Fixed-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-10 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 100% +$1

Other

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+5	$5	96¢	$5	$-0	06-07 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	9	$1.5K	1,018	526	+492	open	—	01-21 04:43
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$1.1K	552	552	+0	open	—	03-12 23:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$900	451	451	+0	open	—	05-23 05:52
will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	1	$574	575	0	+575	open	—	04-11 01:50
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	1	$565	566	0	+566	open	—	04-18 07:22
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	1	$556	557	0	+557	open	—	04-23 02:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	1	$552	553	0	+553	No	+$1	05-10 11:28
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$551	552	0	+552	open	—	03-26 03:14
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 19	1	$551	551	0	+551	open	—	03-19 02:20
will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	1	$550	551	0	+551	open	—	03-15 01:39
nvda above 165 on march 6 2026	1	$548	549	0	+549	open	—	03-06 01:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	1	$541	542	0	+542	open	—	04-26 01:30
ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	1	$520	521	0	+521	open	—	06-10 02:30
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	2	$514	518	0	+518	open	—	02-10 03:49
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$500	501	0	+501	open	—	06-07 01:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$492	492	0	+492	open	—	05-20 03:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	1	$465	465	0	+465	open	—	05-25 01:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$342	342	0	+342	open	—	05-03 00:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	1	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	05-27 03:55
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-03 00:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-27 03:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-27 03:55
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	1	$62	63	0	+63	open	—	01-21 04:44
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 01:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 03:01
will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-06 02:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 03:00
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-10 03:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	01-23 01:50
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-26 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:30:09	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0xb61662…
06-10 02:29:57	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf15159…
06-10 02:29:46	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dcc98…
06-07 01:38:24	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3b1966…
06-07 01:38:10	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17b45b…
06-07 01:37:51	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6afd0e…
06-07 01:37:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x85eec8…
05-27 03:55:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x8119c3…
05-27 03:55:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb32d45…
05-27 03:55:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xafbb23…
05-25 01:00:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	465	100¢	$465	0xe9a88f…
05-25 00:59:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1507ce…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	451	100¢	$450	0x3ac4db…
05-22 03:01:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f6970…
05-22 03:00:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe66cfa…
05-22 03:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4053ba…
05-22 03:00:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb25162…
05-21 01:33:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x84dcf5…
05-20 03:24:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	492	100¢	$492	0x735149…
05-20 03:24:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60f95a…
05-20 03:20:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0d682…
05-17 03:01:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0be3e4…
05-10 11:28:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	553	100¢	$552	0xcf3d2e…
05-03 00:46:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$342	0x319235…
05-03 00:46:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd96f85…
05-03 00:45:48	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x725ebd…
04-26 01:30:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0x20c2fb…
04-26 01:30:22	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41f5e4…
04-23 02:21:42	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	557	100¢	$556	0x9a490c…
04-18 07:22:46	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	566	100¢	$565	0xcbb41e…
04-18 07:22:38	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93aad2…
04-11 01:50:19	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	No	BUY	575	100¢	$574	0x7a226e…
03-26 03:14:51	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	552	100¢	$551	0x1072ef…
03-19 02:20:11	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 19	No	BUY	551	100¢	$551	0x076b92…
03-15 01:39:47	will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	No	BUY	551	100¢	$550	0xd6bc2a…
03-12 23:10:23	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	SELL	552	100¢	$550	0x8aa6b9…
03-07 01:37:33	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	552	100¢	$549	0x2d7fae…
03-06 01:55:47	nvda above 165 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	549	100¢	$548	0x3a3725…
03-06 01:55:21	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x291811…
03-06 01:55:01	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfbcce4…
02-10 03:49:21	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	417	99¢	$414	0x09c9cc…
02-10 03:46:43	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e6779…
02-10 03:46:29	will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7ed8f6…
02-10 03:45:57	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x290b5a…
02-10 03:45:43	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeefd4b…
01-23 01:54:28	ethereum up or down on january 23	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf09fcc…
01-23 01:54:22	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x09db5d…
01-23 01:50:42	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6a5015…
01-21 04:44:00	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xdc7635…
01-21 04:43:52	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	492	100¢	$490	0x40a56b…
01-21 04:43:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c87d9…
01-21 04:43:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x273ec3…
01-21 04:42:46	ethereum up or down on january 21	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5816a0…
01-21 04:42:38	bitcoin up or down on january 21	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x640507…
01-07 22:21:35	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	395	99¢	$390	0x8dd3b1…
01-07 21:35:59	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cbcfd…
01-07 21:13:33	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94c9fe…
01-07 20:46:09	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1565ff…
01-07 20:43:07	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5d0d91…
01-06 06:34:33	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x0c19c6…
01-06 06:32:59	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc12730…
01-06 02:47:19	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	526	99¢	$518	0xa6bf36…
01-06 02:46:57	will ethereum reach 3900 january 5 11	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e76ae…
01-06 02:46:21	Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf75b70…
01-06 02:46:17	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x67c2bb…
01-06 02:46:11	Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64ad34…