Real-Eel 0x45aa26…537949
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
1,322
Trades
2,525
lifetime
Volume
$4.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$190
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 10-27 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
65% 72% -$86
Sports
14% 50% +$187
Politics
10% 62% +$3
Crypto
8% 52% -$67
Tech
3% 46% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +33 $25 84¢ $28 +$4 10-14 12:43
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +29 $26 90¢ $26 +$0 10-04 15:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +25 $23 92¢ $23 $0 10-06 07:46
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +16 $10 97¢ $16 +$6 09-25 12:33
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +21 $12 54¢ $11 $0 10-12 17:05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9 $8 96¢ $8 $0 10-12 18:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $8 68¢ $8 $0 10-02 09:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 $0 10-14 13:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 $0 09-29 23:36
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,670 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 10-14 13:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$1 09-28 13:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-27 10:51
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +312 $5 1¢ $4 $0 10-02 14:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 09-25 07:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 $0 09-28 17:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 22¢ $4 +$2 10-05 17:37
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +464 $3 1¢ $3 +$0 10-14 10:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 10-10 21:06
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +162 $3 2¢ $3 -$1 10-02 14:38
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 16:10
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 09-27 21:10
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 09-27 21:11
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-27 18:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 09-24 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 09-25 18:00
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +55 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 09-25 15:24
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 09-25 14:01
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 10-14 12:45
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +288 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 11:32
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +285 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-04 16:59