Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$314

Unrealized P&L

+$134

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

$1.65K

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-21

last 11-01 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

45% 75% -$79

Politics

35% 70% +$11

Tech

14% — —

Crypto

5% 40% -$247

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	+805	$618	91¢	$732	+$114	10-22 12:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	-735	-$588	88¢	$-643	-$55	10-10 11:11
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+172	$100	84¢	$144	+$44	10-14 12:15
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	+141	$100	92¢	$130	+$30	10-13 22:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$2.1K	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	10-09 12:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	5	$2.1K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	10-31 02:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$1.8K	957	957	+0	Yes	+$29	10-13 17:45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.6K	735	1,471	-735	open	—	10-10 11:11
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	3	$1.2K	1,321	0	+1,321	Yes	+$121	10-10 22:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	3	$1.1K	798	798	+0	open	—	10-14 07:03
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	2	$1.0K	543	543	+0	Yes	+$7	10-11 01:01
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%?	4	$930	557	557	+0	No	+$60	10-10 11:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$804	506	506	+0	open	—	10-11 01:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	2	$703	479	479	+0	No	-$97	10-10 11:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	6	$618	805	0	+805	open	—	10-22 12:06
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	2	$610	321	321	+0	open	—	10-17 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$494	297	297	+0	Up	+$94	09-22 09:19
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	2	$436	257	257	+0	Yes	+$36	10-13 13:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$427	220	220	+0	open	—	10-19 15:03
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	6	$409	259	259	+0	open	—	10-18 18:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$402	243	243	+0	open	—	10-15 22:35
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	8	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	11-01 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$300	722	0	+722	Down	-$13	10-09 12:39
will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 49b	6	$225	130	130	+0	Yes	+$17	10-28 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$225	1,209	0	+1,209	Up	-$225	09-23 09:23
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$224	157	157	+0	Yes	+$16	10-15 15:51
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$215	127	127	+0	No	+$15	10-10 11:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$204	145	145	+0	open	—	10-15 17:10
Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?	1	$200	213	0	+213	Yes	+$13	10-13 10:33
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	2	$192	101	101	+0	Yes	+$6	10-13 15:46
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$176	422	0	+422	No	-$176	10-14 08:28
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	3	$147	105	105	+0	Yes	+$41	10-11 01:00
will google googl q3 cloud revenue be above 20261008120049000 28b	6	$141	94	94	+0	Yes	+$10	10-15 13:50
Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$138	200	0	+200	No	-$138	10-16 11:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:26:19	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	178	87¢	$155	0x6ca20f…
11-01 09:24:40	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xbf5a22…
11-01 04:06:42	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0xcbb041…
10-31 02:58:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xb7a737…
10-31 02:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	1,030	88¢	$906	0xfad0ca…
10-31 02:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	168	88¢	$148	0x08ff01…
10-30 12:20:49	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0xe2fd35…
10-29 15:37:34	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xf36d40…
10-29 15:31:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xa96b2b…
10-29 15:30:17	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf30ef0…
10-28 20:02:05	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	Yes	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xb111bd…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xba410d…
10-28 20:01:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	Yes	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x81e424…
10-27 19:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	27¢	$28	0xc67b2d…
10-23 13:57:38	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xb39146…
10-22 12:06:12	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	82¢	$168	0xcd6546…
10-21 14:26:03	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	69	49¢	$34	0x9ca354…
10-21 07:21:12	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x599f45…
10-20 21:35:36	Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xd6340c…
10-20 12:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	9¢	$6	0xa65d69…
10-20 12:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0xadde1f…
10-20 12:15:47	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6fdbcf…
10-20 12:15:47	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5ee21c…
10-20 12:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	15¢	$20	0x7ecd51…
10-19 21:02:07	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x7721b9…
10-19 20:13:36	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x00adc2…
10-19 17:10:38	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x32d39d…
10-19 15:14:30	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	75¢	$72	0xa59365…
10-19 15:14:00	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xbf954e…
10-19 15:03:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$215	0x3afadf…
10-19 15:02:20	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above $54B?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x256fbd…
10-19 09:49:23	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa282bb…
10-18 18:12:06	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0x858cff…
10-18 02:59:18	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x2ad302…
10-18 02:59:17	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xec347b…
