Key-Promenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

193

Trades

438

lifetime

Volume

$765

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-09 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

79% 57% -$16

Politics

9% 94% +$3

Sports

8% 64% +$5

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$0	05-24 17:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	No		+1	$1	38¢	$1	-$1	05-24 17:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner	9	$41	35	35	+0	paiN Gaming	+$2	05-02 17:00
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner	7	$32	24	24	+0	Fnatic	+$2	05-02 15:15
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	7	$26	29	15	+13	Hanwha Life Esports	+$6	04-29 11:08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	5	$16	18	13	+4	Yes	-$1	06-08 17:56
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	6	$16	28	0	+28	Natus Vincere	+$11	04-29 15:56
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?	4	$15	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 19:17
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner	4	$15	14	14	+0	Fnatic	+$1	05-02 16:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 10:55
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	3	$14	12	12	+0	paiN Gaming	+$1	05-02 16:27
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner	5	$14	10	10	+0	Shifters	+$0	05-03 15:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$12	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 16:46
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner	4	$12	9	9	+0	Shifters	+$1	05-03 16:30
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	4	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-07 12:23
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	4	$11	8	8	+0	FlyQuest	+$1	04-28 18:27
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	4	$11	7	7	+0	T1	+$1	04-29 09:08
Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Leolia Jeanjean	4	$10	8	8	+0	Sofia Costoulas	+$0	04-29 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 15:00
lol sen fly 2026 04 18	3	$9	130	0	+130	Sentinels	-$9	04-18 23:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$9	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 07:32
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 8?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-08 07:47
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$8	6	6	+0	JD Gaming	+$0	04-29 09:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 07:16
Ducks vs. Oilers	3	$8	13	0	+13	Oilers	+$5	04-28 18:00
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner	3	$7	15	0	+15	FURIA Esports	-$7	05-02 19:04
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	3	$7	5	5	+0	Karmine Corp	+$1	05-09 18:55
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	2	$7	6	6	+0	FURIA Esports	+$1	05-02 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	5	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-05 17:27
lol blg ig1 2026 04 20	2	$6	5	5	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$0	04-20 12:33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$6	4	4	+0	G2 Esports	+$2	05-08 15:37
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	2	$6	5	5	+0	BIG	+$1	05-05 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:27:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x831477…
06-09 13:27:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf4ef1a…
06-09 13:27:15	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9fc207…
06-09 12:38:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x024342…
06-09 12:38:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xab13d3…
06-09 09:58:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xab29f8…
06-09 09:57:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3ec3ff…
06-08 17:56:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x7680ea…
06-08 17:40:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xd16ca4…
06-08 16:00:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x26196b…
06-08 15:59:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6a343c…
06-08 13:39:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaa47a8…
06-08 13:28:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xb8df08…
06-08 11:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x7eb9f5…
06-08 09:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfc5580…
06-08 09:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x874c8c…
06-08 09:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x359b9a…
06-08 09:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x61d82c…
06-08 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7da885…
06-08 07:47:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 8?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x4dd123…
06-08 07:38:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x3ad571…
06-07 23:26:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc1fd1c…
06-07 23:24:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 8?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x64ac16…
06-07 21:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 7?	No	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbba54f…
06-07 15:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 7?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3a4f22…
06-07 07:19:18	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93810d…
06-06 16:39:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xc84d3f…
06-06 14:10:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xda8024…
06-06 14:01:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6bfe1e…
06-06 13:38:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x6c1ff4…
06-06 09:36:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe93afb…
06-06 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3230a3…
06-06 07:59:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5f660…
06-06 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa4c1d8…
06-05 17:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x504611…
06-05 17:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x986eda…
06-05 15:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x01d085…
06-05 14:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x942cd0…
06-05 12:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf65581…
06-05 12:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x8003d1…
06-05 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x93e1d3…
06-05 06:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x711c0f…
06-05 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5116d2…
06-05 05:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa2958d…
06-05 00:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcfd86b…
06-04 22:34:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x06a364…
06-04 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9a2a4e…
06-04 18:19:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8baec3…
06-04 18:18:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xf95642…
06-04 18:03:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x048b62…
06-04 16:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa30c0d…
06-04 16:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x7f205f…
06-04 16:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8577c1…
06-04 15:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0cf330…
06-04 11:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa0ef06…
06-04 10:04:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x907ed4…
06-04 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x998d59…
06-04 09:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd0daea…
06-04 09:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8a7cc2…
06-03 04:51:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xcda215…
06-03 04:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x8e48f8…
06-03 04:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc58c4f…
06-03 02:52:34	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xbb53de…
06-02 18:43:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xcd1d76…
06-02 08:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3bd85e…
06-02 08:56:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6c431c…
06-02 08:55:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcf4068…
06-02 08:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3a60a7…
06-02 07:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x45dd2d…
06-01 18:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x510a30…
06-01 18:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa040e7…
06-01 17:18:08	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf24cd…
06-01 17:17:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x702f6c…
05-31 18:47:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0f88b0…
05-31 16:26:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x195a55…
05-31 13:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf67b3a…
05-31 13:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa9bd71…
05-31 13:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x94598a…
05-31 13:13:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf92ca1…
05-31 12:39:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 31?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x997925…
05-31 12:39:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x710665…
05-31 11:30:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xb4a74b…
05-31 11:26:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x26dd34…
05-31 11:25:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x4af39f…
05-31 11:24:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x1696ad…
05-31 00:22:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x959eff…
05-31 00:12:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x6155e1…
05-30 10:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x362d61…
05-30 10:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x196fd9…
05-30 06:44:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x8503fd…
05-30 06:33:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x29c42b…
05-30 02:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x857013…
05-30 00:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc78adc…
05-29 23:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x14a5c0…
05-29 20:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa5a131…
05-29 19:28:59	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1410f6…
05-29 19:28:54	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x634a00…
05-29 14:43:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xbb7945…
05-29 11:38:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x39fcfa…
05-29 10:11:23	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbde25c…