Rough-Supervisor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

677

Trades

711

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% -$4

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-31 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 09:43
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-31 04:48
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-31 04:48
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnet	2	$20	10	10	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$0	05-31 08:08
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:37
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:05
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	QoR	+$0	06-03 00:47
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc1c05…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd53241…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x60c64d…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc67e14…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd638c7…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc81bad…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bebad…
10-21 17:06:29	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0140e…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2ea72…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x528ebc…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x099892…
10-15 20:32:35	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb79888…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cebea…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7076a2…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89ec82…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd60050…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x700903…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xebb7b5…
10-12 09:09:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x604610…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19b5da…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91795d…
10-10 11:15:57	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1f40…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdcff0…
10-07 14:42:29	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x839600…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc3310…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f5062…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdcccf…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x050480…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x875b63…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8703c9…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e1ef9…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x760c61…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3de40f…
10-02 14:15:33	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1498af…
10-02 14:12:39	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37de8e…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x440bdd…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x42dd24…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe48d74…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383dd8…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54238c…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5dbbdc…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dee2a…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde333c…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3a1cc…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x095eaa…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd10dc8…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x87091a…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ccf6f…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ce2ba…
09-27 20:12:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55df8e…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e4c8c…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea12b5…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43f9c5…
09-27 00:21:29	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbc37e…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bd62e…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c0886…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4777d9…
09-26 16:12:14	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6ac18…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fa649…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb38f3c…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef3ea…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6752a…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cee59…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd64227…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d0471…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb0863d…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d46c2…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0b0c3…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd4289…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfc990…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb2afb…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7f36…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe83b50…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86aed8…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42bbfc…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4db342…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e0d4b…
09-17 17:27:42	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0248c3…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd30263…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ea043…
09-15 09:42:04	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b6e6…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28a477…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x104aff…
09-13 02:51:25	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x740aac…
09-12 18:22:04	Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d92bd…
09-12 09:27:54	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa1fd7…
09-11 21:06:31	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cb0c8…
09-11 13:25:21	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdac4cb…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba531d…
09-10 22:43:43	Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30ca48…
09-10 18:48:21	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x407126…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a8a7c…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032996…
09-10 12:31:51	Montreux: Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova	Fiona Ferro	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34072f…
09-10 01:18:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c5ba6…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f87cc…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4695d9…
09-09 07:41:42	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f0113…
09-09 04:08:00	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfc9e8…
09-09 00:21:40	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b3a36…