Wasteful-Sensor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,049

lifetime

Volume

$296.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

57% 37% $-96

Politics

26% 100% +$4

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

7% 100% +$20

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	102	$13.0K	13,122	11,810	+1,312	open	—	02-23 18:06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	161	$12.2K	9,562	10,402	-840	open	—	02-22 21:46
will the us invade iran by march 31	66	$8.8K	8,869	6,734	+2,136	open	—	03-29 15:52
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	96	$7.9K	5,588	5,177	+411	open	—	03-15 23:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	50	$5.8K	3,723	5,191	-1,468	open	—	04-16 21:52
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	109	$5.2K	2,969	4,600	-1,631	open	—	04-13 23:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	12	$4.7K	2,720	2,720	+0	open	—	03-25 19:50
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	86	$3.6K	3,500	3,462	+38	open	—	03-27 11:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	38	$3.4K	4,982	4,305	+676	open	—	03-22 14:12
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 btts	45	$3.3K	3,128	3,097	+30	open	—	04-15 18:15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	46	$3.1K	2,162	2,162	+0	open	—	02-25 06:16
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	50	$3.0K	2,245	2,282	-37	open	—	03-26 02:45
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	40	$2.7K	2,440	2,410	+30	open	—	01-16 17:29
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	14	$2.6K	1,913	1,913	+0	open	—	02-09 15:33
will france strike iran by march 31	18	$2.6K	1,408	1,497	-89	open	—	03-02 08:06
boxing anthony joshua vspt kristian prenga 20260724153052168	17	$2.5K	6,254	6,254	+0	open	—	07-25 22:25
nba orl det 2026 04 19 total 219pt5	43	$2.5K	2,751	2,750	+0	open	—	04-19 20:12
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	15	$2.2K	1,447	2,343	-896	open	—	02-21 21:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$2.2K	2,059	2,059	+0	open	—	01-24 16:42
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	3	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-19 15:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	52	$2.2K	5,454	6,169	-715	open	—	04-14 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$2.0K	1,888	1,872	+15	open	—	06-04 20:09
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	16	$2.0K	1,201	1,301	-100	open	—	04-07 23:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	21	$2.0K	1,535	1,535	+0	open	—	07-27 07:45
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 3pt5	16	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-14 17:12
Abidjan: Hamish Stewart vs Eliakim Coulibaly	22	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-22 20:47
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	31	$1.9K	2,565	1,837	+728	open	—	03-30 20:58
atp shapova molcan 2026 04 17	26	$1.9K	1,740	1,740	+0	open	—	04-17 08:42
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	5	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-21 18:48
atp tu ellis 2026 04 17	14	$1.9K	1,892	1,892	+0	open	—	04-17 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 14:28:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	192	36¢	$69	0x9698a2…
08-04 14:26:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x80826a…
08-04 14:25:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xce15e4…
08-04 14:24:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xa8544a…
08-04 14:21:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0x354e2b…
08-01 13:16:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	63	76¢	$48	0x5d5473…
08-01 11:44:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0xa30080…
08-01 11:32:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x459338…
08-01 11:32:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xd040b4…
08-01 11:28:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x1234ca…
08-01 11:27:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	68	25¢	$17	0x687238…
08-01 11:17:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x702fc2…
08-01 11:16:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x0a7d78…
08-01 11:09:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0xcec8c6…
08-01 10:58:21	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	220	25¢	$55	0xc3b2a4…
07-31 23:30:45	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x24a828…
07-31 23:09:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	284	23¢	$65	0xfe38fa…
07-31 21:55:35	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x9b7dee…
07-31 21:54:08	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x8f8c30…
07-31 21:53:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	24¢	$240	0x682bad…
07-31 21:45:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf7fd3b…
07-31 21:39:17	mlb mil laa 2026 07 31	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x98654a…
07-31 20:24:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x70a56e…
07-31 19:23:26	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x68ad29…
07-31 19:10:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xbd5205…
07-31 19:07:59	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xc4fdda…
07-31 18:45:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x09c3e9…
07-31 18:43:54	atp jodar musetti 2026 07 31	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xf88e9a…
07-31 18:40:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x53fc57…
07-31 15:06:59	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xf3a2e6…
07-31 13:02:06	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x272a2d…
