Realized P&L
+$1.27K
Unrealized P&L
-$373
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
556
Trades
4,815
lifetime
Volume
$330.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$4.60K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-18 10:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
57% 47% -$231
Politics
27% 65% +$1,298
Crypto
9% 50% -$212
Sports
7% 59% +$400
Tech
0% 50% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -982 -$535 93¢ $-915 -$380 06-05 21:11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1,000 -$951 84¢ $-836 +$114 05-11 18:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No -816 -$732 96¢ $-785 -$53 06-04 07:15
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -720 -$509 96¢ $-692 -$183 06-14 01:07
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -449 -$404 74¢ $-332 +$72 07-27 00:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,069 -$439 9¢ $-290 +$149 06-05 20:55
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 +393 $208 64¢ $253 +$45 06-02 23:24
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -267 -$103 81¢ $-216 -$113 06-15 15:13
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +159 $100 80¢ $128 +$28 05-11 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -105 -$85 68¢ $-71 +$14 05-23 23:51
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -829 -$66 5¢ $-39 +$27 05-13 16:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100 $30 18¢ $18 -$12 06-01 00:18
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $137 2¢ $12 -$125 05-26 15:42
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -259 -$73 4¢ $-9 +$63 05-15 05:39
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +313 $16 2¢ $5 -$10 05-09 01:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +0 $17 97¢ $0 -$17 07-27 07:45
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +0 -$8 94¢ $0 +$8 08-01 13:16