Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
293
Trades
376
lifetime
Volume
$4.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$70
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-02 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Crypto
55%
96%
+$66
Other
22%
87%
+$17
Sports
11%
44%
+$17
Politics
11%
60%
-$134
Tech
1%
—
—
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | +245 | $100 | 22¢ | $53 | -$47 | 05-03 21:03 | |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | -33 | -$11 | 24¢ | $-8 | +$3 | 05-07 16:44 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | +41 | $10 | 16¢ | $7 | -$3 | 05-14 19:20 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -1 | -$1 | 94¢ | $-1 | $0 | 05-07 17:05 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | -1 | -$1 | 92¢ | $-1 | $0 | 05-07 17:05 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 2 | $302 | 222 | 222 | +0 | No | +$102 | 05-22 04:38 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 4 | $246 | 127 | 127 | +0 | Yes | +$6 | 04-08 19:59 |
| Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? | 3 | $244 | 0 | 271 | -271 | Yes | -$27 | 05-05 23:19 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: May | 2 | $214 | 115 | 115 | +0 | Nothing | +$14 | 06-02 18:57 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: April | 2 | $113 | 63 | 63 | +0 | Nothing | +$13 | 05-03 20:55 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 1 | $100 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | -$100 | 03-12 22:49 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | 1 | $100 | 245 | 0 | +245 | open | — | 05-03 21:03 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1 | $49 | 119 | 0 | +119 | No | -$49 | 03-15 04:12 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | 1 | $38 | 0 | 50 | -50 | No | -$12 | 05-22 18:34 |
| nba mem atl 2026 03 23 | 1 | $32 | 36 | 0 | +36 | Hawks | +$4 | 03-23 21:16 |
| nba mil lac 2026 03 23 | 1 | $31 | 36 | 0 | +36 | Clippers | +$5 | 03-23 22:11 |
| nba tor uta 2026 03 23 | 1 | $29 | 36 | 0 | +36 | Raptors | +$7 | 03-23 21:16 |
| cs2 tdk ursa 2026 03 24 | 12 | $26 | 40 | 40 | +0 | Ursa | +$1 | 03-24 19:30 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | 2 | $26 | 20 | 20 | +0 | open | — | 05-07 16:44 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $25 | 115 | 0 | +115 | Yes | -$25 | 05-14 19:03 |
| wta selekhm kuderme 2026 04 10 | 1 | $25 | 53 | 0 | +53 | Polina Kudermetova | +$28 | 04-09 14:28 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 2 | $25 | 33 | 0 | +33 | No | +$8 | 04-16 11:44 |
| nhl fla ott 2026 04 09 | 8 | $20 | 20 | 20 | +0 | Senators | $0 | 04-09 21:51 |
| cs2 mornin ra1 2026 03 25 | 7 | $20 | 0 | 40 | -40 | Morningstar | +$0 | 03-25 06:01 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:00 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$0 | 03-29 15:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:45 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Down | +$0 | 03-29 14:50 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:35 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Down | +$0 | 03-29 14:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:20 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Down | +$0 | 03-29 14:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:05 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$0 | 03-29 14:10 |
| DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:00 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$0 | 03-29 15:04 |
| XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:20 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$0 | 03-29 15:25 |
| nhl min ott 2026 04 04 | 7 | $20 | 182 | 15 | +167 | Wild | -$5 | 04-04 18:58 |
| SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:55 UTC | 1 | $20 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$0 | 03-29 14:59 |
| DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:10 UTC | 1 | $19 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Up | +$1 | 03-29 15:14 |
| SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:05 UTC | 1 | $19 | 20 | 0 | +20 | Down | +$1 | 03-29 15:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||