Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

19.9%

Resolved

363

Trades

6,413

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$257

20 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-26 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 24% -$130

Other

34% 15% -$190

Politics

12% 24% -$35

Sports

6% 0% $0

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 1963 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	—	+50	$46	91¢	$46	-$1	10-25 16:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No		+50	$37	76¢	$38	+$1	10-19 12:06
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		+30	$26	90¢	$27	+$1	10-25 16:17
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes		+20	$19	96¢	$19	$0	10-17 01:13
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$18	92¢	$18	+$1	10-25 16:17
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$16	76¢	$15	-$1	10-25 16:17
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No		+25	$15	59¢	$15	$0	10-25 16:17
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No		+17	$13	81¢	$14	+$1	10-25 16:16
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes		+20	$12	63¢	$13	+$0	10-20 09:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+50	$14	24¢	$12	-$2	10-25 16:17
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes		+25	$7	41¢	$10	+$3	10-21 17:27
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No		+20	$8	37¢	$7	-$1	10-20 06:35
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$5	24¢	$5	+$0	10-19 13:02
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	—	+50	$5	9¢	$4	$0	10-19 14:34
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes		+5	$4	82¢	$4	$0	10-24 21:53
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes		+17	$4	19¢	$3	-$1	10-18 04:10
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+30	$4	10¢	$3	-$1	10-18 09:17
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$3	8¢	$2	-$1	10-19 15:05
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No		+5	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	10-24 21:53
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No		+20	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-17 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8AM ET	167	$546	545	520	+26	Down	-$3	10-06 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9PM ET	216	$497	521	496	+25	Down	-$11	10-05 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6PM ET	119	$400	405	382	+23	Down	+$6	10-05 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9PM ET	129	$385	447	421	+26	Down	-$2	10-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7AM ET	121	$378	407	376	+30	Up	-$7	10-06 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET	123	$363	395	367	+28	Down	-$6	10-06 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET	102	$356	350	324	+25	Up	-$4	10-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7PM ET	152	$352	353	343	+10	Up	-$6	10-04 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8PM ET	151	$350	373	342	+31	Up	$0	10-05 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET	153	$346	367	353	+14	Down	+$0	10-05 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10PM ET	150	$341	364	346	+18	Down	-$5	10-05 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8PM ET	99	$313	335	327	+8	Up	-$9	10-06 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3PM ET	112	$313	357	336	+21	Up	-$16	10-05 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11PM ET	106	$311	352	337	+15	Down	+$5	10-06 03:49
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	8	$296	589	0	+589	open	—	10-25 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4AM ET	139	$292	338	328	+10	Down	-$4	10-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7AM ET	131	$287	311	306	+5	Up	-$2	10-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5PM ET	129	$284	310	299	+11	Up	-$2	10-04 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7PM ET	82	$282	285	265	+20	Down	-$3	10-05 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9AM ET	81	$274	284	257	+27	Up	-$4	10-06 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET	73	$260	256	242	+14	Down	-$3	10-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET	72	$255	247	229	+19	Down	+$2	10-06 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	88	$239	301	275	+26	Up	-$6	10-06 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6AM ET	87	$238	289	260	+29	Up	-$2	10-06 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET	100	$237	243	226	+18	Up	-$3	10-05 17:56
Will 90 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026?	13	$235	322	50	+272	open	—	10-25 16:17
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	3	$230	130	130	+0	Yes	+$0	10-25 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET	76	$223	240	217	+24	Up	-$4	10-05 21:49
bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 6pm et	98	$220	243	234	+9	Up	$0	10-04 22:34
bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 12am et	111	$220	270	261	+9	Down	-$2	10-05 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:43:56	Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x063610…
10-25 23:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7124f0…
10-25 17:44:32	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7c281c…
10-25 16:28:29	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xea5f38…
10-25 16:18:24	Will Chris Leahy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc8a02e…
10-25 16:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa4ecc5…
10-25 16:18:24	Will Bo Nix have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x53b1fa…
10-25 16:18:24	Will DK Metcalf have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x2d3c7f…
10-25 16:18:23	Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x966f7f…
10-25 16:18:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x90f0d8…
10-25 16:18:23	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x856dd7…
10-25 16:18:23	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x412e9d…
10-25 16:18:23	Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x32f79d…
10-25 16:18:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xde61b6…
10-25 16:18:06	Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdd52f1…
10-25 16:18:06	Will Daniel Jones be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc510e7…
10-25 16:18:06	Will "Clayface" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa0b2af…
10-25 16:18:06	Will Donovan Clingan win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x701f57…
10-25 16:18:06	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x66cf87…
10-25 16:18:05	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x72f414…
10-25 16:18:05	Will Milan finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x5b4e4c…
