Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$293

Unrealized P&L

+$84

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

274

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$59.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$2.84K

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 08-20 09:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

67% 61% -$742

Politics

13% 64% -$328

Sports

9% 44% +$1,756

Crypto

9% 59% -$34

Tech

1% 38% -$360

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+2,719	$2,559	97¢	$2.6K	+$71	07-23 05:23
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+135	$100	94¢	$126	+$26	07-20 14:47
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+100	$72	55¢	$55	-$17	07-21 14:15
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No	+21	$15	90¢	$18	+$3	07-23 23:12
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$6	96¢	$7	+$1	07-24 01:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total away 2pt5	2	$11.0K	5,524	5,524	+0	Under	+$18	06-15 18:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4.4K	3,719	1,000	+2,719	open	—	07-23 05:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	26	$3.3K	4,758	4,758	+0	Yes	+$1,525	07-08 00:32
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	5	$2.6K	1,472	1,472	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 12:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	2	$1.3K	1,327	0	+1,327	Under	+$27	07-06 18:35
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	4	$1.3K	1,326	0	+1,326	Under	+$30	07-06 02:36
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 7pt5	11	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Under	+$9	07-06 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22?	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	07-22 00:15
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 team total away 2pt5	11	$923	472	472	+0	Under	+$19	06-15 21:05
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	6	$681	491	491	+0	No	+$55	07-24 23:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$677	1,313	1,313	+0	No	+$177	07-09 00:18
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	7	$667	432	432	+0	Under	+$107	06-23 00:37
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	40	$661	22,855	108	+22,747	Yes	-$459	07-20 21:27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$604	385	385	+0	Yes	+$4	07-09 20:26
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 team total away 2pt5	4	$603	494	278	+216	Under	+$19	06-15 23:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$600	492	492	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 23:22
will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	6	$511	385	385	+0	Yes	-$138	07-24 23:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 22?	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	07-22 00:28
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$500	519	0	+519	No	+$19	06-22 00:26
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	2	$498	500	0	+500	Under	+$1	07-06 06:07
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 7pt5	2	$498	502	0	+502	Under	+$4	07-02 20:59
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 8pt5	1	$497	500	0	+500	Under	+$3	07-06 01:58
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 7pt5	1	$496	500	0	+500	Under	+$4	07-03 00:52
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	1	$496	500	0	+500	Under	+$4	07-05 14:45
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	1	$486	500	0	+500	Under	+$14	07-05 14:33
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 team total away 1pt5	10	$429	250	250	+0	Under	+$70	06-15 21:05
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total away 1pt5	2	$417	217	217	+0	Under	+$17	06-23 00:55
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	3	$411	322	112	+210	Under	+$21	06-26 00:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	4	$410	274	274	+0	open	—	07-24 23:22
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	2	$403	214	214	+0	Yes	+$3	07-23 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 09:15:33	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x8ebfcd…
08-20 09:12:30	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x364602…
08-20 08:09:30	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2c9825…
07-27 20:58:06	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	SELL	294	40¢	$118	0x436d61…
07-24 23:24:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0xebea13…
07-24 23:24:33	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	116	84¢	$98	0x5e095b…
07-24 23:24:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	184	70¢	$129	0xdba999…
07-24 23:24:09	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xa83a41…
07-24 23:23:55	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	127	80¢	$101	0x34a214…
07-24 23:23:46	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	143	82¢	$117	0x027a26…
07-24 23:23:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	178	73¢	$130	0xdf1627…
07-24 23:23:22	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	165	90¢	$148	0x5a87cb…
07-24 23:23:12	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	216	79¢	$171	0x2243b9…
07-24 23:22:55	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	230	85¢	$195	0x4ca0e8…
07-24 23:22:46	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0x3dafbb…
07-24 23:22:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	274	73¢	$200	0xfc01ae…
07-24 23:22:27	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	226	88¢	$200	0xb98a20…
07-24 23:22:16	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	492	61¢	$300	0xbee1e5…
07-24 23:22:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	122	61¢	$75	0xa9f3d8…
07-24 23:22:00	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	491	75¢	$368	0xc7bf0a…
07-24 23:21:48	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	379	11¢	$41	0xb0f245…
07-24 17:00:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	412	0¢	$2	0x7f829f…
07-24 16:59:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	998	1¢	$5	0x993a7f…
07-24 16:56:55	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	103	45¢	$47	0x7d30b4…
07-24 16:47:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xad3f10…
07-24 16:47:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x328fd8…
