Even-Demand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$375

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-31 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

71% 38% -$10

Politics

18% 50% -$1

Sports

6% 40% -$20

Pop-Culture

3% 0% -$2

Tech

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes		+15	$2	12¢	$2	$0	08-31 17:02
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes		+25	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	08-31 17:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?	3	$54	55	55	+0	open	—	10-16 23:38
will run away be the top global netflix show this week january 13 2026	2	$19	26	0	+26	No	-$19	01-07 00:36
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	01-13 14:15
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$15	31	31	+0	No	+$5	01-14 20:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$13	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-16 22:46
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$13	45	45	+0	No	-$1	02-25 22:14
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$12	68	68	+0	No	-$2	05-16 17:45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$10	26	22	+4	No	-$6	07-19 20:37
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	1	$10	256	0	+256	No	-$10	01-11 00:38
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$10	61	0	+61	No	-$10	01-11 00:35
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	05-01 17:46
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	2	$9	252	252	+0	No	-$1	01-13 00:23
anne hathaway baby boy or girl	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	10-30 16:57
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$8	6	6	+0	England	+$4	07-18 23:05
peter mandelson charged by march 31	2	$8	15	15	+0	No	+$2	02-19 21:30
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$8	50	50	+0	No	+$2	02-19 00:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$7	20	20	+0	No	-$3	02-01 23:12
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	4	$7	64	64	+0	No	-$1	05-16 16:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 18:01
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?	2	$5	11	11	+0	No	+$1	02-16 16:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$5	7	13	-5	Yes	-$13	07-19 20:37
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	08-02 15:35
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$5	99	0	+99	No	-$5	01-10 00:40
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	01-25 20:16
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	2	$5	10	10	+0	No	-$2	03-12 14:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5	11	25	-15	No	+$1	07-14 20:54
will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	2	$3	27	27	+0	No	-$3	03-07 22:45
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	5	$3	37	37	+0	No	-$1	02-22 20:30
Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	+$7	04-11 00:33
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3	25	25	+0	No	-$1	03-02 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:46:07	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xbeebe2…
10-30 16:57:19	Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?	Boy	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xf1b59d…
10-20 07:09:35	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7afb83…
10-18 15:20:24	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x6e1f5d…
10-16 23:38:02	Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x1c079e…
10-16 23:28:39	Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa151e0…
10-14 20:58:06	will katie zacharia give another press briefing as press secretary 20261013155748738	No	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x2b987b…
10-14 20:57:21	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xaaefde…
10-14 20:56:49	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x5b5ceb…
10-14 16:35:40	kimberly guilfoyle federally charged by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x24b09a…
10-14 16:34:58	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x5ab7ce…
10-12 01:42:11	Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x37a583…
10-01 18:25:20	Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa7de31…
09-25 16:14:30	virginia fonseca and vin cius j nior confirm breakup in 2026 20260914	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcfc7ad…
09-17 15:28:04	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbb2a3c…
09-17 15:27:54	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Boy	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3b3090…
08-31 17:03:36	Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbb2b78…
08-31 17:03:19	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7e9a13…
08-31 17:02:51	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf4e88d…
08-27 15:20:43	Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x480664…
08-18 15:41:27	kim kardashian announces passing the bar exam by 2027 20260728160734157	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd856a9…
08-18 15:41:00	clavicular and alexandria ocasio cortez confirm relationship in 2026 20260813000143573	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x46b269…
08-02 15:35:35	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x793a9c…
07-27 15:02:49	kim kardashian and lewis hamilton engaged in 2026 20260722161019929	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x387277…
07-19 20:37:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x55a35b…
07-19 20:37:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x630ac0…
07-18 23:05:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0b80e2…
07-18 16:11:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4c75b4…
07-15 21:01:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf8f844…
07-15 20:28:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x6480c8…
07-15 20:28:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xee0238…
07-14 22:32:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb5abea…
07-14 20:54:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x106b18…
07-14 20:17:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0062e9…
07-14 15:44:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x9cb2e4…
07-14 15:44:35	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x231e52…
07-01 16:48:17	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x24b1e1…
06-25 15:50:41	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by august 31	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x24f5f6…
06-18 21:38:37	Diddy released from custody in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x3e5d09…
06-03 18:54:48	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xa2f4cc…
05-31 16:03:08	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xe8729a…
05-29 15:45:57	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xd7f035…
05-26 15:10:39	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x547d2c…
05-25 15:28:40	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x287779…
05-25 15:28:29	Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x8ced77…
05-25 15:28:19	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd95aca…
05-16 22:46:31	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x79bb2f…
05-16 21:32:57	Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x03a2a7…
05-16 20:23:55	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x46f46b…
05-16 20:23:44	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xdcdd08…
05-16 20:23:32	Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x654edb…
05-16 20:21:30	Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb3a589…
05-16 17:45:17	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xd6cba8…
05-16 16:20:21	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x92613b…
05-15 18:06:44	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xe7dfa8…
05-15 18:05:34	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xc71686…
05-13 17:09:58	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xf401ea…
05-13 17:09:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x1e6841…
05-11 17:39:18	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa03f5c…
05-11 17:38:03	Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x152f41…
05-05 23:42:28	Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x983d69…
05-01 21:03:00	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x3207be…
05-01 21:02:42	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0cecda…
05-01 17:46:12	Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xf21bc2…
05-01 14:53:06	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x78581f…
05-01 14:52:46	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x798819…
04-29 21:42:00	Diddy released from custody in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x737bb7…
04-27 20:46:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf116da…
04-27 20:46:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x135ce9…
04-15 18:07:00	Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe02d41…
04-14 18:08:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x9fc22a…
04-11 00:33:03	Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd4b857…
03-28 18:02:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x3260fc…
03-28 18:01:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x505cb6…
03-23 20:45:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe492ff…
03-23 20:45:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xce198d…
03-12 14:05:45	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x91294a…
03-07 22:46:01	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb21c3c…
03-07 22:45:25	will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0xfba37e…
03-06 19:05:37	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd96b81…
03-05 18:59:47	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x5f80ea…
03-02 02:20:23	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x7ccc00…
02-25 22:16:58	stefon diggs suspended this season	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x8015db…
02-25 22:14:50	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	13¢	$6	0x474a77…
02-23 18:04:30	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x84e497…
02-22 23:37:40	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x4167fc…
02-22 23:34:20	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x99234c…
02-22 23:23:02	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xad7cd0…
02-22 20:30:42	evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xbcf798…
02-22 16:12:34	will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x31e27a…
02-20 19:23:56	will bill or hillary publicly testify before congress by feb 28	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x696f69…
02-19 21:30:32	peter mandelson charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x2e7e0a…
02-19 00:34:44	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x53a93d…
02-19 00:25:16	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x72e196…
02-19 00:25:02	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xedd20f…
02-18 22:27:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x0187da…
02-16 16:53:27	U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x7f7ec5…
02-15 01:50:07	will bill or hillary publicly testify before congress by feb 28	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe7b4b5…
02-14 01:22:21	stefon diggs suspended this season	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x105fc0…
02-13 01:26:29	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8d4d4a…