Realized P&L
+$145
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
35
Trades
437
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.06K
10 positions
First seen
2026-08-22
last 10-26 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
63% 40% -$300
Other
30% 55% +$151
Tech
4% 25% +$197
Crypto
2% 50% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +728 $457 76¢ $553 +$96 10-26 00:45
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +170 $107 98¢ $167 +$60 10-25 10:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +188 $151 72¢ $136 -$15 10-26 20:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $62 64¢ $64 +$2 10-19 20:38
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +62 $50 68¢ $43 -$7 10-26 20:35
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +104 -$2 40¢ $41 +$43 10-25 20:40
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $10 21¢ $21 +$11 10-14 19:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,000 $185 1¢ $11 -$174 10-26 00:03
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $0 10-17 18:58
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +100 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 10-25 06:54