Realized P&L
-$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$261
Hit rate
15.8%
Resolved
47
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$1.06K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-06 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
58% 16% -$7,458
Politics
34% 9% -$7,022
Tech
8% 25% -$1,337
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -17,109 -$235 2¢ $-299 -$65 11-06 04:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +491 $215 44¢ $214 -$2 11-06 04:41
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +725 $132 16¢ $112 -$19 11-06 04:37
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,950 $177 3¢ $96 -$81 08-20 16:57
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? Yes +530 $144 18¢ $95 -$49 10-30 21:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +294 $80 24¢ $72 -$8 11-06 04:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +503 $21 14¢ $68 +$48 10-29 19:56
Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +506 $94 8¢ $43 -$51 11-04 21:41
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +430 $53 5¢ $22 -$31 08-19 11:09
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +53 $18 35¢ $19 +$1 11-04 21:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +265 $11 4¢ $10 -$1 11-04 21:42
Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +150 $9 4¢ $7 -$2 11-04 21:43