Realized P&L
+$237
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
22.2%
Resolved
389
Trades
565
lifetime
Volume
$1.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$40
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-08 18:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 19% +$0
Other
43% 2% +$328
Politics
6% 0% -$38
Tech
3% 0% -$28
Sports
2% 0% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +80 $2 15¢ $12 +$10 04-30 21:52
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +333 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 10-08 18:18
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +61 $2 5¢ $3 +$1 05-01 14:08
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 3¢ $3 +$2 04-30 21:54
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +375 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 05-03 17:55
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +62 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 04-30 21:52
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +67 $1 2¢ $1 +$1 04-30 21:52
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 05-03 17:34
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes +142 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 05-03 17:34
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-08 18:27
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 $0 05-01 14:08
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-08 18:18
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +70 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 05-01 14:05
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $1 $0 04-30 21:54
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +67 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 04-30 21:51
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 $0 04-30 21:53
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $0 $0 04-30 21:52
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $0 $0 04-30 21:52
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +141 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-08 18:17
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +155 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:50
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +182 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 04-30 21:53
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? Yes +175 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:34
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +91 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 04-30 21:52
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes +163 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:33
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 04-30 21:55
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? Yes +103 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:34
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +115 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:33
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 04-30 21:55
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +111 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:49
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +133 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-03 17:34