Realized P&L
-$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$308
Hit rate
15.7%
Resolved
48
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$26.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$975
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-06 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
58% 16% -$7,458
Politics
34% 8% -$7,031
Tech
8% 25% -$1,337
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -17,109 -$235 2¢ $-282 -$47 11-06 04:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +491 $215 32¢ $160 -$56 11-06 04:41
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +725 $132 15¢ $105 -$26 11-06 04:37
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? Yes +530 $144 18¢ $95 -$49 10-30 21:21
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +2,950 $177 3¢ $88 -$88 08-20 16:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +503 $21 13¢ $67 +$46 10-29 19:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +294 $80 20¢ $57 -$23 11-06 04:40
Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +506 $94 8¢ $43 -$51 11-04 21:41
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +430 $53 9¢ $38 -$15 08-19 11:09
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +53 $18 42¢ $23 +$5 11-04 21:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +265 $11 4¢ $10 -$1 11-04 21:42
Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +150 $9 4¢ $7 -$2 11-04 21:43