Indolent-Organizing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,747

lifetime

Volume

$8.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-19 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 42% $-5

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in denver on march 29 2026 65forbelow	2	$76	250	250	+0	open	—	03-29 22:02
highest temperature in chengdu on march 30 2026 16c	2	$59	56	56	+0	open	—	03-30 11:17
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 78forhigher	5	$41	38	38	+0	open	—	04-03 20:12
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 52 53f	3	$40	41	39	+2	open	—	04-01 22:07
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	3	$38	35	35	+0	open	—	04-03 09:00
highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 1c	21	$36	29	29	+0	open	—	03-28 21:32
btc updown 5m 1775853600	4	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 20:46
btc updown 5m 1775837400	4	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 16:15
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 16c	25	$32	39	39	+0	open	—	03-28 14:19
btc updown 5m 1775836800	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 16:05
btc updown 5m 1775839500	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 16:50
btc updown 5m 1775841600	6	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	04-10 17:25
btc updown 5m 1775835300	5	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-10 15:40
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 23c	5	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	04-04 17:13
btc updown 5m 1775896800	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 08:45
btc updown 5m 1775834400	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 15:26
btc updown 5m 1776453300	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776435600	5	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 14:24
btc updown 5m 1775657100	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-08 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776466800	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 23:05
highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 10c	12	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	03-28 14:16
highest temperature in los angeles on march 30 2026 68 69f	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	03-30 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$17	11	10	+1	open	—	04-30 14:25
btc updown 5m 1775840700	4	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-10 17:10
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 5 2026 33c	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	04-05 09:43
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 22c	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-06 03:18
highest temperature in houston on april 4 2026 80 81f	2	$15	13	12	+1	open	—	04-04 21:00
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 17c	4	$15	60	37	+23	open	—	04-02 02:20
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	5	$14	10	15	-5	open	—	04-07 10:32
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 82 83f	2	$14	13	13	+1	open	—	04-02 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:41:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x204cef…
07-11 14:26:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x071438…
05-08 01:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x0e56bd…
05-08 01:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x9dfb14…
05-06 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x8e73d1…
05-06 21:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x4dbcab…
05-06 19:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xaa92e2…
05-06 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x792cd3…
05-06 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x6181c3…
05-06 18:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x5ff719…
05-06 17:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xfcb18c…
05-06 17:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf5e2ec…
05-06 13:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9311af…
05-06 13:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xc36001…
05-05 23:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xc388be…
05-05 23:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x586753…
05-05 23:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x1fac96…
05-05 23:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x22e6f5…
05-05 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4b4ef8…
05-05 22:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5b5085…
05-05 22:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xed2d64…
05-05 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4b3d29…
05-05 21:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x22228d…
05-05 21:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x172b53…
05-05 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf9a9f6…
05-05 16:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x22f975…
05-05 16:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x85053f…
05-05 16:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2f9b6f…
05-05 06:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xa4c02b…
05-05 06:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9a2c62…
05-05 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb8e6f7…
05-05 05:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3541f2…
05-05 05:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x303c2a…
05-05 05:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4fb1a0…
05-05 05:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ca490…
05-05 05:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x166581…
05-05 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x853d55…
05-05 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc94143…
05-05 04:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf04fdb…
05-05 04:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2cfcff…
05-05 04:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0x529b0d…
05-05 04:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x48e53c…
05-05 04:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc4b5d0…
05-05 04:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6799ab…
05-05 04:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xa33b48…
05-05 04:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf22a73…
05-05 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c924e…
05-05 03:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3f78b9…
05-05 03:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff3400…
05-05 03:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3eec1b…
05-05 03:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x4065c1…
05-05 03:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd4ec8d…
05-05 03:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x405c17…
05-05 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf2e9d2…
05-05 02:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x609ffb…
05-05 02:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b78ff…
05-05 01:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f986f…
05-05 01:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0d906d…
05-05 01:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf963df…
05-05 01:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x55ac44…
05-05 00:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfee82a…
05-05 00:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb054f4…
05-05 00:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xa0f023…
05-05 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd03d0d…
05-05 00:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x5ed208…
05-05 00:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x050050…
05-04 23:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x3c142e…
05-04 23:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x786dfe…
05-04 23:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xf35c66…
05-04 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa2110…
05-04 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x15e366…
05-04 22:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6d37e3…
05-04 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xb3c96d…
05-04 22:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x077fca…
05-04 22:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x49fab5…
05-04 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x95bd97…
05-04 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xb4ecc0…
05-04 22:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9a1850…
05-04 22:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xeb9eed…
05-04 22:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x159566…
05-04 22:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8222b3…
05-04 22:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x82fa30…
05-04 22:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x919d96…
05-04 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x6fcc38…
05-04 22:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6112fd…
05-04 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x01bf6f…
05-04 21:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0aff76…
05-04 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x4da798…
05-04 21:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x81cf53…
05-04 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x861c49…
05-04 21:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4ec9b2…
05-04 21:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x7f01b9…
05-04 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf89473…
05-04 21:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb84c00…
05-04 21:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd9a9e3…
05-04 21:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x925bf9…
05-04 21:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5c08e3…
05-04 20:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$1	0xe80f67…
05-04 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x80459e…
05-04 20:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xb35d54…