Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$220
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
19
197 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$842
$25.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$251
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-30 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
58% 16% -$7,458
Politics
34% 9% -$7,022
Tech
8% 25% -$1,337
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,950 $177 3¢ $88 -$88 08-20 16:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +3,100 $121 2¢ $60 -$60 08-20 19:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +867 $50 4¢ $36 -$14 10-28 16:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +247 $22 12¢ $29 +$7 10-29 19:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +503 $21 5¢ $25 +$5 10-29 19:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +400 $80 3¢ $12 -$68 08-20 19:37