Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$301
$1,810 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$517
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 15:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $167 | $62 | +$105 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $57 | $5 | +$52 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $19 | $8 | +$12 |
| Median | 8 | $32 | $21 | +$11 |
| Below median | 6 | $7 | $2 | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $17 | $14 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $20 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excited-Pregnancy 0x4829…97eb | Yes | +286 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 05:14 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +76 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-08 06:55 |
| Dapper-Futon 0x5fdf…28a2 | Yes | +48 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| Truthful-Siding 0x21e5…b7e9 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 15:14 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +22 | $12 | $21 | 4 | 05-09 10:50 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 04:24 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 21:16 |
| Loving-Typeface 0x3cac…1fba | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 05:44 |
| Vain-Need 0x60a8…84e6 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:53 |
| Vast-Insect 0xf136…f66a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 16:07 |
| Stable-Backburn 0x9996…3405 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 13:55 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 00:14 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:14 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 21:16 |
| Well-Lit-Antler 0xce1d…6372 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 15:41 |
| Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:29 |
| Costly-Bore 0xe537…a0cf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:00 |
| Entire-Confidence 0xef98…7926 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 03:44 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:32 |
| Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:43 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 15:00 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 15:42:33 | Assured-Warming 0x5931…8ecb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7bcf27… |
| 05-09 15:41:33 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x41d330… |
| 05-09 15:39:03 | Violet-Value 0x0416…616c | No | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd16f4c… |
| 05-09 15:14:43 | Simplistic-Strap 0x4754…c1fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x0be16e… |
| 05-09 15:14:43 | Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd078bd… |
| 05-09 15:14:12 | Truthful-Siding 0x21e5…b7e9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x715d8c… |
| 05-09 15:04:18 | Obvious-Passion 0x8bca…e136 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x48db2b… |
| 05-09 14:43:55 | Forsaken-Bureau 0xaff7…fb8b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x662451… |
| 05-09 14:38:58 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed48ef… |
| 05-09 12:20:46 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x35f2ac… |
| 05-09 12:18:31 | Obvious-Passion 0x8bca…e136 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x3cd75a… |
| 05-09 10:50:04 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x8d24d8… |
| 05-09 09:55:10 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x657db2… |
| 05-09 08:54:42 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x50b6d1… |
| 05-09 05:14:54 | Excited-Pregnancy 0x4829…97eb | Yes | BUY | 286 | 17¢ | $50 | 0xc4e401… |
| 05-09 03:53:41 | Vain-Need 0x60a8…84e6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x07a6d9… |
| 05-09 03:44:28 | Entire-Confidence 0xef98…7926 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf2706b… |
| 05-09 03:29:53 | Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x23f2ae… |
| 05-09 03:00:30 | Costly-Bore 0xe537…a0cf | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6b21ef… |
| 05-09 00:14:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xc63622… |
| 05-09 00:06:51 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x6c8899… |
| 05-09 00:02:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xc38067… |
| 05-08 21:51:40 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xa616d4… |
| 05-08 21:16:20 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x1e539f… |
| 05-08 21:16:19 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 17 | 83¢ | $14 | 0xc3f14f… |
| 05-08 16:07:30 | Vast-Insect 0xf136…f66a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xe63061… |
| 05-08 15:00:13 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x886f07… |
| 05-08 14:39:34 | Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xb977ff… |
| 05-08 13:55:12 | Stable-Backburn 0x9996…3405 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x798a04… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x358abe… |
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Tedious-Postage 0x0838…64f6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x48c4d0… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xeffdfa… |
| 05-08 09:24:20 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x6dc940… |
| 05-08 09:00:18 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xc4b670… |
| 05-08 08:10:20 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0x65ccd4… |
| 05-08 08:10:10 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6bd17d… |
| 05-08 08:10:03 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x39b1a8… |
| 05-08 06:55:00 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 76 | 34¢ | $26 | 0x4f2af9… |
| 05-08 05:32:12 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xc14d23… |
| 05-08 05:20:14 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xb51af6… |
| 05-08 04:24:48 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x8929fd… |
| 05-07 12:14:09 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x4a8253… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Dapper-Futon 0x5fdf…28a2 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 30¢ | $14 | 0x072a70… |
| 05-07 11:00:59 | Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x7855ec… |
| 05-07 11:00:53 | Well-Lit-Antler 0xce1d…6372 | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xadcd5e… |
| 05-07 09:15:17 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x4659a4… |
| 05-07 06:43:23 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x73a4ed… |
| 05-07 05:44:10 | Loving-Typeface 0x3cac…1fba | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $10 | 0xd2a088… |