07-24 16:45:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	294	6¢	$18	0xd4e2d6…
07-24 16:45:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	359	3¢	$10	0xf786f5…
07-24 16:45:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	SELL	344	6¢	$21	0x96f901…
07-24 15:42:13	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x87450c…
07-24 15:42:06	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	169	10¢	$16	0x2d8ed9…
07-24 15:38:16	Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	No	BUY	233	13¢	$30	0x34ec50…
07-24 15:22:25	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe0065b…
07-24 15:22:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe4399f…
07-24 15:21:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x3521a4…
07-24 15:20:19	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xb44ba5…
07-24 15:08:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x20c6f9…
07-24 14:14:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x61b415…
07-24 12:37:18	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x3b5ee4…
07-24 12:32:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	236	64¢	$150	0x2f6ad7…
07-24 12:30:00	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc2c15e…
07-24 12:25:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1353db…
07-24 12:19:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x7563f1…
07-24 12:13:22	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0x530966…
07-24 12:10:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0xfa80aa…
07-24 12:10:36	Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1,472	89¢	$1,310	0x4d8d41…
07-24 12:07:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	105	64¢	$67	0x071e27…
07-24 12:06:25	atp martin erel 2026 07 24	Matteo Martineau	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x01896a…
07-24 12:06:01	atp inchaus smit 2026 07 24	Paul Inchauspe	SELL	40	41¢	$17	0x8bbfee…
07-24 12:05:37	lol we jdg 2026 07 24	Team WE	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x757c7c…
07-24 12:03:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc0bbc1…
07-24 12:03:07	atp henning wild 2026 07 24	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x600f2e…
07-24 12:02:28	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xff3b18…
07-24 12:01:37	atp martin erel 2026 07 24	Matteo Martineau	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x3487cf…
07-24 11:59:24	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	84	63¢	$53	0xcad717…
07-24 11:58:24	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x64dbf6…
07-24 11:53:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc4eee4…
07-24 11:24:37	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xf7b6ef…
07-24 01:47:51	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x82251c…
07-24 01:45:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xece231…
07-24 01:44:45	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x45019e…
07-24 01:43:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xcc3f7a…
07-24 00:00:22	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xeaf000…
07-23 23:54:27	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x95f000…
07-23 23:50:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0x18442b…
07-23 23:33:58	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x07945a…
07-23 23:27:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x06a484…
07-23 23:22:01	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x98b808…
07-23 23:12:04	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x6da188…
07-23 23:11:09	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0x155b52…
07-23 23:07:07	will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x0a482b…
07-23 23:01:52	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x944d24…
07-23 22:59:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x7941df…
07-23 22:58:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0xe832bc…
07-23 22:57:13	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xe2fe48…
07-23 22:53:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xb09f77…
07-23 22:51:22	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	79	23¢	$18	0x554dbe…
07-23 22:49:06	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	46¢	$92	0x465528…
07-23 20:14:45	itf tudoric alvarad 2026 07 23	Patricio Alvarado	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x65af8f…
07-23 20:05:54	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x21cde3…
07-23 20:05:19	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	294	69¢	$203	0x92d915…
07-23 19:56:57	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	36¢	$72	0xec9f06…
07-23 19:51:13	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe81e25…
07-23 19:50:16	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe117d5…
07-23 19:49:42	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xad2335…
07-23 19:49:16	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	113	26¢	$30	0xf2defa…
07-23 19:49:09	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x12607e…
07-23 19:48:54	Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	113	27¢	$30	0x03ad45…
07-23 19:48:13	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	SELL	208	75¢	$156	0x77a4f3…
07-23 19:44:21	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x266fb7…
07-23 19:42:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xe7be97…
07-23 19:39:04	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xc86aed…
07-23 19:37:55	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x24a540…
07-23 19:30:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?	No	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x44f5ea…
07-23 19:25:39	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	No	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x55cb98…
07-23 18:49:04	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0ed725…
07-23 18:48:12	atp henning wild 2026 07 24	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6af508…
07-23 18:47:54	atp martin erel 2026 07 24	Matteo Martineau	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe4b0be…
07-23 18:43:34	val dfm1 pr1 2026 07 24	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xeea83c…
07-23 18:26:25	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x07a55a…