07-31 13:01:54	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7269dc…
07-31 13:00:35	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x5eca8f…
07-31 13:00:12	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x27a588…
07-31 12:58:48	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x757a37…
07-31 12:58:48	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x36bcdf…
07-31 12:58:42	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	SELL	215	62¢	$133	0xf381f7…
07-31 12:55:44	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xca60be…
07-31 12:48:03	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x514f4e…
07-31 12:46:51	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3fa65b…
07-31 12:45:53	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfacec0…
07-31 12:45:53	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb2c5a2…
07-31 11:43:41	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	220	42¢	$92	0xc174f4…
07-31 06:43:44	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0x66fc7a…
07-31 04:11:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfe07f1…
07-30 22:13:15	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x21cf28…
07-30 22:06:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4f69f4…
07-30 21:26:24	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xcbff37…
07-30 17:32:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x073f09…
07-28 10:23:29	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xaf3e00…
07-27 19:46:51	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	No	SELL	126	32¢	$40	0x6c5924…
07-27 19:40:55	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x56bcd3…
07-27 19:28:54	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xdcd3d6…
07-27 19:23:46	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x94c5e4…
07-27 19:19:54	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0xa2d6d8…
07-27 19:19:52	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	104	28¢	$29	0xe1e558…
07-27 19:19:52	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x44a58f…
07-27 18:06:27	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4d8cae…
07-27 18:06:21	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x297916…
07-27 18:06:19	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x3461b5…
07-27 18:06:18	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xe131b1…
07-27 18:06:18	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xbc56a4…
07-27 18:06:16	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x56bd6f…
07-27 18:06:12	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x2b190e…
07-27 18:06:10	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xdfa6df…
07-27 18:06:09	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xd61eed…
07-27 18:06:09	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x8ba5d8…
07-27 18:06:07	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x20785e…
07-27 18:04:30	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x874290…
07-27 17:57:57	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x1ef06e…
07-27 17:57:57	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	No	BUY	250	67¢	$167	0x1ef06e…
07-27 17:55:12	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	No	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x52023f…
07-27 17:55:07	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe1a0c1…
07-27 17:47:57	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x160ebf…
07-27 17:37:51	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xd3ff51…
07-27 17:37:09	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1269af…
07-27 17:35:36	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x903d89…
07-27 17:31:45	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	No	BUY	70	26¢	$18	0x019d7d…
07-27 17:27:45	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x648776…
07-27 16:42:10	mlb sea tex 2026 07 27	Seattle Mariners	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x85e994…
07-27 13:29:06	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Miami Marlins	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xd72925…
07-27 07:45:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	152	63¢	$96	0x569556…
07-27 07:43:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x1513fc…
07-27 07:19:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	317	63¢	$200	0xee0224…
07-27 06:57:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xd94eba…
07-27 06:52:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	51	63¢	$32	0x564d21…
07-27 06:42:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	85	63¢	$53	0x551506…
07-27 04:52:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xeaab54…
07-27 04:47:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x2fd47b…
07-27 04:30:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x7a72f5…
07-26 22:14:34	Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xc7f6f3…
07-26 16:47:03	mlb tor bos 2026 07 26	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xbb5bb2…
07-26 16:38:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xb38128…
07-26 16:15:54	mlb col mil 2026 07 26	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x4e99fc…
07-26 15:57:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x1424f0…
07-26 13:04:52	mlb cle tb 2026 07 26	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xeeae71…
07-26 11:16:15	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x06edb7…
07-26 09:37:07	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa2f9b2…
07-25 23:57:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x3812c5…
07-25 23:26:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xaa280c…