Cautious-Station 0x4a4281…d9fab9 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$252
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
66
Trades
23,973
lifetime
Volume
$32.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$534
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-06 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$70
Sports
25% 75% +$86
Other
10% 47% -$139
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $128 68¢ $135 +$7 11-06 00:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $53 64¢ $127 +$74 10-28 16:44
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $90 18¢ $92 +$2 11-04 17:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $147 36¢ $73 -$74 10-29 08:01
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $64 32¢ $65 +$1 11-04 22:09
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14,999 -$109 0¢ $-22 +$86 05-02 20:17
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,309 -$60 0¢ $-11 +$49 05-04 19:17
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5,394 -$49 0¢ $-5 +$43 05-06 20:02
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 05-06 10:42
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:03
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 14¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:01
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:02
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:03
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 9¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:02
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -65 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 20:04
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 -$10 8¢ $-0 +$10 10-30 15:13
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 -$53 1¢ $-0 +$53 09-30 16:51
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:01
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 09-27 08:47
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:01
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 20:02
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:02
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:03
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-06 06:18
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 10-06 06:18
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 20:03
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 05-06 20:01
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 20:02
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 09-18 08:16
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 20:01