Flat-Mechanism-Quartet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

12 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$28 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 0% $-2

Other

39% 0% $-2

Politics

21% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	+13	$4	78¢	$10	+$6	05-10 17:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-25	$-5	20¢	$-5	$-0	05-11 15:24
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	+11	$4	38¢	$4	+$0	05-10 10:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?	Yes	+8	$1	15¢	$1	$-0	05-16 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xca4052…
05-16 13:00:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf67624…
05-16 00:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x928630…
05-15 23:55:41	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x644848…
05-13 14:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9e38f5…
05-12 22:01:47	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x977158…
05-12 10:32:26	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xbdccba…
05-11 15:24:10	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x6a5530…
05-10 17:40:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x92b49d…
05-10 17:35:52	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xce9085…
05-10 13:21:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xe0082b…
05-10 10:43:12	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x0b4657…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$2.97K	34	05-16 00:29
Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524	3	$5.39K	55	05-16 14:57
Mammoth-Tape 0x92d0…269e	3	$2.34K	7	05-14 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$5	0	25	-25	open	—	05-11 15:24
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	05-10 17:35
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-10 10:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	05-10 17:40
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	$-2	05-10 13:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	$-2	05-13 14:13
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 14?	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	05-12 22:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 14:11
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$1	43	0	+43	No	$-1	05-12 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 00:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 13:00
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 23:55