Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

349 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$345

$10.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$23

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-10 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

68% 9% -$407

Other

21% 28% -$9

Sports

11% 55% -$31

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+749	$27	3¢	$21	-$6	11-10 23:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	+123	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	11-01 13:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	+144	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	11-05 20:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	+38	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-01 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	16	$1.2K	2,536	2,479	+57	No	+$709	04-15 18:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.0K	1,626	1,626	+0	No	-$139	04-21 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	11	$795	2,755	2,696	+59	No	-$21	05-12 12:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	12	$709	6,271	6,271	+0	No	-$191	04-22 13:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	14	$476	3,544	1,374	+2,170	No	-$190	04-15 20:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	5	$420	4,088	3,488	+600	No	-$140	04-21 14:43
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$419	489	489	+0	Yes	-$94	05-30 18:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$407	1,186	1,186	+0	No	-$10	05-12 12:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$375	1,498	1,498	+0	No	-$83	05-07 22:02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	2	$347	199	199	+0	Yes	+$49	05-13 20:45
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$289	450	450	+0	No	-$11	05-19 17:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$241	366	366	+0	Yes	-$73	05-23 07:06
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$233	143	143	+0	Sean Strickland	-$1	05-09 22:28
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	4	$229	372	372	+0	Yes	+$36	05-28 15:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$219	252	252	+0	No	-$23	05-05 13:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	4	$218	692	692	+0	No	-$34	05-23 21:04
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$201	454	454	+0	No	-$59	04-17 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$197	319	319	+0	open	—	05-04 21:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$187	341	341	+0	No	+$11	05-23 14:00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	3	$144	159	90	+69	Yes	+$31	05-09 20:51
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$102	129	129	+0	No	+$34	06-08 04:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$98	194	194	+0	No	-$2	05-07 22:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$97	231	231	+0	No	+$17	05-22 19:11
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$94	95	95	+0	Ciryl Gane	-$5	06-15 03:54
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$93	178	178	+0	Yes	-$7	04-17 01:07
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$92	303	273	+30	Yes	+$25	05-09 20:46
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-13?	2	$89	56	56	+0	Yes	+$22	05-13 20:46
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$85	1,354	1,354	+0	No	-$7	05-06 13:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$80	2,280	2,280	+0	No	-$20	04-21 19:45
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	2	$70	48	48	+0	Yes	+$7	05-22 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 23:33:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	211	3¢	$7	0xf9af91…
11-10 06:37:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	538	4¢	$20	0xefdaca…
11-07 19:44:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x300242…
11-07 10:59:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb2c5dd…
11-07 10:59:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1b822e…
11-07 10:59:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xb702c1…
11-07 10:58:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0xc1b30e…
11-06 01:14:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	438	6¢	$25	0x902cb9…
11-06 01:03:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x9d3d8a…
11-05 20:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8b2f1e…
11-05 10:46:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x483ec6…
11-04 02:22:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4749c1…
11-04 02:22:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2719dd…
11-04 02:22:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8754bf…
11-04 02:22:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf7ae74…
11-04 02:22:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x12a42b…
11-04 02:22:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x83f452…
11-04 02:20:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb1ebfd…
11-04 02:20:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd24788…
11-03 23:50:04	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3d0131…
11-03 23:49:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x5ebc84…
11-03 07:05:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbf9c53…
11-02 23:36:37	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x571315…
11-02 20:19:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x2d7682…
11-02 07:54:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xed2ceb…
11-01 17:42:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xf9fa91…
11-01 13:09:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0xcc9cab…
11-01 13:08:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xfe574a…
11-01 13:08:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x749525…
10-31 09:37:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0xb75a05…
10-31 02:50:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x07453c…
10-31 02:48:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x905531…
10-30 17:58:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x5af927…
10-30 17:58:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x39ce81…
10-28 08:41:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x902b0c…
10-28 05:25:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x96a463…
10-27 23:45:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x48d711…
10-27 22:56:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0xb9f836…
10-27 12:01:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x7be5ec…
10-27 12:01:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xf1c036…
10-27 11:59:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xe1f0c8…
10-24 21:03:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x6ecf68…
10-24 19:53:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4fd790…
10-24 12:01:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe64f6a…
10-24 12:00:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7a8419…
10-24 11:13:24	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xf52115…
10-24 11:13:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$0	0x970189…
10-24 11:13:08	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x93b562…
10-24 11:12:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	112	13¢	$14	0x6c8adb…
10-23 00:19:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xc448f2…
10-22 23:42:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0xa43d9e…
10-22 23:41:42	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0xbbe156…
10-22 12:00:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4cc1f7…
10-22 07:26:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xb5d3c9…
10-22 07:24:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xc22c2c…
10-22 07:23:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	433	1¢	$2	0x469051…
10-21 20:12:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x9d4245…
10-21 19:52:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xb98d8b…
10-21 19:52:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0xdc530c…
10-21 19:49:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0xe3b7be…
10-21 19:43:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0x4350bb…
10-21 19:42:44	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xf7e994…
10-20 21:03:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x109e4e…
10-20 21:03:18	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x135242…
10-19 12:57:15	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xb3883b…
10-19 06:38:42	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x53cd06…
10-17 11:44:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x4f0540…
10-17 11:43:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x90a3f9…
10-17 11:43:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2769ef…
10-17 01:50:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe18314…
10-17 01:50:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x936f1d…
10-17 01:47:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	112	4¢	$4	0xa694b9…
10-17 01:46:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe3698b…
10-17 01:46:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x293aa3…
10-17 01:42:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x4a1e0d…
10-17 01:39:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xfa7a3c…
10-16 16:18:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x4f12cf…
10-16 15:56:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6a58f1…
10-16 15:55:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa73e2c…
10-16 15:55:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x9ac82b…
10-16 15:35:06	Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf0eee9…
10-16 07:43:49	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdcc39b…
10-16 07:42:16	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb818f0…
10-15 23:05:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x004e6f…
10-15 13:55:13	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeca55d…
10-15 13:55:11	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xada963…
10-15 09:15:22	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x143789…
10-15 09:08:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x598dc3…
10-15 08:46:01	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8bef72…
10-15 08:44:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	198	4¢	$8	0xe2992d…
10-13 11:38:37	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xbe68c9…
10-12 22:40:47	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xa78763…
10-11 23:41:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x24fbda…
06-15 03:54:45	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0x0fa180…
06-08 04:27:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x32afcf…
06-08 04:27:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc07925…
06-08 04:27:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x091447…
06-08 04:26:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9dea85…
06-08 04:26:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5413ba…
06-08 04:25:54	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	246	3¢	$8	0xb1b652…