

lifetime

Volume

$69.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-17 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$92

Other

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	49	$3.9K	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	04-12 07:42
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	15	$2.6K	1,648	1,428	+220	open	—	04-10 22:16
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$1.6K	816	816	+0	open	—	04-12 21:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	37	$1.4K	1,513	1,056	+456	open	—	04-18 20:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$1.3K	1,943	799	+1,144	open	—	04-08 00:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	39	$1.2K	1,355	956	+399	open	—	04-19 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$1.1K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$974	829	760	+69	open	—	04-16 18:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	6	$971	518	518	+0	open	—	04-13 19:43
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$879	457	457	+0	open	—	04-10 22:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	29	$801	3,413	3,413	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	36	$796	3,243	2,370	+874	open	—	04-25 15:29
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$767	406	406	+0	open	—	04-11 16:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$731	587	396	+190	open	—	04-12 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$711	1,051	739	+312	open	—	04-30 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	28	$690	1,067	472	+595	open	—	04-22 00:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$611	999	999	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$609	324	324	+0	open	—	01-11 17:50
bitcoin up or down february 8 7am et	54	$525	981	0	+981	open	—	02-08 12:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$505	532	36	+497	open	—	04-07 23:16
btc updown 15m 1770542100	51	$494	840	0	+840	open	—	02-08 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	17	$467	612	508	+104	open	—	04-21 20:30
bitcoin up or down february 8 2am et	47	$453	816	0	+816	open	—	02-08 07:49
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$436	635	635	+0	open	—	01-11 18:00
btc updown 15m 1770552000	44	$429	778	0	+778	open	—	02-08 12:04
will iran strike uae again in march	4	$429	226	226	+0	open	—	04-06 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$400	609	241	+369	open	—	04-25 19:11
btc updown 15m 1770534900	38	$368	645	0	+645	open	—	02-08 07:19
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	4	$367	247	247	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
btc updown 15m 1770549300	37	$366	677	0	+677	open	—	02-08 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 22:58:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x76b1f5…
08-17 19:32:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x99fe52…
08-17 19:06:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x5e46d1…
08-17 18:06:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6f3b2f…
08-17 18:06:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xfb037a…
08-17 17:19:40	btc updown 4h 1786982400	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xea2da6…
08-17 17:19:40	btc updown 4h 1786982400	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x116ca0…
08-17 17:19:37	btc updown 4h 1786982400	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x984ec5…
08-17 17:17:49	btc updown 4h 1786982400	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xb1fd57…
08-17 16:49:34	btc updown 4h 1786982400	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x19c11b…
08-17 12:42:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x95b391…
08-17 10:45:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd8c6cb…
08-16 23:23:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x6922db…
08-16 21:27:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x6223c6…
08-16 12:32:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xf3ccbe…
08-16 10:24:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x3089b9…
08-14 21:38:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x3957fe…
08-14 19:46:19	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x0acfff…
08-14 16:07:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xeeb631…
08-14 06:58:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x6ca287…
08-14 01:44:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	10¢	$8	0x350878…
08-13 22:44:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x4a9479…
08-13 22:44:40	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xdbe3d3…
08-13 22:44:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x4def86…
08-13 22:44:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x2a5e42…
08-13 22:44:40	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x0e5133…
08-13 22:44:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	56	24¢	$14	0xe30301…
08-13 18:51:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x16c53f…
08-13 16:36:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x43a00a…
08-13 16:00:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x9c3a2c…
08-13 01:29:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$2	0xbc85f0…
08-13 01:07:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x6fff28…
08-12 23:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x589d37…
08-12 21:51:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	88	88¢	$78	0x1638ab…
08-12 21:51:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x5ce39d…
08-12 20:09:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xde5cf2…
08-12 20:05:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfe2f05…
08-12 19:37:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4bedd0…
08-12 19:37:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x13a47c…
08-12 18:56:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x956b0a…
08-12 13:59:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x01f087…
08-12 04:44:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x818bee…
08-12 04:43:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xc48cb9…
08-12 04:41:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x6ce30f…
08-12 04:22:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x06149a…
08-12 03:58:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xd4dd22…
08-12 03:47:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x3b5f19…
08-12 03:15:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xde76f6…
08-11 18:57:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0x16e427…
08-11 13:57:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x1dda6a…
08-11 13:56:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfc317f…
08-11 09:12:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x051839…
08-11 08:50:36	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xb0cf8a…
08-11 02:17:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xc02234…
08-11 01:00:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x8dfc27…
08-10 23:14:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5d4625…
08-10 16:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xfca421…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xebed08…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9449df…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7f3abb…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4bc551…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3f10f1…
08-10 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x026365…
08-10 16:04:21	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa959d7…
08-10 16:04:21	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa8d14a…
08-10 16:04:21	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x71a461…
08-10 16:03:57	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x32ecbc…
08-10 16:02:25	btc updown 5m 1786377600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x293e33…
08-10 02:02:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xab1b2f…
08-09 19:31:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x88d5cf…
08-09 16:59:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc79c4f…
08-09 15:16:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6070c1…
08-09 13:22:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xff1215…
08-08 17:06:28	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x4d3280…
08-08 14:44:03	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x87771d…
08-07 12:31:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8420d2…
08-06 20:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xd7e93c…
08-06 20:03:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc1c411…
08-06 20:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x13ba6c…
08-06 20:03:29	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xeb7876…
08-06 20:03:29	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0xe3bea3…
08-06 20:03:27	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0xf064fd…
08-06 20:03:27	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8f02f2…
08-06 20:03:27	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x737501…
08-06 20:03:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	78	11¢	$9	0x449c45…
08-06 20:03:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	57	86¢	$49	0xb6a3b5…
08-06 20:03:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x443c92…
08-06 20:00:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	78	11¢	$9	0x1e234f…
08-06 17:19:14	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x3b297a…
08-06 15:56:20	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x6bdca7…
08-06 13:56:54	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xac5c23…
08-05 18:27:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x40a793…
08-05 15:11:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x62968b…
08-05 14:18:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd1dd56…
08-05 14:11:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xfce88b…
08-05 13:44:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xb60994…
08-05 13:18:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1933e6…
08-05 04:16:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x71032a…
08-05 04:00:41	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd15707…
08-04 19:13:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x0c60e6…