Cruel-Easel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$635

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$156.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$811

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-17 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Sports

47% 12% -$273

Politics

39% 73% -$17

Other

13% 53% +$922

Crypto

2% 78% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$6.9K	3,454	3,454	+0	No	-$3	05-11 02:36
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$4.1K	2,054	2,054	+0	open	—	06-28 10:20
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$3.9K	1,972	1,972	+0	open	—	07-09 12:56
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.8K	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	07-02 08:30
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.6K	1,808	1,808	+0	No	-$3	03-01 08:50
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$3.6K	1,782	1,782	+0	open	—	06-20 07:32
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	5	$3.5K	1,738	1,738	+0	No	-$3	02-01 06:42
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.4K	1,729	1,729	+0	No	-$2	05-08 05:38
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$3.4K	1,737	1,737	+0	open	—	05-07 08:18
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	2	$3.4K	1,714	1,714	+0	No	-$2	05-08 08:08
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.4K	1,707	1,707	+0	No	-$2	05-09 03:17
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	2	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$2	05-07 09:39
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$3.4K	1,703	1,703	+0	open	—	05-07 11:47
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.4K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	-$2	04-08 04:56
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$3.4K	1,684	1,684	+0	No	-$2	05-09 04:03
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$3.4K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	06-03 03:30
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,669	1,669	+0	open	—	05-06 06:15
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.3K	1,662	1,662	+0	open	—	05-05 10:26
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.3K	1,637	1,637	+0	No	-$2	06-11 07:45
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.2K	1,626	1,626	+0	No	-$2	04-30 10:10
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.2K	1,626	1,626	+0	open	—	05-31 05:37
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.2K	1,617	1,617	+0	No	-$2	05-26 10:46
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.2K	1,597	1,597	+0	No	-$2	05-02 08:03
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.2K	1,594	1,594	+0	open	—	06-06 07:15
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	No	-$2	06-03 08:27
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	No	-$2	06-03 06:27
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	No	-$2	06-02 12:15
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	06-12 15:20
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.0K	1,492	1,492	+0	No	-$1	06-11 09:34
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.9K	1,437	1,437	+0	open	—	05-24 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 14:19:37	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	297	99¢	$295	0xec4ea8…
07-17 12:14:04	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$295	0xafa11a…
07-14 19:11:41	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	270	99¢	$269	0x189526…
07-14 15:01:37	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x6c33ea…
07-10 05:15:25	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	225	99¢	$223	0x7efe85…
07-10 03:33:25	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xe05cda…
07-09 12:56:26	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	278	99¢	$276	0x28a308…
07-09 07:12:05	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	278	99¢	$277	0xc2dc76…
07-08 08:25:40	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	287	99¢	$285	0x76133c…
07-08 07:22:29	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	287	99¢	$285	0xb6f2b8…
07-07 07:26:55	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	299	99¢	$297	0x4f3857…
07-07 05:36:04	Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	299	99¢	$297	0x0ed5d6…
07-06 06:53:14	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	311	99¢	$309	0xddd77c…
07-06 03:22:44	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	311	99¢	$309	0x37c2cf…
07-03 08:03:46	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	313	100¢	$312	0x45fd3a…
07-03 04:56:53	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0x483c51…
07-02 08:30:44	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	364	99¢	$361	0x246e28…
07-02 05:15:37	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	364	99¢	$362	0x86c3a6…
06-28 10:20:58	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	348	100¢	$347	0x1b37cd…
06-28 09:16:23	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0xe879a5…
06-28 06:53:04	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0xb93a0b…
06-28 05:14:52	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$216	0x605c0f…
06-27 09:15:34	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	231	99¢	$230	0xe6d060…
06-27 06:44:52	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$230	0x4a7a33…
06-21 09:37:31	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	283	99¢	$281	0x63d033…
06-21 08:17:08	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	283	99¢	$282	0xedfe37…
06-20 12:09:56	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	340	99¢	$337	0xad1ac9…
06-20 09:56:02	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$338	0x642cf8…
06-20 07:32:37	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x1ec698…
06-20 06:08:19	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0xb74383…
06-18 09:51:01	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	270	99¢	$268	0x0cea1c…
06-18 07:39:49	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0xb655a4…
06-18 06:37:25	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$311	0xab9dd4…
06-18 05:10:11	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$311	0xfa5926…
