Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,809

lifetime

Volume

$170.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$938

7 positions

First seen

2026-07-13

last 10-20 11:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

100% 79% -$2,984

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 20% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+353	$339	96¢	$340	+$1	10-17 10:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+200	$186	98¢	$196	+$10	10-19 10:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$148	84¢	$168	+$20	10-20 11:34
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+100	$97	98¢	$98	+$1	10-17 13:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+100	$90	90¢	$90	$0	10-18 07:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	+50	$46	94¢	$47	+$0	10-17 23:27
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+0	-$15	82¢	$0	+$15	10-11 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 23?	32	$6.9K	4,397	4,397	+0	No	+$139	07-23 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 18?	20	$6.4K	3,236	3,236	+0	No	+$29	07-18 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	69	$6.2K	3,118	3,118	+0	No	+$44	07-20 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	15	$6.1K	3,184	3,184	+0	No	+$255	07-21 09:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?	6	$4.5K	2,246	2,246	+0	No	+$33	07-21 14:27
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	11	$3.5K	2,324	2,324	+0	open	—	10-11 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?	76	$3.4K	1,705	1,705	+0	No	+$4	07-19 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?	17	$3.4K	1,910	1,910	+0	No	+$452	07-15 06:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?	13	$3.3K	2,423	2,423	+0	No	-$12	07-24 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?	24	$3.3K	2,467	1,104	+1,363	Yes	-$1,192	07-22 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 2?	22	$3.2K	1,667	1,667	+0	No	+$96	08-02 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 18?	11	$3.2K	1,640	1,640	-0	No	+$47	07-17 19:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?	26	$3.0K	1,521	1,521	+0	No	+$84	07-21 23:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?	23	$2.9K	1,544	1,544	+0	No	+$73	07-19 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	8	$2.9K	1,519	1,519	+0	No	+$93	07-15 04:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on August 13?	92	$2.8K	1,391	1,391	+0	No	+$21	08-13 06:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?	5	$2.4K	1,613	871	+743	No	+$32	07-24 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 21?	19	$2.4K	1,215	1,210	+5	No	+$21	07-21 06:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	32	$2.4K	1,246	1,245	+0	No	+$130	07-13 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	7	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	No	+$37	08-16 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 26?	4	$2.1K	1,125	1,125	+0	No	+$148	07-26 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	27	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	+$14	09-03 06:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	22	$2.0K	1,128	1,128	+0	No	+$205	07-13 14:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	13	$2.0K	1,033	1,033	+0	No	+$48	07-14 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 1?	6	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	-0	No	+$26	09-01 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 17?	2	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	No	+$50	08-17 07:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on August 12?	43	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$19	08-12 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?	7	$1.9K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$97	08-03 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	10	$1.9K	1,991	0	+1,991	Yes	-$1,918	07-15 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20?	4	$1.9K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	+$92	07-20 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 11:34:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x9964ea…
10-19 14:35:18	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x64e582…
10-19 10:03:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x3da5fd…
10-18 07:54:47	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x826d28…
10-17 23:27:54	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x76465c…
10-17 13:43:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x938ac3…
10-17 10:28:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06e58a…
10-16 19:37:19	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x4e7f59…
10-16 06:22:34	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6720b5…
10-15 19:07:46	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8e4167…
10-15 19:06:13	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x87268c…
10-13 03:11:03	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	343	96¢	$329	0xc90b2c…
10-11 15:15:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	201	75¢	$151	0xad4997…
10-11 13:21:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xcb8696…
10-11 09:25:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0xb1e68f…
10-11 06:34:23	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x98c6d3…
10-11 05:55:17	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0x0a41d4…
10-11 03:15:44	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xf054b2…
10-11 00:42:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	916	75¢	$687	0xc20aba…
10-11 00:27:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1,045	75¢	$784	0xd877ef…
09-11 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x307b2b…
09-11 07:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x24a87e…
09-11 07:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e592d…
09-11 07:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfcc607…
09-11 03:39:34	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x743eb7…
09-09 16:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 11?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x357c98…
09-09 13:24:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x10d021…
09-09 11:39:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,314	75¢	$985	0x2151ea…
09-09 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 11?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xfaaa99…
09-09 08:37:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$736	0xf0c118…
09-09 07:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 11?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x745723…
09-03 10:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x73f13f…
09-03 10:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb5575…
09-03 10:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd70661…
09-03 10:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e5651…
09-03 10:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd287c5…
09-03 10:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe4d36c…
09-03 09:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf05815…
09-03 09:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x669e52…
09-03 09:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x78677b…
09-03 09:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b0f33…
09-03 09:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x251fba…
09-03 09:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9e1b94…
09-03 09:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x9e2bd3…
09-03 08:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x855471…
09-03 08:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6a2eb2…
09-03 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8729d2…
09-03 08:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x09700c…
09-03 08:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1744e6…
09-03 08:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbf14d0…
09-03 08:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa8942…
09-03 08:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9e2e4b…
09-03 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeab1c2…
09-03 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbc999a…
09-03 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x5a9ab7…
09-03 07:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x34d2cd…
09-03 07:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff7f85…
09-03 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe712d0…
09-03 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x98d450…
09-03 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x3a1784…
09-03 07:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0xd909f7…
09-03 07:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x4bcf56…
09-03 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc42495…
09-03 07:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xa9a581…
09-03 07:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x963fb3…
09-03 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5b9504…
09-03 06:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7673f2…
09-03 06:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x791203…
09-03 06:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x434c77…
09-03 06:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5dca75…
09-03 06:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xe23b6a…
09-03 06:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xededae…
09-03 06:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf66ef5…
09-03 06:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe90531…
09-03 05:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x875094…
09-03 05:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1b3f6a…
09-03 05:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5e15ab…
09-03 05:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87b9b3…
09-03 04:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa4a291…
09-03 04:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6294dd…
09-03 04:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3739fc…
09-03 04:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x419be7…
09-03 04:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01ff2c…
09-03 04:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x1840d0…
09-03 04:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0ad8ef…
09-03 04:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9f1178…
09-03 04:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	SELL	830	100¢	$829	0x997feb…
09-03 03:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05e3c0…
09-03 02:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xd0b83d…
09-03 02:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x256724…
09-03 02:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0x42ad79…
09-03 02:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	422	99¢	$417	0xf268d1…
09-03 02:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8726b1…
09-03 01:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x885e3c…
09-03 01:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	255	99¢	$252	0xcca3cc…
09-03 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 2?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0x703e87…
09-03 01:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 2?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0xc78918…
09-03 01:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 2?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x01fc4f…
09-03 01:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xf0f615…
09-03 01:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96c7ac…