White-Milkshake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

262

Trades

880

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-01 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

44% 48% -$1

Politics

36% 37% -$4

Sports

17% 45% -$34

Tech

2% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	17	$40	155	155	+0	No	-$2	06-21 19:28
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	+$28	06-07 20:17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$33	36	36	+0	No	-$1	06-30 08:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	18	$30	113	113	+0	No	-$3	06-26 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$29	32	32	+0	No	-$1	06-26 14:05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	8	$24	21	21	+0	Yes	+$4	06-20 17:26
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	4	$23	20	15	+5	Marta Kostyuk	+$7	05-31 13:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$22	16	16	+0	No	$0	06-30 08:01
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	3	$21	15	15	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$9	06-01 03:13
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	7	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 08:33
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	5	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 13:17
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$19	19	19	+0	No	+$2	06-08 13:21
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries	5	$19	25	10	+15	Las Vegas Aces	+$1	06-01 03:13
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	9	$19	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 01:44
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$19	27	7	+19	San Francisco Giants	-$4	06-01 03:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$19	206	206	+0	No	+$4	06-09 21:43
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	8	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	06-17 22:18
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	2	$18	15	15	+0	Team WE	+$12	05-30 13:48
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	6	$18	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	06-11 12:36
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	7	$18	32	8	+24	Yes	-$6	06-16 13:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$17	66	66	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 15:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	6	$16	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	06-03 11:04
cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12	4	$16	18	18	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	06-12 16:17
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves	3	$15	10	10	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$5	06-03 02:18
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	5	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	06-30 08:01
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-01 03:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	06-30 08:01
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08	3	$14	9	9	+0	BetBoom Team	+$2	06-08 16:43
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$13	24	19	+5	Yes	+$1	06-07 21:17
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	6	$13	20	10	+10	Yes	+$5	06-16 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:52:35	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x882608…
07-01 03:52:32	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x7d2f27…
07-01 03:52:28	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdd1e41…
06-30 08:18:22	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa75e5b…
06-30 08:17:59	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x0a7a60…
06-30 08:02:14	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f9d5b…
06-30 08:02:13	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x11c70f…
06-30 08:02:07	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3ab263…
06-30 08:02:04	Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe47362…
06-30 08:02:01	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x30c865…
06-30 08:01:59	will disclosure day be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb62e5d…
06-30 08:01:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x84db2d…
06-30 08:01:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xffeeda…
06-30 08:01:52	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x553385…
06-30 08:01:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xac9af4…
06-30 08:01:46	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x789adf…
06-30 08:01:44	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x6f9c2e…
06-30 08:01:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xb98755…
06-30 08:01:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xbc33ca…
06-30 08:01:37	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xdee370…
06-30 08:01:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x3be2f5…
06-30 08:01:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x880abd…
06-30 08:01:31	will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x43a471…
06-30 08:01:26	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x198983…
06-30 08:01:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x9e8d80…
06-30 08:01:19	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xa7554c…
06-30 08:01:16	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x17c439…
06-30 08:01:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x8246d2…
06-30 08:01:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x045311…
06-30 08:01:01	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xc93f79…
06-29 21:06:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x575b9d…
06-29 20:54:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf0fd48…
06-29 18:07:28	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x9512a7…
06-29 17:21:25	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x8de180…
06-29 01:33:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xbfb589…
06-29 01:33:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x0d8ec3…
06-28 23:56:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1ec592…
06-28 22:34:05	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf6d207…
06-26 16:52:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xa76703…
06-26 14:12:49	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4126a1…
06-26 14:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5e235d…
06-26 13:31:48	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xb65e99…
06-26 13:18:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xda3f41…
06-26 11:59:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x0dfdea…
06-26 11:47:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x40aead…
06-26 02:32:40	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c8e3a…
06-25 17:49:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x22d49b…
06-25 17:36:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x8365c7…
06-25 15:18:10	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7b20d2…
06-25 14:51:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x25f256…
06-25 14:38:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd42492…
06-25 14:38:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x46f2f4…
06-25 12:55:46	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by september 30	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3831f8…
06-25 08:38:32	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2efe11…
06-25 08:29:29	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x314ec9…
06-25 08:29:28	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x4b7fa1…
06-24 08:19:26	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x398efe…
06-24 07:54:55	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa7ab86…
06-24 07:41:31	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3af9df…
06-24 05:31:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb5a1cd…
06-23 18:29:08	Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb19bd8…
06-23 17:07:52	Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x5db0d9…
06-23 16:48:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x422a69…
06-23 16:09:08	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xd13306…
06-23 15:56:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xd4553a…
06-23 15:43:53	Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x225535…
06-23 15:43:29	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7b9866…
06-23 13:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x03b3c9…
06-23 13:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcad0cc…
06-23 08:34:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x2d1bb5…
06-23 08:34:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xd04b65…
06-23 07:35:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x675965…
06-23 06:04:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9b8ea7…
06-23 04:09:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6d2a1b…
06-23 00:55:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c4a4f…
06-23 00:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8d7966…
06-22 22:26:17	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xf661eb…
06-22 16:05:23	Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x095556…
06-22 15:04:53	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x7dd39f…
06-22 14:24:17	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xb9c1b3…
06-22 14:15:31	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xe1c54c…
06-22 14:15:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xb01780…
06-22 14:10:16	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6a4b10…
06-22 13:20:32	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3964a2…
06-22 12:53:43	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x01d616…
06-22 12:39:35	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7ecd88…
06-22 10:50:32	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x80378d…
06-21 20:26:34	starmer out by june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf5e42a…
06-21 19:40:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d7cce…
06-21 19:28:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8db05f…
06-21 19:28:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbca41f…
06-21 19:25:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x967c09…
06-21 19:04:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x4d8d31…
06-21 13:47:04	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x35a51a…
06-21 11:34:26	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x9d9188…
06-21 05:01:50	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xcf2cb3…
06-21 04:50:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x4d54d8…
06-20 21:42:37	Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6f476f…
06-20 21:08:35	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa6f075…
06-20 20:23:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x359fb4…