Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

38 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$25

$43 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-19 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

60% 64% +$8

Other

40% 31% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+33	$2	11¢	$4	+$2	06-29 17:47
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	+2	$1	99¢	$2	+$1	08-29 13:30
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	89¢	$-1	+$0	06-29 17:38
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+62	$1	1¢	$1	$0	06-15 11:15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+111	$1	1¢	$1	$0	06-15 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 21:26:22	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc47a78…
10-03 00:15:56	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xeb69cd…
10-03 00:15:41	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x15bde3…
09-28 10:04:33	Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x98020d…
09-28 10:02:08	Will Nathalie Roy win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc73b8d…
09-28 10:00:53	Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x397e44…
09-28 09:59:45	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd0c9b9…
09-22 11:42:27	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x818d1f…
09-19 00:21:45	Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x99f4ca…
09-17 15:48:07	Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb7c444…
09-17 15:47:39	Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc61ca8…
09-17 15:45:45	Will PCQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	536	0¢	$1	0x44d25d…
09-17 15:43:48	Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9a9bfa…
09-16 20:08:57	Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x801105…
09-14 20:40:03	Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5db49d…
09-14 20:39:22	Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4fdc1b…
08-29 13:31:12	Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x39189e…
08-29 13:31:03	Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x19960d…
08-29 13:30:01	us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x13caf3…
08-29 13:28:58	Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcc4ca4…
08-29 13:27:28	Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x2395a7…
07-03 15:56:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc8d3f1…
06-29 17:47:44	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x60e281…
06-29 17:38:50	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf43082…
06-17 11:31:23	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xef02f8…
06-17 11:31:14	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x27d2fa…
06-17 11:31:07	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x66ee94…
06-16 11:36:49	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf69bd…
06-16 11:36:28	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xacc886…
06-16 11:36:24	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0bf991…
06-15 11:15:39	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x1905cb…
06-15 11:15:27	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x75ec60…
06-15 09:54:24	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x586236…
06-15 09:53:33	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf72ba3…
06-15 09:53:25	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x10a4bb…
06-15 09:53:19	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5bf68d…
06-15 09:53:16	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x2e0ee4…
03-01 15:55:47	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17ac9b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	09-17 15:43
Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$3	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-28 10:00
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	33	1	+32	open	—	06-29 17:47
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	3	$3	5	2	+3	No	+$2	10-03 00:15
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-22 11:42
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	2	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-29 13:31
Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-16 20:08
Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-14 20:40
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	06-15 09:53
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	10-19 21:26
Will PCQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?	1	$1	536	0	+536	No	-$1	09-17 15:45
Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 20:39
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	09-28 10:04
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	06-15 11:15
Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-17 15:47
Will Nathalie Roy win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	09-28 10:02
Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-19 00:21
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	08-29 13:30
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-01 15:55
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-15 09:53
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	07-03 15:56
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	06-16 11:36
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-16 11:36
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	38	0	+38	No	-$1	06-15 09:53
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	+$5	06-17 11:31
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	06-16 11:36
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	06-15 09:53
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-17 11:31
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	06-15 11:15
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	06-15 09:54