Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
12.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$57
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 10-23 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
55% 13% +$10
Politics
30% 0% -$17
Crypto
14% 29% -$5
Sports
2% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-14 01:25
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +33 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-14 01:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-23 02:09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-14 01:27
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-14 01:43
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +29 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-14 01:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +28 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-14 01:43