10-18 02:59:17	Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0xb6ed8c…
10-17 23:04:32	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	321	97¢	$310	0xebeecd…
10-17 01:50:57	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0xcf0b5e…
10-16 20:42:59	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	20¢	$15	0x56a0d7…
10-16 19:15:25	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xb6f7a3…
10-16 19:15:02	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0xad599f…
10-16 19:15:01	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x86a3ea…
10-16 19:14:59	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5c39d8…
10-16 19:14:59	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	56	67¢	$37	0x09b62a…
10-16 18:53:44	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x15cc90…
10-16 13:38:34	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe58df6…
10-16 13:38:21	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xdbdbf2…
10-16 13:38:12	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x03b67d…
10-16 13:38:04	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0bff95…
10-16 12:13:06	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xad6e66…
10-16 12:13:03	Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x9946b3…
10-16 11:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x09f566…
10-16 11:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	396	25¢	$100	0xf80364…
10-16 11:29:52	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	54	67¢	$36	0x9c5844…
10-16 11:27:16	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	197	69¢	$136	0x6dfc0b…
10-16 08:54:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4462c6…
10-16 08:52:30	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe8be97…
10-16 08:51:00	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8b84b0…
10-16 08:50:46	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x02f296…
10-16 08:50:37	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x984c60…
10-16 08:50:28	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd3abca…
10-16 08:50:19	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x38d1b5…
10-16 08:24:18	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xa96830…
10-16 07:42:46	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xc0274c…
10-16 07:41:00	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe478e3…
10-16 07:40:37	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x50af11…
10-16 07:40:30	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x00cec5…
10-16 07:40:21	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xaa7c46…
10-16 00:24:01	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x8e6e53…
10-15 23:57:28	Will Verizon (VZ) Q3 total operating revenue be above $33B?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x386133…
10-15 22:37:12	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.1B?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x23d2bf…
10-15 22:36:49	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.1B?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x4ba47b…
10-15 22:35:00	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	238	83¢	$198	0xd16842…
10-15 19:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0xae34c9…
10-15 18:33:19	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x54a4a4…
10-15 17:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xae53b2…
10-15 17:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	15¢	$20	0x35a2c6…
10-15 17:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0x983acd…
10-15 17:10:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	145	72¢	$104	0x8630e9…
10-15 15:51:46	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	78¢	$68	0xee4739…
10-15 13:50:55	will google googl q3 cloud revenue be above 20261008120049000 28b	Yes	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x3383f1…
10-15 13:18:14	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xd6d181…
10-15 13:05:59	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	75¢	$48	0x84fb78…
10-14 13:39:56	will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 49b	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xe05ea6…
10-14 13:36:12	will apple aapl q4 ipad revenue be above 20261008120121000 6pt5b	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x34cbd7…
10-14 13:35:12	will apple aapl q4 mac revenue be above 20261008120118000 9pt5b	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x394a37…
10-14 13:34:45	will google googl q3 capital expenditures be above 20261008120048000 49b	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x46f7be…
10-14 13:31:20	will apple aapl q4 services revenue be above 20261008120119000 31b	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x830841…
10-14 13:30:30	will apple aapl q4 iphone revenue be above 20261008120122000 54b	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3244e0…
10-14 13:30:00	will apple aapl q4 ipad revenue be above 20261008120121000 6b	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x14f22d…
10-14 13:29:14	will apple aapl q4 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 20261008120120000 8pt75b	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9ba9b1…
10-14 13:29:03	will google googl q3 youtube ads revenue be above 20261008120051000 11pt2b	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x64e013…
10-14 13:28:47	will apple aapl q4 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 20261008120120000 8pt75b	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1d212e…
10-14 13:28:11	will apple aapl q4 services revenue be above 20261008120119000 31pt5b	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x059742…
10-14 13:27:29	will apple aapl q4 greater china revenue be above 20261008120117000 17b	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0b3d77…
10-14 13:26:53	will apple aapl q4 iphone revenue be above 20261008120122000 57b	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x23fa02…
10-14 12:18:32	Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x57cc86…
10-14 12:15:14	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x2d1191…
10-14 11:28:43	will google googl q3 cloud revenue be above 20261008120049000 28b	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x0af20f…
10-14 11:28:25	will google googl q3 cloud revenue be above 20261008120049000 28b	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x31401b…