Astonishing-Moai — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$324

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

552 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.60K

$16.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

54% 33% -$1,789

Sports

36% 43% -$653

Crypto

10% 48% -$15

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$1	9¢	$1	-$1	06-21 18:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+16	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	06-04 20:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	06-05 19:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	06-25 05:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 11pm et	4	$660	440	440	+0	Down	+$220	03-23 03:58
Commanders vs. Giants	2	$654	455	455	+0	Commanders	+$254	11-13 04:20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	2	$370	270	270	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$170	04-18 14:11
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	6	$362	265	265	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$166	05-02 21:51
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$308	212	209	+3	New York Yankees	+$112	04-22 01:31
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	6	$300	200	200	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$100	04-23 19:55
mlb tex mia 2026 06 24	5	$298	590	0	+590	Miami Marlins	-$298	06-24 16:18
epl eve che 2026 03 21 eve	2	$278	219	219	+0	Yes	+$138	03-21 19:03
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	5	$241	240	240	+0	Sri Lanka	+$142	10-22 15:55
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk	2	$229	160	160	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$91	05-02 19:28
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik	2	$228	140	140	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$52	04-27 21:05
crint gbr wst 2026 02 11	2	$213	163	163	+0	West Indies	+$112	02-11 18:16
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	1	$212	233	0	+233	India	+$21	03-05 15:33
atp fokina humbert 2026 01 16	3	$205	455	0	+455	Humbert	-$205	01-16 07:51
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	4	$200	317	0	+317	South Africa	-$200	02-11 09:23
nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	4	$190	120	120	+0	Browns	+$48	01-04 20:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1	$167	356	0	+356	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	-$167	05-07 12:49
cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	3	$164	104	104	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$44	04-02 18:21
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	12	$158	375	375	+0	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$83	05-03 12:12
Rams vs. Broncos	1	$155	310	0	+310	Broncos	-$155	09-28 02:54
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	1	$155	310	0	+310	Pelicans	+$155	03-19 01:31
atp lehecka fils 2026 03 27	2	$155	110	110	+0	Jiri Lehecka	+$65	03-27 22:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 11:10 UTC	19	$150	300	0	+300	Up	-$150	03-25 11:10
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$150	290	0	+290	Erick Visconde	-$150	10-14 01:22
nfl car tb 2026 01 04	1	$149	354	0	+354	Buccaneers	-$149	01-03 19:43
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima	3	$142	323	0	+323	Alexander Bublik	+$181	10-11 10:18
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	3	$142	383	383	+0	India	-$57	07-14 14:44
craus mel2 mel 2026 01 10	3	$139	408	0	+408	Melbourne Stars	-$139	01-10 08:22
atp lehecka fritz 2026 03 24	2	$131	95	95	+0	Jiri Lehecka	+$60	03-24 19:02
mlb mia pit 2026 06 13	2	$126	83	83	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$40	06-13 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:20:31	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0x169362…
11-13 01:30:48	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x6b1ea4…
11-10 23:54:31	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	136	47¢	$64	0x2c3104…
11-07 02:11:37	Timberwolves vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	78	30¢	$23	0x727773…
11-07 02:10:45	76ers vs. Cavaliers	76ers	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x468e20…
11-05 03:02:25	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xf1de07…
11-04 19:30:28	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x06a379…
11-04 19:22:10	Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac	Tomas Machac	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x82e121…
11-03 19:15:10	Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	46	33¢	$15	0x6b2515…
10-31 22:20:57	Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	Kings	BUY	49	50¢	$25	0xeb852c…
10-31 15:20:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	137	38¢	$52	0x6af6df…
10-31 12:53:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0xd8f64f…
10-31 05:14:25	Kent State vs. Sacramento State	Kent State	BUY	45	41¢	$19	0xb57f68…
10-30 18:52:37	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xe6d87e…
10-29 14:57:59	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	119	36¢	$43	0xf628e6…
10-28 22:08:44	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf09240…
10-28 22:07:22	Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina	North Carolina	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xb981f6…
10-26 20:13:41	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,361	0¢	$3	0x77e75e…
10-26 20:06:17	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,279	0¢	$1	0xee4e7f…
10-26 20:01:59	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,510	0¢	$2	0x713c46…
10-25 22:10:38	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3335dd…
10-25 21:36:32	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xa1348e…
10-25 20:59:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x0b368e…
10-24 19:08:17	Ducks vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x456b9a…
10-24 13:24:50	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	186	55¢	$102	0xf1f260…
10-24 12:10:38	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0x562e94…
10-23 12:54:36	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x93cf8f…
10-23 12:43:09	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	210	46¢	$96	0x31e66d…
10-23 04:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1a0588…
10-23 04:12:24	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1c88b9…
10-23 04:12:05	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa9c294…
10-23 03:23:39	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x581e6a…
