Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$411

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

68% 10% -$368

Other

22% 29% -$8

Sports

11% 55% -$31

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+29	$8	22¢	$6	-$2	10-27 12:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$1.2K	2,536	2,479	+57	No	+$709	04-15 18:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.0K	1,626	1,626	+0	No	-$139	04-21 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	11	$795	2,755	2,696	+59	No	-$21	05-12 12:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	12	$709	6,271	6,271	+0	No	-$191	04-22 13:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	14	$476	3,544	1,374	+2,170	No	-$190	04-15 20:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	5	$420	4,088	3,488	+600	No	-$140	04-21 14:43
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$419	489	489	+0	Yes	-$94	05-30 18:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$407	1,186	1,186	+0	No	-$10	05-12 12:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$375	1,498	1,498	+0	No	-$83	05-07 22:02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	2	$347	199	199	+0	Yes	+$49	05-13 20:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$289	450	450	+0	No	-$11	05-19 17:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$241	366	366	+0	Yes	-$73	05-23 07:06
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$233	143	143	+0	Sean Strickland	-$1	05-09 22:28
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	4	$229	372	372	+0	Yes	+$36	05-28 15:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$219	252	252	+0	No	-$23	05-05 13:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	4	$218	692	692	+0	No	-$34	05-23 21:04
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$201	454	454	+0	No	-$59	04-17 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$197	319	319	+0	open	—	05-04 21:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$187	341	341	+0	No	+$11	05-23 14:00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	3	$144	159	90	+69	Yes	+$31	05-09 20:51
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$102	129	129	+0	No	+$34	06-08 04:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$98	194	194	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$97	231	231	+0	No	+$17	05-22 19:11
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$94	95	95	+0	Ciryl Gane	-$5	06-15 03:54
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$93	178	178	+0	Yes	-$7	04-17 01:07
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$92	303	273	+30	Yes	+$25	05-09 20:46
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-13?	2	$89	56	56	+0	Yes	+$22	05-13 20:46
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$85	1,354	1,354	+0	No	-$7	05-06 13:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$80	2,280	2,280	+0	No	-$20	04-21 19:45
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	2	$70	48	48	+0	Yes	+$7	05-22 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:01:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x7be5ec…
10-27 12:01:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xf1c036…
10-27 11:59:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xe1f0c8…
10-24 21:03:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x6ecf68…
10-24 19:53:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4fd790…
10-24 12:01:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe64f6a…
10-24 12:00:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7a8419…
10-24 11:13:24	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xf52115…
10-24 11:13:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$0	0x970189…
10-24 11:13:08	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x93b562…
10-24 11:12:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	112	13¢	$14	0x6c8adb…
10-23 00:19:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xc448f2…
10-22 23:42:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0xa43d9e…
10-22 23:41:42	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0xbbe156…
10-22 12:00:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4cc1f7…
10-22 07:26:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xb5d3c9…
10-22 07:24:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc22c2c…
10-22 07:23:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	433	1¢	$2	0x469051…
10-21 20:12:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x9d4245…
10-21 19:52:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb98d8b…
10-21 19:52:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0xdc530c…
10-21 19:49:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0xe3b7be…
10-21 19:43:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0x4350bb…
10-21 19:42:44	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xf7e994…
10-20 21:03:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x109e4e…
10-20 21:03:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x135242…
10-19 12:57:15	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xb3883b…
10-19 06:38:42	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x53cd06…
10-17 11:44:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x4f0540…
10-17 11:43:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x90a3f9…
10-17 11:43:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2769ef…
10-17 01:50:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe18314…
10-17 01:50:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x936f1d…
10-17 01:47:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	112	4¢	$4	0xa694b9…
10-17 01:46:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe3698b…
10-17 01:46:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x293aa3…
10-17 01:42:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x4a1e0d…
10-17 01:39:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xfa7a3c…
10-16 16:18:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x4f12cf…
10-16 15:56:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6a58f1…
10-16 15:55:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa73e2c…
10-16 15:55:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x9ac82b…
10-16 15:35:06	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf0eee9…
10-16 07:43:49	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdcc39b…
10-16 07:42:16	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb818f0…
10-15 23:05:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x004e6f…
10-15 13:55:13	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeca55d…
10-15 13:55:11	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xada963…
10-15 09:15:22	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x143789…
10-15 09:08:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x598dc3…
10-15 08:46:01	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8bef72…
10-15 08:44:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	198	4¢	$8	0xe2992d…
10-13 11:38:37	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xbe68c9…
10-12 22:40:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xa78763…
10-11 23:41:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x24fbda…
06-15 03:54:45	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0x0fa180…
06-08 04:27:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x32afcf…
06-08 04:27:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc07925…
06-08 04:27:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x091447…
06-08 04:26:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9dea85…
06-08 04:26:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5413ba…
06-08 04:25:54	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	246	3¢	$8	0xb1b652…
06-08 04:25:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	86	51¢	$44	0x2d4164…
06-07 20:12:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0xab12ea…
06-07 19:03:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x420cc1…
06-07 18:06:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5f0a2b…
06-06 22:50:24	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	246	1¢	$3	0x2e4b70…
06-06 22:49:45	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xb8a573…
06-05 17:14:54	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xc5ab4e…
05-30 18:45:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	135	47¢	$64	0xd623d5…
05-30 17:55:39	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd3d265…
05-30 17:32:50	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xf09419…
05-30 17:30:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	58	27¢	$16	0xfa124c…
05-30 17:27:46	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x02d66e…
05-30 17:19:08	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$20	0x9d3e16…
05-30 17:10:02	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	354	28¢	$99	0xf34439…
05-30 16:26:24	Moise Kouame vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x84a161…
05-30 15:33:36	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	186	53¢	$99	0x1e9b14…
05-30 13:12:05	Moise Kouame vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb56386…
05-29 07:06:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	58	42¢	$25	0x8726d3…
05-28 15:16:13	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	312	26¢	$81	0x0e0e07…
05-28 15:10:25	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0x0178fd…
05-28 13:27:31	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd4a6da…
05-28 10:46:03	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	312	15¢	$47	0x139a06…
05-28 10:45:21	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xeb110b…
05-28 09:28:08	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xc214ab…
05-27 02:36:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc9131a…
05-27 02:35:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x9983b5…
05-26 20:15:20	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xfd17a7…
05-26 12:03:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf61d78…
05-23 21:04:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	293	2¢	$6	0x752589…
05-23 21:04:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	138	5¢	$7	0x5209b8…
05-23 21:04:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	566	2¢	$9	0x759dcc…
05-23 21:04:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	314	10¢	$31	0xca3f36…
05-23 20:53:26	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x4c4294…
05-23 20:30:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	314	15¢	$48	0xf832aa…
05-23 20:26:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x5bba56…
05-23 20:26:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	293	3¢	$10	0x301ebb…
05-23 20:25:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	566	2¢	$10	0xe66c2c…
05-23 20:24:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$5	0x361348…