10-25 16:18:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x584a34…
10-25 16:18:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3a2d4e…
10-25 16:18:03	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe4145f…
10-25 16:18:03	Will "Wildwood" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xbf61b7…
10-25 16:18:03	Will m0NESY play for Falcons in 2027?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x85a0c0…
10-25 16:18:03	Will Dillagence II (Busta Rhymes & J Dilla) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x52cb6b…
10-25 16:18:02	Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xce85b6…
10-25 16:18:02	Will Rafael Fiziev fight Quillan Salkilld next?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9e751d…
10-25 16:18:02	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x49962c…
10-25 16:18:02	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x381730…
10-25 16:18:00	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xeffde4…
10-25 16:18:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc3c238…
10-25 16:18:00	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x7245e3…
10-25 16:18:00	Will Mike Leigh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x1cd176…
10-25 16:17:59	Will LJ Martin be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x3bf9a3…
10-25 16:17:59	Will Jake Bauers lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2fdeb5…
10-25 16:17:59	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x17b0ea…
10-25 16:17:59	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0efc75…
10-25 16:17:57	Will Ca$ino (Baby Keem) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfb673b…
10-25 16:17:57	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe0caa6…
10-25 16:17:57	Will Nicolò Barella (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x875c3b…
10-25 16:17:57	Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x413182…
10-25 16:17:57	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x37503a…
10-25 16:17:56	Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb7e030…
10-25 16:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x91fe3b…
10-25 16:17:56	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Miami Dolphins in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x09b57e…
10-25 16:17:54	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8e60d4…
10-25 16:17:53	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc3d783…
10-25 16:17:53	Will Rose win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x39cc19…
10-25 16:17:51	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	No	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xfa9f81…
10-25 16:17:51	Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xa87520…
10-25 16:17:51	Will It's Been Awful (Isaiah Rashad) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7259dc…
10-25 16:17:50	Will Houston Texans advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xc781cd…
10-25 16:17:50	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x72dbaa…
10-25 16:17:48	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by April 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x335f47…
10-25 16:17:48	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x11865f…
10-25 16:17:48	Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x00552d…
10-25 16:17:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xfb9a11…
10-25 16:17:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xee4d66…
10-25 16:17:47	Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xd90a6c…
10-25 16:17:47	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xcce1bc…
10-25 16:17:47	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xaefd0c…
10-25 16:17:45	Will The Black Ball win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xf5fdb2…
10-25 16:17:45	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xefcf8c…
10-25 16:17:45	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc35162…
10-25 16:17:45	Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1451d5…
10-25 16:17:44	Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xbe3485…
10-25 16:17:44	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x902ca0…
10-25 16:17:44	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x65705d…
10-25 16:17:44	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x2d99c6…
10-25 16:17:42	Will Ja'Marr Chase have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xfcdba6…
10-25 16:17:42	Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x5ea904…
10-25 16:17:42	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x537c4c…
10-25 16:17:42	Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x2d81a0…
10-25 16:17:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x208f3b…
10-25 16:17:41	Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xd5763a…
10-25 16:17:41	Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x96e3c0…
10-25 16:17:41	Will Courtland Sutton have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x571d7f…
10-25 16:17:39	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xf1e727…
10-25 16:17:39	Will Waldo Fernández González win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x41ca1a…
10-25 16:17:39	Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x152c38…
10-25 16:17:39	Will Emeka Egbuka have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x08307b…
10-25 16:17:38	Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xfeb43c…
10-25 16:17:38	Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd601f8…
10-25 16:17:38	Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xadf798…
10-25 16:17:38	Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x8ba8af…
10-25 16:17:38	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x2cb6f3…
10-25 16:17:36	Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xf6c89f…
10-25 16:17:36	Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xd0bed7…
10-25 16:17:36	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xb79492…
10-25 16:17:36	Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x8db530…
10-25 16:17:36	Will f0rsaken leave Paper Rex in 2026?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x6433a8…
10-25 16:17:36	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x0ef42d…
10-25 16:17:35	Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x19785b…
10-25 16:17:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x10c38f…
10-25 16:17:33	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc262e4…
10-25 16:17:33	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x534ba5…
10-25 16:17:33	Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x40d6f4…
10-25 16:17:32	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be 3,100,000 or more?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xd48d47…