06-17 01:36:37	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	894	100¢	$892	0x1e19da…
06-14 13:44:13	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,216	100¢	$1,213	0xd5a23d…
06-14 07:34:04	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,216	100¢	$1,214	0x5a1030…
06-13 06:32:12	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,546	99¢	$1,535	0x20284d…
06-13 03:51:52	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,546	99¢	$1,536	0x4e6c97…
06-12 15:20:01	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,577	99¢	$1,566	0x732b82…
06-12 08:29:21	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,577	99¢	$1,568	0x77c527…
06-12 08:26:27	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,540	100¢	$1,536	0x167050…
06-12 02:57:01	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,540	100¢	$1,537	0x8dffd2…
06-11 09:34:18	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,492	100¢	$1,487	0x1bc303…
06-11 07:47:06	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,492	100¢	$1,489	0xe3241f…
06-11 07:45:48	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,637	100¢	$1,632	0x59036e…
06-11 05:34:33	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,637	100¢	$1,633	0x1c003d…
06-07 08:41:16	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,315	99¢	$1,305	0x757f48…
06-07 06:09:46	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,315	99¢	$1,306	0x83ed13…
06-06 07:15:58	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,594	99¢	$1,582	0x842a5b…
06-06 05:34:33	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,594	99¢	$1,583	0x6bef2f…
06-03 08:27:43	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,586	100¢	$1,582	0xa88802…
06-03 06:28:36	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,586	100¢	$1,583	0xcb844f…
06-03 06:27:16	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,586	99¢	$1,577	0xe6ac5b…
06-03 03:33:03	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,586	100¢	$1,578	0xbf023a…
06-03 03:30:50	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,689	99¢	$1,677	0xd94c39…
06-03 01:18:06	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,689	99¢	$1,678	0x3cae5f…
06-02 12:15:51	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,577	100¢	$1,572	0x245727…
06-02 08:54:20	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,577	100¢	$1,574	0x7a4e10…
05-31 05:37:08	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,626	99¢	$1,614	0x10b4dd…
05-31 03:22:30	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,626	99¢	$1,616	0x26f8cd…
05-27 10:08:43	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,207	99¢	$1,197	0x154161…
05-27 08:32:51	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,207	99¢	$1,198	0x18a6ac…
05-27 08:29:02	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,142	99¢	$1,134	0xe653b7…
05-27 07:07:08	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,142	99¢	$1,135	0xc6da5d…
05-27 05:18:40	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,133	99¢	$1,126	0xa09269…
05-27 03:45:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x0c72f1…
05-27 03:12:19	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,128	0xf9b031…
05-26 10:46:17	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,617	99¢	$1,606	0x419de9…
05-26 08:38:29	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,617	99¢	$1,607	0x861576…
05-24 10:19:06	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,091	99¢	$1,083	0xf5aaed…
05-24 08:22:26	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,091	99¢	$1,084	0x706f10…
05-24 07:02:12	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	1,317	100¢	$1,313	0x3a659b…
05-24 06:10:29	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	1,317	100¢	$1,314	0xf5030a…
05-24 04:11:27	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,437	99¢	$1,426	0x363188…
05-24 03:08:08	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,437	99¢	$1,427	0x47b925…
05-23 10:06:57	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,183	99¢	$1,173	0x250fde…
05-23 07:58:25	Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,183	99¢	$1,174	0xd24c2d…
05-19 18:39:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$999	0xa84c8a…
05-19 17:00:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x322945…
05-11 02:36:51	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,669	100¢	$1,664	0x952b10…
05-11 01:32:45	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,669	100¢	$1,665	0xc3988d…
05-09 07:19:01	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,786	100¢	$1,780	0x013ed0…
05-09 05:41:58	Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,786	100¢	$1,782	0xe639b4…
05-09 04:03:53	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1,684	100¢	$1,678	0x2daece…
05-09 03:18:27	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,684	100¢	$1,680	0x38bb0d…
05-09 03:17:27	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,707	100¢	$1,699	0x7b6d2c…
05-09 01:53:10	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,707	100¢	$1,701	0x74d8b3…
05-08 09:54:37	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,706	100¢	$1,699	0xcfbd38…
05-08 08:25:53	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,706	100¢	$1,700	0x62e4d6…
05-08 08:08:27	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,714	99¢	$1,704	0x1e5b56…
05-08 06:32:13	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,714	100¢	$1,705	0x537828…
05-08 05:38:39	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,729	100¢	$1,724	0x651618…
05-08 03:52:29	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,729	100¢	$1,725	0x0bc7c0…
05-07 11:47:05	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,703	99¢	$1,688	0xc587b2…
05-07 09:51:13	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,703	99¢	$1,689	0xb2ffb1…
05-07 09:39:54	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,700	100¢	$1,692	0x6f739a…
05-07 08:22:31	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,700	100¢	$1,693	0xe8e783…
05-07 08:18:43	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,737	99¢	$1,722	0xa06b0e…
05-07 06:45:57	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,737	99¢	$1,723	0xd183ed…