Bad-Table — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-17 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

83% — —

Other

8% — —

Crypto

8% 75% +$19

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	3	$2.5K	2,913	0	+2,913	open	—	01-29 13:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$707	364	364	+0	open	—	01-24 03:08
will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	2	$229	132	132	+0	open	—	01-26 03:28
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	4	$208	243	137	+105	open	—	02-19 19:34
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$131	234	0	+234	open	—	01-14 20:56
will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	1	$128	196	0	+196	open	—	01-26 03:32
israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	2	$126	131	0	+131	open	—	01-12 17:34
will israel strike gaza on january 31 2026	1	$125	174	0	+174	open	—	01-28 01:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	01-26 15:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	01-25 15:33
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	01-25 16:19
gervonta davis arrested by january 25 2026	1	$91	99	0	+99	open	—	01-25 16:33
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$70	104	0	+104	open	—	01-25 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$62	51	51	+0	open	—	05-16 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$56	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$42	44	44	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$34	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	05-17 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 20:57
will israel strike iraq by january 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-29 12:21
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-10 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	04-26 11:21
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	01-10 03:25
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	01-10 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 19:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5641d7…
05-16 22:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	51	73¢	$37	0x39612e…
05-16 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x033ac5…
05-15 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x90d737…
05-15 20:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x36c83c…
05-12 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	65¢	$31	0xc73231…
05-12 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xdca4cd…
05-12 16:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2f7f6a…
05-08 18:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcff8fe…
05-08 16:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x8d9d92…
05-08 16:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x0d1bce…
05-07 19:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x2d2b48…
05-07 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x253087…
05-07 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x70af9b…
05-06 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0xe01f7b…
05-06 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd9e03a…
05-05 19:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x74d34f…
05-05 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe6afdf…
05-04 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0xe10d42…
05-04 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb9ea60…
05-01 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x985778…
05-01 13:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3283b2…
05-01 13:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x10828e…
05-01 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x89ff10…
05-01 08:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x2e0a06…
04-30 20:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xcf9cbe…
04-30 20:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd92583…
04-30 20:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9af1ff…
04-30 20:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x80ba41…
04-30 20:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x306e71…
04-27 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeed57b…
04-27 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x637b34…
04-27 17:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x02b8d5…
04-26 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x259ec3…
04-26 13:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe12202…
04-26 11:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2418b7…
03-15 15:19:17	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe7baf9…
02-19 19:34:30	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc3ba52…
02-19 19:33:52	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfa8e1f…
02-19 19:32:56	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	SELL	137	3¢	$4	0xc0f39d…
02-19 19:13:42	Prince Andrew released by February 19?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa51d0e…
01-29 13:47:28	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	BUY	2,664	90¢	$2,396	0x2ca455…
01-29 12:21:54	will israel strike iraq by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb5818…
01-28 01:19:01	will israel strike gaza on january 31 2026	No	BUY	174	72¢	$125	0x7f03cc…
01-26 15:05:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x7f07e5…
01-26 03:32:40	will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	No	BUY	196	65¢	$128	0xe029fc…
01-26 03:28:52	will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	No	SELL	132	97¢	$129	0xccad6c…
01-25 16:33:54	gervonta davis arrested by january 25 2026	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x83028f…
01-25 16:19:48	bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc23a5a…
01-25 15:33:02	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xb10b92…
01-25 15:22:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa387a5…
01-25 15:13:00	will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x298eec…
01-25 02:17:54	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours 578 355	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb09bd0…
01-25 01:52:54	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x77bbc0…
01-25 01:52:48	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa87e36…
01-24 12:59:24	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x3538c6…
01-24 12:54:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x6b68d3…
01-24 03:08:02	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	SELL	364	100¢	$362	0x6c451b…
01-23 20:35:58	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4e0d07…
01-23 20:25:14	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	256	96¢	$245	0xb8d027…
01-21 01:05:38	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xfba8ca…
01-21 00:58:38	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	BUY	48	49¢	$23	0x0cf443…
01-20 00:11:24	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1ad0fe…
01-14 20:56:18	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	No	BUY	234	56¢	$131	0xbe7d04…
01-12 17:34:15	israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	No	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x3f6e13…
01-11 14:57:04	israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd80340…
01-10 03:25:28	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x07f014…
01-10 03:23:12	will israel strike iraq by january 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1900df…
01-10 03:15:30	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb64574…
01-10 02:56:58	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa76a51…
01-10 02:55:28	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc8db5b…
01-10 02:01:56	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x600fe5…