0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520 — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-01 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

79% — —

Politics

19% 0% $-1

Sports

2% 50% $-0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+20	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-25 15:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$453	428	428	+0	open	—	04-21 23:15
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 02:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$140	82	82	+0	open	—	04-23 12:32
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	3	$125	151	76	+75	open	—	02-14 14:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$86	150	0	+150	open	—	01-12 22:39
Will Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	2	$59	269	269	+0	open	—	03-31 03:07
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	1	$52	75	0	+75	open	—	01-17 23:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	02-19 10:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	05-26 16:14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$26	57	57	+0	open	—	04-30 00:57
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 19:47
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 22:19
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-09 00:24
will iran strike uae again in march	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-06 12:42
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$11	33	0	+33	open	—	03-31 03:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	05-24 15:20
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	1	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	04-02 03:14
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	3	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-13 04:16
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-08 17:46
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	4	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	02-12 23:40
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-17 03:07
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	04-02 00:56
Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?	2	$6	100	100	+0	open	—	02-15 09:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$6	21	0	+21	open	—	04-24 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-06 02:56
Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	26	$5	500	500	+0	open	—	02-10 02:44
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 21:59
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 13:04
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$4	20	0	+20	open	—	02-07 03:56
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	6	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-08 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:58:23	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals sadio mane gte1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xedb4d5…
07-01 18:58:14	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals leandro trossard gte1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x590e0d…
07-01 18:57:58	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals kevin de bruyne gte1	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcfa5e0…
06-28 20:58:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0961db…
06-25 15:31:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2e7132…
06-21 02:04:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf37ccf…
06-17 03:25:21	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8ad812…
06-03 22:02:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x82b999…
05-30 01:09:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7597b3…
05-26 16:14:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x902c65…
05-25 01:44:46	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x57271f…
05-24 15:44:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xfd10e1…
05-24 15:25:04	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x141c62…
05-24 15:24:57	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe1941c…
05-24 15:20:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x0ddf78…
05-21 14:53:27	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x93373b…
05-17 03:34:30	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x76d3ee…
05-17 03:07:38	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x040b20…
05-17 01:11:42	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x115ca8…
05-13 04:16:30	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33bedd…
05-13 04:03:54	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee32ae…
05-13 02:59:16	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf06538…
05-12 19:21:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27369e…
05-12 18:41:18	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcadeb2…
05-12 01:44:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1b48d1…
05-11 16:56:38	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfe1ec3…
05-11 01:07:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3dab72…
05-10 21:50:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcd18b6…
05-09 17:56:48	Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb0b752…
05-09 13:23:01	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x48c4db…
05-09 11:10:51	Will the fight be won by submission?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb68531…
05-09 00:24:56	Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x711afc…
05-08 17:46:31	Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xdf5775…
05-08 16:10:19	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe4b540…
05-06 22:10:08	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0deac8…
05-06 14:03:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd32fcb…
05-06 13:57:26	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8f6570…
05-05 21:07:28	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x06ef4b…
05-02 23:28:20	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x210eca…
05-02 19:02:40	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xfc5033…
05-02 19:02:40	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xbe163a…
05-02 19:02:40	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x208bc6…
05-02 19:02:38	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x8d8ae6…
05-02 19:00:38	Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7cd189…
05-02 19:00:14	Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9ad079…
04-30 00:57:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	57	25¢	$14	0x80a5b0…
04-29 19:47:10	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x265d70…
04-28 21:59:30	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x91ed96…
04-27 22:19:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xedd3e3…
04-27 11:57:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe07999…
04-27 00:29:54	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x2ba5ea…
04-24 21:07:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x54a4f0…
04-23 13:04:22	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xafec04…
04-23 12:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$79	0xe55f4c…
04-21 23:15:40	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x090934…
04-21 23:15:34	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	278	99¢	$275	0x736859…
04-16 12:19:22	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x83defc…
04-15 23:36:06	Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8ac774…
04-15 10:38:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x77b29c…
04-12 04:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe0a96c…
04-09 00:15:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x51572d…
04-08 11:40:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb1174b…
04-07 20:19:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd5ba55…
04-06 12:42:03	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x00ed34…
04-06 02:56:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc96ab5…
04-06 02:56:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9157b3…
04-04 12:21:17	will iran strike azerbaijan by march 31	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x055ebf…
04-04 12:21:11	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9cfb0d…
04-02 11:02:37	will xo kitty season 3 be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x57e3e8…
04-02 03:14:19	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xb2b663…
04-02 00:56:23	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x35ead7…
04-02 00:56:17	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xf0a0fd…
03-31 03:13:41	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x618730…
03-31 03:08:01	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x0958b9…
03-31 03:07:39	Will Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	269	3¢	$9	0x1ff4e6…
03-31 03:04:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x22d1f4…
03-29 03:02:28	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x44b872…
03-29 02:43:38	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x16f883…
03-27 03:36:09	Will Gabriela Saporito win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x880644…
03-27 03:35:55	Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xbbfb53…
03-27 03:35:51	Will Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x83cc2b…
03-27 03:34:37	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x1ed710…
02-19 10:21:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xf050e0…
02-15 09:56:57	Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x32a824…
02-14 14:44:47	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	No	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0x053dd7…
02-14 14:44:21	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	Yes	SELL	76	36¢	$28	0x873a96…
02-12 23:40:29	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x05cdea…
02-12 14:36:09	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3e14c7…
02-10 22:50:51	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x53c54d…
02-10 22:50:37	Will Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	269	19¢	$50	0x5c3022…
02-10 02:44:05	Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x9e98f8…
02-09 08:51:29	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe39d1b…
02-07 12:00:01	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xffa0ef…
02-07 03:58:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x56b927…
02-07 03:58:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x18246b…
02-07 03:56:13	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7a3cfc…
02-07 03:54:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xaa048d…
02-04 08:43:44	Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2e11ee…
02-04 02:51:18	Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xad1507…
02-04 02:50:34	Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x06dc8f…