Indolent-Organizing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

1,413

Trades

2,928

lifetime

Volume

$8.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-19 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 61% -$3

Other

21% 25% +$45

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on May 8?	60	$116	58	58	+0	No	$0	05-08 18:50
highest temperature in denver on march 29 2026 65forbelow	2	$76	250	250	+0	No	+$72	03-29 22:02
highest temperature in chengdu on march 30 2026 16c	2	$59	56	56	+0	Yes	+$53	03-30 11:17
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 78forhigher	5	$41	38	38	+0	Yes	+$35	04-03 20:12
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 52 53f	3	$40	41	39	+2	Yes	+$38	04-01 22:07
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	3	$38	35	35	+0	Yes	+$32	04-03 09:00
highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 1c	21	$36	29	29	+0	Yes	+$13	03-28 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 20:40 UTC	4	$33	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 20:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:10 UTC	4	$33	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 16:15
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 16c	25	$32	39	39	+0	Yes	+$23	03-28 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:00 UTC	4	$32	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	6	$31	34	34	+0	No	+$14	05-09 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:45 UTC	4	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:20 UTC	6	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:35 UTC	5	$28	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	04-10 15:40
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 23c	5	$26	23	23	+0	Yes	+$19	04-04 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:40 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-11 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:20 UTC	3	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:15 UTC	3	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:20 UTC	5	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:05 UTC	6	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	04-08 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:00 UTC	4	$18	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	04-17 23:05
highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 10c	12	$18	20	20	+0	No	-$3	03-28 14:16
highest temperature in los angeles on march 30 2026 68 69f	2	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	+$11	03-30 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$17	11	10	+1	Up	+$3	04-30 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:05 UTC	4	$16	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	04-10 17:10
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 5 2026 33c	4	$16	13	13	+0	Yes	+$10	04-05 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	15	$15	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$15	05-09 05:11
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 22c	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 03:18
highest temperature in houston on april 4 2026 80 81f	2	$15	13	12	+1	Yes	+$10	04-04 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:41:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x204cef…
07-11 14:26:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x071438…
05-10 16:45:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x04a9ab…
05-10 16:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 10?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x5a18f8…
05-10 16:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xed6af5…
05-10 14:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 10?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x5219f7…
05-10 14:00:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd699e1…
05-10 13:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb9cae2…
05-10 13:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 10?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1f3939…
05-10 13:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x63195a…
05-10 13:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6d8549…
05-10 12:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0b8cb7…
05-10 12:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb01e18…
05-10 12:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe72bf7…
05-10 12:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb51949…
05-10 11:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x77ae25…
05-10 11:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0658d…
05-10 10:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x516233…
05-10 10:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x0fed40…
05-10 10:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb1f42b…
05-10 10:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd1a435…
05-10 10:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7b3e4e…
05-10 06:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xad0475…
05-10 06:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3950e4…
05-10 06:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa308dd…
05-10 06:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x337c64…
05-10 06:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee10f2…
05-10 05:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x8a672d…
05-10 05:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x532068…
05-10 05:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x18e0e8…
05-10 05:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x637c49…
05-10 04:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x54eb8a…
05-10 04:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc89174…
05-10 02:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88e4e5…
05-10 02:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xccaf7e…
05-09 21:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1eff30…
05-09 21:00:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6fe7d0…
05-09 20:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xcc3328…
05-09 19:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x03170b…
05-09 19:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7d129d…
05-09 18:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfde817…
05-09 18:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x2caef7…
05-09 18:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x3e7440…
05-09 18:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6709f9…
05-09 18:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xea3a2a…
05-09 18:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe7e51f…
05-09 18:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd74c02…
05-09 18:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea6a55…
05-09 18:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd5abe1…
05-09 17:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x2c4232…
05-09 17:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc41c03…
05-09 17:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3b7f90…
05-09 17:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc9de43…
05-09 17:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x1bf6aa…
05-09 15:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x657bf7…
05-09 15:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x1da175…
05-09 14:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x898284…
05-09 14:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xb08e11…
05-09 14:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x7616c6…
05-09 14:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x778a64…
05-09 14:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x86b8e2…
05-09 14:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x424dd5…
05-09 14:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x956277…
05-09 13:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x778057…
05-09 13:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4af841…
05-09 13:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d7938…
05-09 13:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9d2665…
05-09 13:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x32045f…
05-09 13:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x17b42d…
05-09 13:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x93bd6b…
05-09 13:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x36fb74…
05-09 13:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x556cae…
05-09 13:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xefc8f6…
05-09 05:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9ce451…
05-09 05:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7ffcd…
05-09 05:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9be9d5…
05-09 05:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x167f4e…
05-09 05:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2e3f8e…
05-09 05:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb10659…
05-09 05:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x30b6c7…
05-09 05:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x13eb0c…
05-09 05:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x38d9c2…
05-09 05:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c0a0d…
05-09 05:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed69f3…
05-09 05:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeb0568…
05-09 05:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x857596…
05-09 05:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16e5f8…
05-09 05:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc4fd92…
05-09 05:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf543c9…
05-09 05:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2eb71c…
05-09 05:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x822a1d…
05-09 05:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8327c2…
05-09 05:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc72325…
05-09 05:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8da4f0…
05-09 05:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0fb864…
05-09 05:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5881fe…
05-09 05:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x02b4ca…
05-09 05:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f385d…
05-09 05:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x96fdb9…
05-09 05:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7fcc40…