Thin-Paste — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

796 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$70

$10.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-12 23:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

71% 80% +$1

Crypto

19% 69% +$0

Politics

8% 70% $0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	4	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:23
solana above 70 on july 3 2026	4	$94	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 00:47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-29 16:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 27?	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-27 01:20
will solana dip to 50 june 22 28 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-28 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 29?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-29 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 20?	2	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 9?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 18:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-03 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on May 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-28 19:48
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-26 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 14?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-25 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on July 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-02 15:35
will ethereum dip to 1300 june 22 28 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-28 13:35
bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-05 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 2?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 03:31
bitcoin above 52k on july 2 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 14:53
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-28 22:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-15 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 29?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-29 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 16:44
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the May meeting?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-27 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 14?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-14 12:58
Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-14 19:41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-26 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on June 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-25 10:37
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-20 02:45
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	3	$54	30	23	+7	No	+$0	06-01 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 23:18:53	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfece93…
10-10 23:15:19	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc8b47…
10-01 04:53:44	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb73099…
10-01 04:52:54	Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62facb…
10-01 04:52:00	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x728ac3…
10-01 04:51:05	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d3d06…
10-01 04:50:15	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a27ba…
10-01 04:49:21	Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x808805…
10-01 04:48:27	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5b9c2e…
10-01 04:47:35	Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31d012…
10-01 04:46:44	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x722384…
10-01 04:45:48	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3be359…
10-01 04:44:57	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd4342f…
09-26 14:58:20	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc160a…
09-22 13:03:30	Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x424ac8…
09-20 22:37:13	Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5f158…
09-14 12:33:10	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x307d8b…
09-12 03:34:42	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbbb2ac…
09-05 06:55:06	Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4def05…
09-03 20:36:49	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7f42f3…
08-29 11:44:58	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb51f70…
08-29 11:43:52	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9a2c76…
08-28 10:11:10	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x199753…
08-27 14:18:01	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4005d…
08-25 01:00:07	Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa14d4e…
08-12 19:51:27	Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80a250…
08-11 20:25:48	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xd4d0d5…
08-07 17:04:31	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66b259…
07-31 22:03:57	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x632fdc…
07-25 17:03:12	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xac281d…
07-15 22:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9dd597…
07-15 17:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1f9d4b…
07-15 17:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x031ab7…
07-15 17:10:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x321b62…
07-15 05:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa8649d…
07-15 03:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4890d8…
07-14 21:29:08	Will "Little House on the Prairie season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbbec7c…
07-14 21:29:07	Will "Little House on the Prairie season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x122c5d…
07-14 16:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xbdb9f9…
07-14 15:29:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x31cc2c…
07-14 13:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0fb274…
07-14 12:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 14?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xde1925…
07-14 11:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3a7fb4…
07-14 11:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x10d175…
07-14 09:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd8067…
07-14 08:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x505d86…
07-14 08:31:07	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x75e5f5…
07-14 07:42:14	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1ed9f6…
07-14 06:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x71b9d1…
07-13 19:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 35°C or higher on July 14?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf223d…
07-13 18:47:47	Will "Little House on the Prairie season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x167117…
07-13 18:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 35°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4697bf…
07-13 17:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcea96a…
07-13 16:17:17	Will "Little House on the Prairie season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xefa416…
07-13 15:45:16	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x358434…
07-13 14:17:32	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb92898…
07-13 13:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb61402…
07-13 13:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x19c0fb…
07-13 13:34:50	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x42a602…
07-13 12:51:44	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d178c…
07-13 12:38:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x821280…
07-13 12:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8a3abc…
07-13 11:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfbdfd8…
07-13 10:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf8b009…
07-13 09:29:14	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa863f2…
07-13 09:20:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0fb561…
07-13 07:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa34bc8…
07-13 05:20:44	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1235ed…
07-13 03:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd7cfd0…
07-13 03:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0078f9…
07-13 02:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8176e4…
07-13 00:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb120fb…
07-12 22:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8fa3f8…
07-12 19:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x462f0f…
07-12 18:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x60235c…
07-12 18:16:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x413a1c…
07-12 16:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5ab661…
07-12 14:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x882b98…
07-12 14:41:20	ethereum above 1500 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaf44a0…
07-12 14:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6e9ed6…
07-12 13:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5b68f…
07-12 07:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x73c1be…
07-12 03:45:01	ethereum above 1500 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd69d8…
07-12 03:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0134ae…
07-12 03:20:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xebf8ca…
07-11 21:53:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16b45e…
07-11 20:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4eb949…
07-11 20:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x99e855…
07-11 20:24:46	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd74d6b…
07-11 20:23:08	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x31addb…
07-11 18:39:20	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x47d95c…
07-11 17:11:01	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa1427d…
07-11 16:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf2591c…
07-11 13:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x90ea26…
07-11 09:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x909bec…
07-11 06:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8360cb…
07-11 06:07:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb6acce…
07-11 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on July 12?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x927ad8…
07-11 06:05:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xac44ac…
07-11 05:23:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf3d46b…