Aggravating-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$147

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-05 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-1

Politics

18% 0% $-1

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		+25	$2	5¢	$1	$-1	06-05 23:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	1	$8	31	+31	open	—	03-20 10:16
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	1	$8	24	+24	open	—	03-20 10:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	04-25 22:32
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	2	$5	34	+34	open	—	04-07 23:55
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	2	$4	40	+40	open	—	05-13 01:58
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1	$3	9	+9	open	—	03-02 10:59
will trump say nuclear 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	02-10 05:01
will trump say peace 8 times during meeting with netanyahu 167	1	$3	6	+6	open	—	02-10 05:04
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	1	$3	23	+23	Yes	+$20	05-08 19:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	1	$3	13	+13	open	—	03-24 23:02
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	1	$3	22	+22	open	—	03-24 23:02
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	04-19 11:32
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	1	$2	25	+25	open	—	03-23 21:50
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	2	$2	1,500	+1,500	open	—	03-02 20:21
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$2	20	+20	open	—	03-23 21:50
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	1	$2	2,000	+2,000	open	—	03-02 11:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$2	25	+25	open	—	06-05 23:15
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$2	13	+13	open	—	04-16 11:02
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	03-29 10:42
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	03-05 19:01
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$2	33	+33	open	—	03-29 10:41
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	1	$2	47	+47	open	—	04-19 11:32
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	1	$2	11	+11	open	—	03-23 08:07
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	03-29 10:41
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	1	$2	11	+11	open	—	04-16 11:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	1	$2	17	+17	open	—	03-29 10:43
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	1	$2	12	+12	open	—	03-23 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	04-27 00:59
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	03-23 21:48
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	1	$2	15	+15	open	—	03-29 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 23:15:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9fcfad…
06-01 01:23:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5f3076…
05-29 23:12:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x3303b5…
05-24 20:39:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74d892…
05-24 20:39:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcf02e1…
05-13 01:58:08	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x049860…
05-12 03:34:15	Will Trump say "401(k)" or "Dow" during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xac3a8a…
05-12 03:31:27	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0614f8…
05-08 19:22:14	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x658ec0…
04-27 00:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0dd46b…
04-25 22:33:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x5c7fad…
04-25 22:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5826b0…
04-23 00:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1f0055…
04-23 00:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x221829…
04-19 11:42:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1fdbb3…
04-19 11:32:42	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x98f964…
04-19 11:32:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x7535d8…
04-16 11:04:28	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2fe25a…
04-16 11:02:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x46f972…
04-09 13:21:37	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 140 164	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x604a37…
04-09 13:20:25	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x89117a…
04-09 13:20:09	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x87cb1e…
04-07 23:55:39	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x575f20…
04-07 04:42:11	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x38342c…
04-04 05:11:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe87189…
04-04 05:11:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a8dea…
04-04 05:10:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf69b50…
04-02 03:49:11	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3bb9e6…
04-02 03:48:53	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xf20917…
04-02 03:48:37	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xffdeb4…
03-29 10:47:06	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x257f02…
03-29 10:44:54	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xea0261…
03-29 10:43:56	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xff0799…
03-29 10:42:04	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x28ed01…
03-29 10:41:54	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf5cd95…
03-29 10:41:42	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xcd89e8…
03-24 23:02:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x78873e…
03-24 23:02:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x6b443b…
03-23 21:50:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7a8475…
03-23 21:50:01	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8adf4b…
03-23 21:48:11	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1d152f…
03-23 21:48:07	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf7edae…
03-23 08:07:59	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb1f38a…
03-23 08:07:47	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x17ec0d…
03-20 10:31:17	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd61554…
03-20 10:31:07	will trump say armada this week march 22	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x91c037…
03-20 10:30:59	will trump say affair this week march 22	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc1276f…
03-20 10:30:37	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf58eeb…
03-20 10:21:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 140 159	Yes	BUY	242	0¢	$1	0xcff4eb…
03-20 10:21:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 160 179	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x999006…
03-20 10:20:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc8ab0b…
03-20 10:20:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x4d6188…
03-20 10:20:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1d5c89…
03-20 10:20:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 100 119	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5c0d60…
03-20 10:16:49	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x0ddaeb…
03-20 10:16:37	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x79aaf0…
03-12 23:37:13	will trump say where are you during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5ff8f3…
03-12 23:36:43	will trump say angel during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd5fa38…
03-12 23:36:31	will trump say nicki or minaj during womens history month event 533	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xff4fe4…
03-12 23:36:21	will trump say biden during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8da8fd…
03-11 20:33:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x07ea14…
03-11 20:33:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xa58a48…
03-11 20:33:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 140 159	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x3eebce…
03-10 12:49:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 160 179	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xa289c7…
03-10 12:49:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 140 159	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xabc6d8…
03-10 11:54:35	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x180a81…
03-07 10:45:57	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 160 179	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xc1f27d…
03-05 19:12:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x4b3d86…
03-05 19:07:05	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa8c91a…
03-05 19:01:41	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd24161…
03-05 19:01:31	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7dbf6c…
03-04 18:20:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 140 159	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x58b393…
03-04 18:19:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 120 139	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x638202…
03-02 20:22:25	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb2a920…
03-02 20:22:19	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 100 119	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$1	0xed70d7…
03-02 20:22:13	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 80 99	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9d5493…
03-02 20:22:05	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf2ed7e…
03-02 20:21:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x83f71f…
03-02 11:03:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x945965…
03-02 11:02:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb74c93…
03-02 11:02:41	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3b0141…
03-02 10:59:59	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe3f5cf…
03-02 01:50:47	Will the US strike another country first?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x125c24…
03-01 20:48:39	will trump meet with kim jong un in march 2026 215	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4edcd2…
02-22 18:28:36	will trump say drone this week february 22	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb0b74c…
02-22 18:26:50	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 22	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x77cf65…
02-11 05:04:11	will trump say nothing 2 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc1a653…
02-11 01:29:07	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0xe0ff0c…
02-10 05:04:01	will trump say peace 8 times during meeting with netanyahu 167	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe3a0c5…
02-10 05:01:11	will trump say nuclear 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x60ce72…
02-06 21:50:23	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0a8cba…