Lonely-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,948

lifetime

Volume

$68.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-29 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$92

Other

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	49	$3.9K	2,088	2,088	+0	open	—	04-12 07:42
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	15	$2.6K	1,648	1,428	+220	open	—	04-10 22:16
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	9	$1.6K	816	816	+0	open	—	04-12 21:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	37	$1.4K	1,513	1,056	+456	open	—	04-18 20:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$1.3K	1,943	799	+1,144	open	—	04-08 00:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	39	$1.2K	1,355	956	+399	open	—	04-19 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	21	$1.1K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	24	$974	829	760	+69	open	—	04-16 18:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	6	$971	518	518	+0	open	—	04-13 19:43
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$879	457	457	+0	open	—	04-10 22:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	29	$801	3,413	3,413	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	36	$796	3,243	2,370	+874	open	—	04-25 15:29
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$767	406	406	+0	open	—	04-11 16:44
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	13	$731	587	396	+190	open	—	04-12 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$711	1,051	739	+312	open	—	04-30 03:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	28	$690	1,067	472	+595	open	—	04-22 00:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	9	$611	999	999	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$609	324	324	+0	open	—	01-11 17:50
bitcoin up or down february 8 7am et	54	$525	981	0	+981	open	—	02-08 12:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$505	532	36	+497	open	—	04-07 23:16
btc updown 15m 1770542100	51	$494	840	0	+840	open	—	02-08 09:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	17	$467	612	508	+104	open	—	04-21 20:30
bitcoin up or down february 8 2am et	47	$453	816	0	+816	open	—	02-08 07:49
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$436	635	635	+0	open	—	01-11 18:00
btc updown 15m 1770552000	44	$429	778	0	+778	open	—	02-08 12:04
will iran strike uae again in march	4	$429	226	226	+0	open	—	04-06 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$400	609	241	+369	open	—	04-25 19:11
btc updown 15m 1770534900	38	$368	645	0	+645	open	—	02-08 07:19
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	4	$367	247	247	+0	open	—	04-09 06:23
btc updown 15m 1770549300	37	$366	677	0	+677	open	—	02-08 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 13:32:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x558ad1…
07-29 13:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x6d8606…
07-29 12:34:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x745010…
07-28 22:29:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa6d04e…
07-28 21:59:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x238046…
07-28 21:51:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf8d692…
07-27 02:39:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xf6193b…
07-26 21:17:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	66	49¢	$32	0x53be91…
07-26 21:14:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0x27af4e…
07-26 21:14:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0x98c927…
07-26 21:14:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xebe006…
07-26 21:13:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x0f8737…
07-26 21:13:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x86c410…
07-26 21:13:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x6e6d7e…
07-26 21:05:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb0ef21…
07-26 21:05:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x995564…
07-23 15:28:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0xdaf410…
07-22 12:57:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x8b2845…
07-21 07:39:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x408387…
07-21 02:55:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$3	0x1010ab…
07-20 23:33:49	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xec9876…
07-20 23:33:49	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x9b8a74…
07-20 23:33:49	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x452643…
07-20 23:33:46	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xd317a8…
07-20 23:33:46	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa6fa36…
07-20 23:33:46	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x7eb793…
07-20 23:33:46	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x568c07…
07-20 23:33:46	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x025e5c…
07-20 23:33:45	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xdce095…
07-20 23:33:45	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x584adc…
07-20 23:33:45	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x31c840…
07-20 23:33:43	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xcdc9db…
07-20 23:33:43	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xc5f221…
07-20 23:33:43	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x3f0de2…
07-20 23:33:43	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x235acd…
07-20 23:33:42	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xffa0fe…
07-20 23:33:42	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x2216b2…
07-20 23:33:40	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x898d0b…
07-20 23:33:37	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x9dce1f…
07-20 23:33:36	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xc8d2d1…
07-20 23:33:33	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	San Diego Padres	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa28bed…
07-20 23:33:31	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x8fb41c…
07-20 23:27:16	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4be729…
07-20 23:22:58	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc8cead…
07-20 23:22:37	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20	Atlanta Braves	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x451903…
07-20 23:21:12	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20	New York Yankees	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x91280e…
07-20 14:31:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x8103de…
07-19 23:11:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x61b476…
07-19 22:53:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfaf8da…
07-19 22:53:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x63fd9f…
07-19 22:43:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x747b9c…
07-19 22:01:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x6c0e4b…
07-19 21:50:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xcb8cb6…
07-19 21:39:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xdd0bf8…
07-19 21:28:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x13c4df…
07-19 21:28:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x6a3036…
07-19 21:10:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x4d98db…
07-19 20:49:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5479b…
07-19 20:42:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd794d0…
07-18 22:10:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x4e8733…
07-18 22:05:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x63718e…
07-18 22:05:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8a9811…
07-18 21:58:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x703a60…
07-18 02:03:52	mlb stl ari 2026 07 17	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xea5963…
07-16 04:36:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1ced09…
07-16 04:35:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x093ecd…
07-16 04:11:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x632982…
07-16 03:16:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x160750…
07-16 03:01:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5ba105…
07-15 20:46:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xcdde62…
07-15 20:18:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x3c94a7…
07-15 20:17:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0c3972…
07-15 19:50:55	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x68b5e4…
07-15 19:50:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xed2f27…
07-15 19:02:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x807788…
07-14 20:56:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xeecf15…
07-14 19:00:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xcc2f4f…
07-13 06:06:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcf9eff…
07-12 22:46:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x65f586…
07-11 18:56:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x834257…
07-11 14:05:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe63ec0…
07-10 19:02:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x63b4eb…
07-09 19:59:11	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x7abcb3…
07-09 19:57:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9a066a…
07-07 18:18:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0xf50359…
07-07 17:48:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x5913bc…
07-07 17:32:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x21be26…
07-07 16:55:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x316027…
07-07 15:42:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x75a237…
07-07 15:33:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	64	17¢	$11	0x7d260a…
07-07 03:56:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x859c51…
07-07 03:49:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0xdf3713…
07-07 03:38:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x82ba3f…
07-07 00:35:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8497b1…
07-07 00:35:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x2a7f19…
07-07 00:33:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5f63be…
07-07 00:33:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8143cb…
07-07 00:11:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x503277…
07-06 23:26:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6616e7…
07-06 23:19:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcbd48d…