Shocking-Anything — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$192

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-01 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

34% 0% -$35

Crypto

30% 21% -$44

Tech

25% 100% +$13

Sports

10% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+56	$30	86¢	$48	+$18	11-01 17:32
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+43	$5	9¢	$4	-$1	10-20 18:00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	+75	$15	4¢	$3	-$12	09-17 18:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	11-01 17:32
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	1	$20	200	0	+200	No	-$20	05-19 15:38
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	1	$19	32	0	+32	Yes	+$13	05-16 15:00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	2	$15	75	0	+75	open	—	09-17 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC	2	$10	506	0	+506	Down	-$10	04-10 15:05
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	10-20 18:17
Will Finland win the 2027 IIHF World Championship?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	10-20 18:18
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	112	0	+112	No	-$10	05-21 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$7	8	5	+3	Down	+$1	05-22 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:45 UTC	2	$6	89	0	+89	Up	-$6	04-10 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:40 UTC	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	-$6	04-10 16:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	10-09 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:40 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	04-10 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:15 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	04-10 15:20
AI bubble burst in 2026?	1	$5	43	0	+43	open	—	10-20 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	10-09 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-16 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 04:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:35 UTC	3	$3	38	0	+38	Down	-$3	04-10 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	-$2	05-22 04:00
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	05-17 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:25 UTC	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	04-10 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:50 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	04-10 14:53
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	05-17 04:46
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-17 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	05-16 15:52
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	05-17 04:45
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	05-17 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:32:15	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x3e45d1…
10-20 18:18:00	Will Finland win the 2027 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0351e3…
10-20 18:17:18	Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xa160f2…
10-20 18:00:59	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xd4411f…
10-09 17:55:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x33ccb7…
10-09 17:55:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x2c3a59…
09-17 18:28:52	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x948672…
08-30 17:13:12	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0cad93…
05-22 04:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xce4171…
05-22 04:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd86ff5…
05-22 04:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc13cc2…
05-22 03:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0d7f85…
05-22 03:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x3c29d9…
05-22 03:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8c486c…
05-21 18:30:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0xeabc5e…
05-19 15:38:53	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xc7023f…
05-17 04:46:19	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb05b24…
05-17 04:46:01	Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf6d78b…
05-17 04:45:28	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdc8bee…
05-17 04:45:17	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x27f3c0…
05-17 04:45:09	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa1f435…
05-16 15:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9baf7a…
05-16 15:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x66cd0d…
05-16 15:00:52	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0xc550b5…
04-10 16:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8b37ee…
04-10 16:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34f3ba…
04-10 16:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xba4710…
04-10 16:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xefb239…
04-10 16:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1c5df0…
04-10 16:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1fd851…
04-10 16:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x20fdd7…
04-10 15:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x595b24…
04-10 15:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7308ab…
04-10 15:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x70e26c…
04-10 15:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21bb51…
04-10 15:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf0c846…
04-10 15:01:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x32f138…
04-10 14:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x12dba9…
04-10 14:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x510f26…