Realized P&L (7d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
19.7%
Resolved (7d)
14
Trades (7d)
68
6,699 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$156
$72.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$439
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-09 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 51% +$65
Politics
41% 50% +$257
Other
6% 49% -$832
Sports
0% 57% +$19
Tech
0% 25% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -413 -$323 82¢ $-341 -$17 08-19 22:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -413 -$90 18¢ $-73 +$17 08-19 22:53
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 08-06 20:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $6 60¢ $6 +$0 11-08 06:32
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $3 48¢ $3 +$0 10-14 17:11
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +42 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 11-08 18:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $2 10¢ $2 -$1 10-20 20:03
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 11-07 20:07
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +20 $11 5¢ $1 -$10 08-25 20:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 40¢ $0 +$1 11-04 18:03