10-22 15:55:36	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	SELL	240	80¢	$192	0xa7de9e…
10-22 15:33:05	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0x9e8ba0…
10-22 15:33:05	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x83319c…
10-22 15:29:42	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	74	21¢	$16	0x72ca7c…
10-22 15:29:38	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0xcb81ff…
10-22 02:46:47	Japan Women's Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Kayla Day	Kayla Day	BUY	152	48¢	$73	0xdf847e…
10-21 19:03:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xd5a727…
10-21 08:49:39	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x250bee…
10-21 04:24:53	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	BUY	103	47¢	$48	0xbf97a8…
10-20 20:34:17	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xf5f602…
10-20 19:24:24	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf969d4…
10-20 19:24:24	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	109	47¢	$51	0x21fd16…
10-20 19:24:21	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x822a18…
10-20 16:51:23	Set 2 Winner: Toby Samuel vs Zizou Bergs	Toby Samuel	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xa71a9b…
10-20 11:15:14	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	118	25¢	$29	0x259693…
10-19 20:18:17	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	83	22¢	$18	0x3150d8…
10-19 20:17:54	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x1615a5…
10-18 15:13:57	Counter-Strike: Brute vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner	BET-M 33	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x72af9a…
10-18 09:21:17	Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	195	50¢	$98	0x7f6fb1…
10-17 18:11:23	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Indiana	BUY	252	40¢	$101	0xd48f3b…
10-17 12:23:42	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfee078…
10-17 12:22:48	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17 set 2 winner Jodar vs Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x4aaade…
10-17 12:21:29	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17 set 2 winner Jodar vs Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x10210a…
10-17 12:20:59	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17 set 2 winner Jodar vs Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x551b60…
10-17 12:20:47	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17 set 2 winner Jodar vs Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd90f71…
10-17 12:20:47	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17 set 2 winner Jodar vs Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x51edc4…
10-17 12:17:26	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	106	46¢	$49	0x91e01a…
10-17 08:46:15	cs2 ef1 ntr 2026 10 17	Eternal Fire	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa61afd…
10-17 08:44:44	cs2 ef1 ntr 2026 10 17	Eternal Fire	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x01253e…
10-17 08:44:38	cs2 ef1 ntr 2026 10 17	Eternal Fire	BUY	125	39¢	$49	0x067b2d…
10-16 20:11:27	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x72a889…
10-16 20:11:26	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x642148…
10-16 20:11:24	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	121	32¢	$39	0xa02524…
10-16 20:11:18	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x660dd8…
10-16 17:43:50	atp gaston kjaer 2026 10 16	Hugo Gaston	BUY	52	37¢	$19	0xdef97c…
10-15 20:13:51	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4938e3…
10-15 00:05:01	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	81	57¢	$46	0x30a31e…
10-14 14:00:11	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	BUY	146	33¢	$48	0x8edd4b…
10-14 01:22:44	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb31a9d…
10-14 01:21:39	Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	280	52¢	$146	0x091cf0…
10-13 03:09:50	Wuhan Tennis Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets	Kimberly Birrell	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xb900f2…
10-12 23:11:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x7a433f…
10-12 08:54:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	45	100¢	$44	0xe74559…
10-12 06:45:05	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x35f528…
10-12 06:44:01	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x36141b…
10-11 18:05:37	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3b0d53…
10-11 18:05:10	Raiders vs. Patriots	Raiders	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x115ceb…
10-11 17:08:43	Eagles vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xad0b0b…
10-11 10:18:02	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima	Alexander Bublik	BUY	44	44¢	$19	0xc612a8…
10-11 10:18:02	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima	Alexander Bublik	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0x41df3c…
10-11 10:18:02	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima	Alexander Bublik	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x3625fd…
10-11 07:52:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x53b487…
10-11 07:51:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	159	40¢	$64	0x39981e…
10-11 07:51:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0xd00767…
10-11 07:51:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x92884c…
10-11 01:10:51	Georgia vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x5179c0…
10-10 19:35:37	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma	BUY	159	24¢	$38	0xe9e36c…
10-08 06:22:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xcc4732…
10-06 06:11:21	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Aziz Dougaz vs Federico Cina	Aziz Dougaz	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xef16be…
10-06 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x785d65…
10-06 00:14:34	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x1b41fb…
10-05 19:49:31	mlb cws cle 2026 10 05	Chicago White Sox	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x7fd24c…
10-04 20:16:56	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x148da5…
10-04 20:16:29	Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xef0893…
10-04 18:59:53	Patriots vs. Bills	Patriots	BUY	49	42¢	$20	0x89cd74…
10-03 01:20:24	Bruins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xcf2f81…
10-02 08:06:24	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xa31cc9…
10-01 21:30:12	Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xcee6e4…